MLB DFS Pitching Coach: June 29
Published: Jun 29, 2021
Brandon Woodruff, Milwaukee ($11K on DK, $11.4K on FD)
There's a price to pay for security on this slate. Woodruff owns 12 quality starts among his 15 outings this season striking out 111 over 95 innings pitched. Milwaukee is 11-4 when he starts and enters his game as a -200 favorite over the Cubs. Speaking of which, he's faced them three times this season with a 1-0 record giving up only six hits, one earned run (0.47 ERA) and three walks with 22 strikeouts over 19 innings so far this season. More of a cash game play due to the price point but he's worth it.
Jose Urquidy, Houston ($9.9K on DK, $9.5K on FD)
Defeated the Orioles on the road firing seven shutout innings allowing three hits and one walk with six strikeouts last week, Urquidy faces them again at home. In Minute Maid Park he owns a 2.78 ERA with a robust 29:3 K:BB over 35 innings with a 0.79 WHIP. Over his last nine starts he's 6-1 with a 2.62 ERA through 55 innings putting him in a great spot for continued success backed by one of the best offenses in the game.
Charlie Morton, Atlanta ($8.8K on DK, $9K on FD)
A wily veteran not daunted by checks searching out foreign substances, Morton racked up 11 strikeouts over seven shutout innings his last time out facing the Mets on the road. He's matched up with them again this evening and while he may not repeat his terrific numbers, there's a good chance he records a quality start with a chance for a win. In June, Morton owns a 3-1 record with a 2.28 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 23.2 innings with a WHIP below one (0.80) over 23.2 innings. Set up for success, and reasonably priced makes him a worthy target Tuesday night.
Lucas Giolito, Chicago White Sox ($8.7K on DK, $9.8K on FD)
Potential weather concerns need to be considered but Giolito may be turning the corner in June fueled by a 32:7 K:BB through 25 innings with a 1.00 WHIP and 3.07 SIERA. He's fallen victim to the long ball but owns a 3-1 record his last seven starts with a 2.74 ERA and 60 strikeouts in them. His last start versus the Twins he recorded 11 strikeouts over eight innings on May 19th giving up two hits and a walk. If the weather causes a cancellation or there's threat of a delay, pivoting to James Kaprielian facing the Rangers at home remains a viable back-up plan.
J.C. Mejia, Cleveland ($6.1K on DK, $6.2K on FD)
It gets a bit dicey in the bargain bin but Mejia logged six innings his last start allowing a run on four hits and two walks while striking out six. Opposed by Jose Urena at home does not seem too daunting plus adding in the Tigers lead the majors in strikeout percentage on the road (28.6 percent) with a weighted runs created plus of 88 this season. Hope for the quality start bonus with five-to-seven strikeouts and a chance at the win to reach three-to-four times value.
German Marquez, Colorado ($7.7K on DK, $7K on FD)
Hear me out, Marquez remains used to pitching in Coors with his home ERA (3.78) below his road ERA (4.67). In a GPP, getting reduced priced strikeout upside with a -170 home favorite may be going against the grain enough to factor into a nice tournament payback. Colorado owns a 13-4 record at home since May 21st and he's 5-1 at Coors Field this season coming off of six scoreless innings his last time out there versus the Brewers. So, you're saying there's a chance...