Welcome to the DFS Playbook for NFL Week 12!
With the three Thanksgiving Day games out of the way, two teams on a bye and our usual Sunday night and Monday night games, we've got only 10 NFL games on the main slate this Sunday and that means a much smaller player pool. On one hand, that's good as it narrows our search and we aren't trying to get too many shares of too many games with high expected totals. On the other hand, it also makes it dangerous as we witnessed last week when we invested in the Dallas/Kansas City game thinking that was the one that was going to pop.
What I think I like about this slate is that, while many are going to turn to the Bucs/Colts game early and the Vikings/49ers game late, we aren't going to over-invest. There are too many strong options spread around this week, so it may limit the amount of stacking we do, especially in GPP. What I have found lately is that my primary cash lineups that score the most points are better for me in the small-field GPP contests. I always throw my cash lineups into GPP just in case but yeah, I've noticed which ones are hitting the cash lines more regularly.
We'll get into more of that and lineup construction as we work through the player pool and set up who we want to target most, so let's bypass the lengthy introduction here and get down to business.
Before we get to the Playbook players, allow me to remind you what you should be doing leading up this step in your research.
Step 1: Check out the DFS Position Coaches
Step 2: Check out the rest of the relevant DFS content
In addition to the positional coaching pieces, you also have things like the DFS Watch List, where I provide you with a list of players I am looking at throughout the week. We have the NFL DFS Podcast with me and Jon Impemba, who also does the Contrarian Corner video and check out the DFS Bargains from our newest #FAmily member Tera Roberts (@ItsTeraTime).
Also, our Master of Tools, Matt Selz (@theselzman), supplies you data junkies with the Weekly Match-Up Report and everyone should also be checking out the WR/CB Match-Up Report from Ryan Hallam (@fightingchance).
Step 3: Make your own list of players
It's real easy to just sit and wait for the Playbook, but as you are doing your research throughout the week, it is important to make notes and list the players who interest you the most. Maybe they end up in the Playbook and maybe they don't. If they're there, then great, it should mean we are honing in on the same things that make him a strong play. If not, maybe you're onto something else that someone overlooked. We aren't perfect and if you uncover something different, maybe you're right. I would be careful of routine groupthink and hype from beat writers, but often times someone will tell me something they saw about their local team that I missed and I am always looking to investigate more if its there. If you do, then say something in our Fantasy Alarm Discord Chat,. Talk it out and see what the rest of the #FAmily thinks. That's why the chat is there, isn't it?
With those three steps complete and discussions are in progress, you are ready to look at the Playbook players, make comparisons and finalize your list for lineups, so let's get to it.
How about one final step before we actually begin?
CHECK FOR LATE CHANGES TO THE PLAYBOOK
Every now and again, we throw in a late add to the Playbook. More often than not, a late add is done for cash game play as we are seeing higher-than-expected ownership on a bargain player. These can, often times, become a “free square." If the ownership is high, it won't matter if the players succeeds or not. It's about keeping pace with the masses and watching out for lineup trains. We won't recommend if we don't believe in the player, so if you see one, understand the major reasoning behind it.