2023 Player Outlook
2023 Recap: After a rocky first season in Detroit, Rodriguez was phenomenal in 2023, posting a 13-9 record with a 3.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 152.2 IP. Compared to prior seasons, he used his four-seam fastball more frequently at the expense of his sinker, and really committed to his changeup. Rodriguez’s changeup posted a .233 BAA and 31.7 percent whiff rate in 2023, and per Baseball Savant’s Run Values metric, graded out as an above average pitch for the southpaw.
2024 Outlook: Leaving the AL Central for the NL West isn't exactly a division upgrade for Rodriguez, but he'll have a solid team backing him, and his groundball heavy arsenal should help him mitigate some of the offenses in this division. Health willing, Rodriguez handles a full workload this year, winning 15+ games with an ERA below 3.75 this year for Arizona. He may not rack up the strikeouts like he did in his last few years with Boston, but I do think it will be better than last year's 23 percent strikeout rate. His price is very affordable in drafts, making him an attractive mid-rotation arm.