Top Tier
Walker Buehler, Los Angeles Dodgers ($9.6K on DK, $10.4K on FD)
Not only does Buehler's team enter tonight's slate as a -300 favorite, he owns an 8-1 record over 108.1 innings this season with 107 strikeouts against 24 walks and a 0.91 WHIP. Arizona's playing better of late but in 64 innings at home, his 2.53 ERA with a 67:17 K:BB and 0.97 WHIP should not be overlooked. Better yet, facing the current players on the Diamondbacks roster, Buehler's recorded a 38 strikeout percentage against them with a 1.99 FIP and .216 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA). Pretty, pretty, pretty good.
Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee ($9.2K on DK, $9.9K on FD)
A first time All-Star finally given a chance as a starter, Peralta rates as one of the best surprises of the first half of the season. He's 7-3 with a 2.23 ERA, 129:42 K:BB and 0.90 WHIP over 93 innings. He's turned in 10 quality starts this year and boasts a 1.62 ERA his last 10 (61 innings). Although he's yet to defeat the Reds in three tries in 2021, his 2.57 ERA in 15.2 innings gives him a chance at ending this streak tonight.
Mid Tier
Germán Márquez, Colorado ($7.4K on DK, $8.8K on FD)
Note the discrepancy between his price point on the two sites. Marquez has recorded a 0.93 ERA his last four starts and given up two runs or less in six or more innings in eight of his last nine outings. Changing the grip rules does not affect him given his recent results. However, his 4.67 ERA on the road this year over six starts needs to be factored in when using him and his career 5.14 ERA against San Diego. But, his 31.2 strikeout rate, 3.15 FIP and .292 xwOBA versus the current Padres roster provides enough hope for using him in tournament play this evening.
Zack Greinke, Houston ($7.5K on DK, $8.6K on FD)
Once again, a much better price point on DraftKings than FanDuel, Greinke also can be used in GPP's for the risk averse. He's 8-2 this year with a 3.64 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 111.1 innings. But, his home ERA of 5.26 comes with an xFIP of 4.23 and a 1.44 WHIP. He's also only 4-4 against the Yankees in his career and only lasted four innings his last time facing them in New York. However, since the sticky rule enforcement on June 21st, he's 1-0 with a 3.15 ERA toting an impressive 16:3 K:B and 1.05 WHIP through three starts. Going against the grain here and willing to use him as a second pitcher in tournaments. Best news, Houston's 10-0 during his quality starts.
Bargain Arms
Chris Flexen, Seattle ($7K on DK and FD)
If loading up on bats in cash games, Flexen makes for an intriguing pivot. Seattle's 16-7 in its last 23 home games since May 27th and he owns a 5-2 record at T-Mobile Park with a 1.99 ERA over nine starts with a 37:8 K:BB in 54.1 innings. His last time out he fired six innings in a win over Texas giving up four hits and striking out five on 81 pitches. This sets a nice baseline for his performance tonight if he can navigate around the red hot Shohei Ohtani.
Kwang-hyun Kim, St. Louis ($5.7K on DK, $6.9K on FD)
Another low strikeout arm in a nice match-up needing the quality start and win bonus to produce in daily fantasy. But, Kim's recorded wins in each of his last two starts including a seven inning outing in San Francisco his last time out. Since June 21st, he's 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA and an 8:6 K:BB over 16.1 innings with a 1.16 WHIP. His last two starts yielded an average of 20 DraftKings points and 35 FanDuel points. Feeling lucky?