MLB DFS Value Vault June 25: Can Riley Greene Collect His First Home Run Tonight?
Published: Jun 25, 2022
Updated: Jun 25, 2022
While there are games all day, for our purposes we are focused on the six-game MLB DFS main slate beginning at 7:00pm on the East coast. It gives us a manageable 12 teams to work with but it also ensures that we won’t be overwhelmed with options. As we work through our research for tonight’s slate, it is important to stay on top of the latest MLB News, MLB Lineups, and MLB Weather Report. Now, let’s dig into some MLB DFS value options that can help you fit in some high-priced studs to put your lineup over the top. Let’s be bold tonight, I might be biased, but I see four home runs in our future tonight; one from each of the hitters highlighted below.
DFS VALUE PITCHERS
Mitch White (LAD); DraftKings - $6,100; FanDuel - $5,800; Yahoo - $25
While I would want a better opponent than Atlanta for White to face tonight, it’s also hard to be too picky at this price point. It has been a few weeks since we last saw White at the Major League level but Andrew Heaney’s injury led to a promotion. In nine games so far this season (four starts), White has a 3.86 ERA while striking out more than a batter per inning and walking less than three. At this price, the strikeout upside alone should put White squarely on our radar and he also was impressive in his last start against the White Sox. White threw five shutout innings while striking out five and generating eight ground balls and a repeat performance would play perfectly here tonight.
Logan Webb (SF); DraftKings – $7,800
I’m not sure what is going on at DK as Webb is considerably cheaper compared to his cost on FD and Yahoo. Webb is coming off a one-run, seven-inning outing while striking out seven. While he isn’t a true strikeout artist, Webb has picked up 74 in 82 innings so far this season but the main takeaway is the 3.07 ERA and 1.10 WHIP he has recorded to this point. With a 3.45 xERA, the underlying metrics on Webb are also right where they should be and with a 56.7% ground ball rate he does a good job of limiting damage. Facing the Reds at home tonight is also beneficial.
Zach Eflin (PHI); DraftKings - $7,400; FanDuel - $8,000; Yahoo - $31
It’s a solid matchup for Eflin tonight against San Diego at home although he is coming off a rough start against Washington in which he allowed four runs in just two innings of work. Eflin has a manageable 4.43 ERA on the season but a 3.01 xERA provides some potential room for upside as the right-hander is walking under two batters per nine innings. With an average exit velocity of just 85.1 miles per hour and a hard hit rate of 32% along with a 6.2% barrel-rate, Eflin has been able to minimize the quality of contact against him.
DFS VALUE HITTERS
Matt Olson, 1B (ATL); DraftKings - $4,000; FanDuel - $3,500; Yahoo - $18
I know that I touted White above as a value option, but I simply couldn’t bypass Atlanta’s cleanup hitter at this price with the platoon advantage in play. Eight of Olson’s ten home runs this season have come against right-handed pitching and he has a .264 average against them compared to a .228 mark against southpaws. Olson has three multi-hit games in his last six and with a 12.1% barrel-rate and 50.2% hard-hit rate, the process is working for him so far this season even if the results haven’t been as strong as we would like them to be.
Alex Kirilloff, 1B/OF (MIN); DraftKings – $3,200; FanDuel - $2,400; Yahoo - $9
If at first you don’t succeed, try again. I was on Kirilloff earlier this week in the Value Vault and he came through with two hits and two RBI so I would consider that a success even if it was a home run we were hunting. Kirilloff has gone hitless in each of his last two games and he is still looking for his first home run of the season, and facing Antonio Senzatela at home tonight with the wind blowing out gives me optimism that we will see it tonight.
Evan Longoria, 3B; DraftKings - $2,800; FanDuel - $2,300; Yahoo - $16
This is a situation where you can just take your pick. Stacking right-handed bats on the Giants tonight against Mike Minor is going to be a popular strategy, but if you are going to pick one player to highlight, I would lean towards Longoria. Longoria has hits in five straight games and his price has actually dropped by $200 on DK after going deep last night. In 36 games so far this season, Longoria has six home runs and 13 RBI and his success shouldn’t come as a surprise based on his 13.9% barrel-rate and 17.7-degree launch-angle.
Riley Greene, OF (DET); DraftKings - $2,000; FanDuel - $2,600; Yahoo - $16
I don’t want to jinx anything here, but seeing Greene’s price still this low is a little confusing to me. All the top prospect has done since his promotion is pick up hits in five of his six games and bat .350 with five runs scored. Batting second for Detroit has agreed with Greene and while he has had success this season, I’m not concerned about him facing Zach Davies. Greene is still looking for both his first RBI and home run, and both should be here shortly. In fact, let’s just be bold and say it comes tonight.
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