This is the second in our Starting Pitcher Rotation analysis series. The Marlins don't have a huge amount of fantasy allure, with the exception of that waiver wire wonder from 2013, Jose Fernandez. Even so, let's take a look at who will be tossing from the mound in Miami this season.

Starting Pitching Rotation Analysis

Miami Marlins

NL East

Projected Rotation

Pitcher

IP

W

K

ERA

WHIP

ADP

Jose Fernandez

196

13

208

3.03

1.15

37

Nathan Eovaldi

174

9

130

4.09

1.40

392

Jacob Turner

157

7

104

4.53

1.44

393

Henderson Alvarez

168

9

97

3.86

1.27

386

Tom Koehler

139

9

97

4.60

1.46

*

Potential Rotation Alternatives

Pitcher

IP

W

K

ERA

WHIP

ADP

Kevin Slowey

55

3

42

4.09

1.31

400

ADP designated by * indicates no reported ADP as of date of publication. Projections are based on a compilation of several sources (ZiPS, Oliver, Steamer, RotoChamp), given equal weight.

Not too much to jump up and down about with regards to the Miami rotation. Aside from Jose Fernandez, all these guys can be had late in drafts, if you think any are worth rostering. I do like Henderson Alvarez as a back of the rotation/bench pitcher you can grab late. Taking starting pitchers that give you a 4+ ERA or a 1.40+ is a recipe for disaster. Add into that the limited strikeout numbers, and I am avoiding all these guys with the exception of Fernandez and in proper circumstance, Alvarez.

It is hard not to get excited about Fernandez this year, after he took the fantasy world by storm and was available on the waiver wire in tons of leagues for a lucky owner with priority. I don't see the team limiting his innings this season, as evidenced by the above projections. Any starting pitcher that can put up better than a strikeout per inning while also contributing an ERA just over 3.00, and a WHIP well below what I consider my upper threshold for top starting pitchers of 1.29 is going to go early in drafts. If you aren't willing to snag a pitcher like Clayton Kershaw or Yu Darvish in the first couple of rounds, you would do well to target Fernandez in the 3rd or 4th round to begin building your pitching staff.

Alvarez is a potential end of the draft starting pitcher that you could use for his ERA and WHIP values, but not much else. Eovaldi, Turner, Koehler and Slowey are all best avoided, unless you are desperate for a streaming option based on match up. I certainly do not feel comfortable advising you to draft any of them unless you play in a league with 16 teams and large rosters.

Searching for answer for the 2014 fantasy baseball season? Turn to a trusted source to enlighten you – Fantasy Alarm – and pick up your very own copy of the 2014 Fantasy Alarm Baseball Draft Guide. After reading the 200 pages of information you will be ready to dominate the competition in the coming season on your way to a fantasy baseball championship.

If you disagree with my assessments, or just want to discuss starting pitching, I can be reached at ia@fantasyalarm.com.  I enjoy comments and am more than willing to engage in discussion about fantasy baseball, so feel free to write.




Comments

Rich Hallum 

Do you hold any stock in Koehler's spring stats considering the way he finished 2013? Even in my NL only he would be a stretch but would appreciate your thoughts considering certain spring stats.


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About Ivar G. Anderson

I have actively played fantasy sports since 2004, when I was roped into competing in an auto-pick football league on Yahoo. My devotion, and number of teams has continued to grow to the present. I began writing about fantasy sports for FantasyGameday in 2008, and was recruited to join the FantasyAlarm team in 2011, where I cover Starting Pitching on the baseball side of things, and publish a weekly IDP Report and NFL Weather Report weekly during the football season. I can be reached by e-mail at: ia@fantasyalarm.com and my Twitter handle is: @johnwhorfin

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