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2023 Player Outlook

2023 Recap: Gibson and his lack of strikeouts will fit into the Cardinals rotation perfectly! In 2023, Gibson had a 7.36 K/9 and 19.5 percent strikeout rate across 192 IP in 2023, the most he’s thrown in a season since 2018 (196.2 IP). He doesn’t miss bats, and he’s posted an ERA north of 4.70 in four of the last five seasons. He does generate a healthy number of ground balls, which allows him to keep the ball in the park, but his ground ball rate has dipped below 50 percent for two straight seasons now. Left-handed hitters crushed Gibson in 2023, and his production deteriorated as the season went on. 

2024 Outlook: If Gibson can get back to generating a ground ball more than half of the time, he has a solid defense backing him. Gibson is a low-end fantasy starter at best, who may get some streamer appeal as the year goes on in the right matchups if he’s pitching well. By seasons end, albeit uninspiring, Gibson likely puts forth a 4.50 ERA, 10+ wins and a 17-19 percent strikeout rate.

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