Happy Wednesday, baseball betting fans! After a few days off these MLB predictions articles, I can tell you the money is starting to flow in as more and more data gets collected for us to use to our advantage.

 

 

 

There will be no shortages of plays today either as all 30 teams are in action today, from early afternoon to the west coast late slate!

*Editor’s Note: Explore sports betting on BettorEdge for the best MLB odds and lines. Register today using promo code ALARM to get a $10 bonus!

 

 

MLB Picks, Predictions, & Best Bets Today, 5/1

In today’s article you will find a wide array of choices from some moneylines and team totals to plenty of MLB props for the action today! The data really liked some specific bets, so make sure to double check your betting card before clicking submit for these ones tonight. 

Check out the rationale and if you agree with me make sure to tail and good luck! Now, let's dive into my expert MLB Best Bets and Props today!

  • Season Record: 12-8-0
  • Bankroll: +2.4 units

* Each of my MLB picks will show the corresponding MLB odds next to them. Don’t forget to follow me on twitter @jwaggs10!

 

 

 

Royals vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Wednesday, May 1st

Starting with a mid-afternoon game to start off today’s MLB predictions as the Royals and Blue Jays wrap up their 3-game series all knotted up with each team taking a win so far. I am going to be backing the road team today for many reasons, the first of which is an odds miscalculation on the part of the books. 

Models project this closer to a 50/50 game, yet the Royals are +115 or around there on many sportsbooks. The next reason is that the Royals have the advantage on the mound as Seth Lugo will pitch against Chris Bassitt. Bassitt has really struggled this season while Lugo is holding down a 1.66 ERA right now. You should see by now that the Royals as underdogs is a bit puzzling.

I am also going to tack on a player prop that is chalky, but it’s totally mispriced with Bassitt, as his outs prop sits at 18.5 for today. He has only accomplished this number in 2 of 6 starts and those games were against struggling offenses. Royals hit righties well, especially the top of the order, so count on Bassitt going a flat 6 innings at the very most.

 

 

 

Braves vs. Mariners Prediction: Wednesday, May 1st

This matchup today is going to be a story of stats correcting themselves as the Braves have dropped the opening pair of games in this series and Emerson Hancock of the Mariners has had 3 straight starts looking way too good. Atlanta ranks 1st in MLB when it comes to runs scored per game on the road at an even 6, so you can expect them to pop off tonight. 

Their team total run number sits at 4.5 which is fair given the players in the lineup, but not often do you get that number at plus odds, and that has my attention for the first of this game’s MLB best bets. On top of that though, the Braves don’t get swept and for a team that is 8-5 on the road this season, they should bounce back and get this win today. 

Then there’s a player prop to add into the mix, and it's Marcell Ozuna getting the nod today as he’s crushing righties right now but only has 1 hit this series so far. Seems like the perfect chance to jump in and get some action on him as his number is 1.5 for hits+runs+RBIs this afternoon, a feat he has accomplished 19 times already this season. 

 

 

 

Giants vs. Red Sox Prediction: Wednesday, May 1st

Time to get on the wagon of the surging Red Sox who come into tonight winners of 3 straight games and 7 of their last 10! The good times should continue to roll on as the Giants are struggling on offense of late and they won’t get relief going up against Kutter Crawford and his nasty 1.35 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 33.1 innings of work. 

The Giants have not released who will be starting on their side of the mound, but it doesn’t change my love for the Sox tonight. Let’s add a player prop on Crawford as well, shall we? He’s been dominant this season in all, but one start and he is averaging right around 6 strikeouts per game!

Imagine my surprise when his prop was found at 5.5 Ks for tonight’s action! He should be able to hit that, but as an added bonus, the Giants strikeout at the 7th highest rate on the road this season, let’s lock these into our final MLB picks of the day!

 

 

 

Thanks for taking the time to check out my MLB predictions today! Don't forget to make use of the amazing resources available here at Fantasy Alarm.