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ADP Review: Undervalued Players

Here are some of the players that appear to be slightly overlooked according to early ADP numbers.

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Paying attention to ADP information is always a good thing. It's not as engrossing as the first season of Lost, or as interesting as the possibility of becoming the next American Idol, but it's very valuable information that helps you to put your finger on the pulse of the fantasy baseball community. Hence my desire to write about it. In what follows I'll quickly toss out the names of a myriad of players who are being drafted much later than I deem they should be going off the board. Looking to find a hidden gem late in your draft? I'm here to help you with that endeavor.

NOTE: Special thanks to the the National Fantasy Baseball Championship (NFBC) for the ADP Data.


Emilio Bonifacio (297 ADP) – The Cubs signed this speedster and he could conceivably see a good deal of work at second and third base. He doesn't need much PT to steal a ton of bases.

Josh Rutledge (309) – He's no lock to start, DJ LeMahieu has the inside track at second for the Rockies, but Rutledge is the superior fantasy talent. He's struggled in his young career, but in 562 at-bats Rutledge has hit 15 homers, stolen 19 bases and scored 82 runs.

Ike Davis (353) – He has holes in his swing, and it's starting to look like he will fail to live up to expectations. At the same time he's just a year removed from 32 homers and 90 RBIs and last season he posted the best walk rate of his career.

John Jaso (378) – He will see time at catcher and sounds like he'll pick up an awful lot of DH work as well. As a second catcher you could do worse given that Jaso owns a 1.03 BB/K ratio an a .364 OBP for his career. He doesn't have any power though.

Rickie Weeks (419) – How quickly we all forget that Weeks had 21 homers, 16 steals and 85 runs scored in 2012. Scooter Gennett isn't going to have a BABIP of .380 again, and Weeks is set to make $11 million in 2014 which is pretty expensive for a bench player.


Josh Willingham (307) – Yes, he's still in the major leagues. Limited to 389 at-bats last season Josh fell flat on his face batting .208. All he needs is health to be a nice buy this season though given that in 2011-12 only four outfields hit more homers than Willingham (64 big flies).

Cameron Maybin (315) – Dude can't stay healthy but in 2011-12 he averaged 33 steals, nine homers and 75 runs scored. Don't sleep on his speed.

Michael Morse (316) – A career .281 slugger, Morse hit all of .215 last season. Now a part of the Giants, he will be given free reign to play everyday and the one time in his career that he had 500 at-bats he hit .303 with 31 homers and 95 RBIs. Hope for something like .285-20-80.

Daniel Nava (357) – From the Nava Player Profile: he had the 8th best AVG in AL (.303), 5th best OBP (.385), .831 OPS that was 16th best. Against right-handed pitching he's a beast. In 282 career games here is his slash line: .292/.390/.443. That's borderline elite.

Justin Ruggiano (377) – In 2012 he hit 13 homers and stole 14 bases in just 288 at-bats. Last season he posted and 18/15 mark over 424 at-bats. If the Cubs let him play every day this is a potential 20/20 performer, albeit one who is likely to hurt a bit in the batting average category (career .251).

David Murphy (415) – He's moved on from the Rangers to the Indians. Inexplicably fell flat last season hitting .220 with one steal. His six year run though shows as pretty solid depth add in the outfield (his average season the past six years: .272-14-58-57-9 in just 427 at-bats).

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Dan Haren (268) – Pitching in Dodger Stadium will help. All he needs to do is to keep the ball in the yard to achieve success. Totally righted the ship in the 2nd half last season with a 3.52 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 70 Ks over his final 76.2 innings.

Nate Jones (326) – Likely to be named the White Sox closer (Matt Lindstrom is also an option), Jones struck out 10.27 batters per nine last season while including a 50.5 percent ground ball rate. Sign me up.

Jenrry Mejia (402) – The man with too many R's in his name. In five starts last season he struck out a batter per inning while walking all of four batters. Toss in his rather amazing 61.3 percent career ground ball rate and you have the seeds for success.

Jake McGee (412) - If we remove his two outings from April 2nd and May 1st of last season – he allowed 10 runs while recording just four outs – his two year numbers would turn into a 2.31 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. Also has 148 Ks in just 118 innings the past two years.

Tyler Clippard (434) – One of the best middle relievers in the game. The big time advantage he gives over other middle relievers is the amount of work he handles. The last four seasons he's worked at least 72 games and 71 innings with a four season average of 83.1 innings a season. Those extra innings, potentially 15-20 more than many relievers, add significant value to Clippard's outlook.

Jesse Crain (452) – Working his way back from injury, it sure seems like the Astros plan on using him in the 9th inning when he's healthy. Worth a final round shot in the dark.

Darren O'Day (510) – It looks like only Tommy Hunter is ahead of Darren for 9th inning work. The last teams seasons O'Day has been nails with a 12-4 record, 2.23 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 8.93 K/9 an a 4.41 K/BB ratio. Those are elite numbers.


  • 64x64

    Phil 17 Feb 18:56 / Reply

    Well I for one won't pick him up again after watching him in his last rehab game in Tucson last year before rejoining the club. Coming in from center field at the end of the inning in the 5th the home plate umpire had to delay the start of the inning waiting for him to cross the foul line.

  • 64x64

    Eric Chamberlian 17 Feb 18:16 / Reply

    Rutledges defense need to be better that is what got him sent down last year. Looking at this list I just wonder how many have been burned on the Maybin ban wagon over the years.

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