Welcome to the DFS Playbook for NFL Week 6!
How are we feeling this week, #FANation? Are we ready to get at it and crush some lineups? The seasonal fantasy players are struggling through a number of injuries, not to mention some COVID concerns, but as DFS players, we know how to roll with the punches and turn some of these tough negatives into strong positives for us. Yes, I am trying to take a “glass is half full” approach here. The seasonal guy in me is dying over the losses of Russell Wilson, Nick Chubb, Chris Carson and Damien Williams, because we're already into the bye weeks and players like Alvin Kamara and Deebo Samuel are already off the board. But the DFS player in me is salivating over some of the bargains we're going to be able to use in order to get the top plays into our lineups, not to mention a much more narrow player pool from which to choose.
The key this week is definitely going to be identifying the good chalk versus the bad chalk. If you've been following things all week long, you'll know that Devontae Booker, Darrel Williams and Khalil Herbert are going to be popular plays. Amon-Ra St. Brown and Ricky Seals-Jones seem to be two more names popping up all over the place. Yes, these guys are going to save you salary, but are their match-ups worthwhile for you to invest in them? That's yet to be seen.
Using tools like the Draft Percentage Forecaster will help you identify who is most likely to be used, but before you go slapping some $4200 running back into your lineup, use the rest of the content we provide to determine who has the right match-up and who doesn't. Is it an exact science? No, but we've been pretty good about it so far, right? I'll have my choices here in the Playbook, of course, but keep reading and start checking in with the rest of the team as there's some fantastic analysis you don't want to miss.
Before we get to the Playbook players, allow me to remind you what you should be doing leading up this step in your research.
Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches
Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content
In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with me and Jon Impemba, who also does the Contrarian Corner video and check out the DFS Bargains from our newest #FAmily member Tera Roberts (@ItsTeraTime).
Also, our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be checking out the WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).
Step 3: Make your own list of players
It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in our Fantasy Alarm Discord Chat,. Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks. That's why the chat is there, isn't it?
With those three steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.