MLB DFS Pitching Coach: June 17
Published: Jun 17, 2021
There are eight games on the main slates tonight on both sites and luckily there are no weather concerns for the games...aside from the super warm temps across a fair bit of the west (side notes it’s 104 in Nebraska of all places today).
Brandon Woodruff, RHP MIL - As good as Woodruff has been at home this year, he’s been even better on the road with a minuscule 0.67 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in 40.1 innings. That doesn’t even mention his 1.36 ERA over the last 66 innings pitched either. Yes, it’s going to be warm in Coors today and they did put up eight runs in yesterday’s game, that was against a LHP in Blake Snell and they’d been smoking lefties before that. They are decidedly worse against RHPs over the same last two-week span.
Marcus Stroman, RHP NYM - Stroman has been great all year for the Mets and is coming off a 6.1 inning start with eight Ks and one earned against the Padres and now gets the Cubs. Chicago has been striking out 29.2-percent of the time the last two weeks versus RHPs and been below-average in wOBA and wRC+. Stroman is even better at home than on the road as well, just as an added bonus.
Shohei Ohtani, RHP LAA - Ohtani is back on the bump tonight and faces the Tigers who have been better of late, though they’re still streaky. At home Ohtani has been even better than on the road with a 1.85 ERA and .159 BAA in 24.1 innings. The price is FAR better on DraftKings than FanDuel and that makes him the better play on DK.
Wade Miley, LHP CIN - One of only two lefties on the slate, he happens to be facing a team that hasn’t really hit lefties all that well recently. While all of the numbers are middle of the pack for the Padres against LHP the last two weeks, we saw them struggle against Austin Gomber previously and Miley has only allowed four total earned runs in the last four games. The main bats in the Padres’ lineup have been hitting under .200 against LHPs this year so now is a good time to take a bit of a contrarian play.
Rich Hill, LHP TB - The second lefty on the hill is facing the other good team for a LHP to be facing in Seattle. Hell has been great over his last 52 innings and on the road this year he’s posted a 2.89 ERA and .189 BAA. Seattle, for their part, has struck out 28.5-percent of the time against lefties the last two weeks and has been hit and miss when making contact. Not to mention that T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest BABIPs of any park in the league which certainly helps pitchers.
Justin Dunn, RHP SEA - The Rays have been striking out the most against righties the last two weeks of any team in the majors. Automatically that’s a boost for Dunn. Prior to his last start, Dunn didn’t give up more than two earned in five straight games and at home this year he’s posted a sub-3.00 ERA and .151 BAA in 21.1 innings with 26 Ks. He’s worth the cheap price as either an SP2 or a cheap GPP flier.
German Marquez, RHP COL - Marquez is at home which has been a bonus for him for the last few years now and it is again this year with a far better stat line in Denver. Prior to the last start at Cincinnati, he’d posted four straight games of one or fewer runs allowed with all being six or seven innings. Milwaukee has also struck out 27-percent of the time the last two weeks and below-average offensively in wOBA and wRC+ in that same span too.