2022 Player Outlook
Bogaerts compiled another very good season but despite a slight increase in his barrel % there was some mild regression in his home run, RBI and stolen base production. His second half slow down (.255 BA) could probably be due to a combination of a wrist injury suffered in July and a late season bout with COVID. He continued to have problems with breaking balls, but he gained .100 points on his BAA offspeed stuff. Bogaerts’ 2021 home run rate regression could be result of his trying to play through his wrist injury and possibly due to the less bouncy baseball MLB sometimes used last season. Statcast suggests we might see a slight drop in Bogaerts’ batting average, but he has consistently out produced his xBA in his career. For 2022, expect Bogaerts to compile a batting average right around .290, home runs in the mid to upper 20 range, and upwards of 10 stolen bases.