MLB DFS Pitching Coach: June 16
Published: Jun 16, 2021
Jacob deGrom, New York Mets ($11K on DK, $12.2K on FD)
There's a reason this guy's priced into his own tier. Pure dominance. deGrom owns a 0.56 ERA, 1.60 SIERA and 0.53 WHIP which borders on the ridiculous no matter how one feels about the MLB manipulating baseball. He's throwing pitches in triple digits, producing whiff rates over 40 percent with a mind melting 42.6 strikeouts minus walks percentage for the season. Building him into cash game lineups makes sense, there's enough mid-priced bats to roster him and on DraftKings, there's a couple of cheap options below to pair with in GPP's to boot. By the way, he's 2-2 in five career starts at home against the Cubs with a 2.70 ERA over 33.1 innings but he's not the same pitcher they faced in the past.
Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers ($10K on DK, $10.2K on FD)
After giving up back-to-back stinkers by his own standards, Kershaw bounced back with six innings giving up zero earned runs, three hits and striking out nine at home facing the Rangers his last outing. Tonight, he gets the Phillies who own the sixth highest strikeout rate against southpaws (27.3 percent) in a potential pitcher's duel against Zack Wheeler. Why Kershaw and not Wheeler, better lineup around him, better bullpen and at home. The cagy lefty steps up and fires another gem for the quality start and win bonuses.
Aaron Civale, Cleveland ($8.9K on DK, $9K on FD)
Absolutely shoved his last time on the mound, retiring the last 22 batters he faced, putting the finishing touches on eight shutout innings striking out 11 against the Mariners. He's won four of his last five starts and enters his match-up with Baltimore with a 9-2 record, a 3.17 ERA and throwing strikes over 70 percent of his pitches. Priced to succeed, he's a nice GPP option if trying to save money compared to paying up for deGrom.
Zack Greinke, Houston ($7.4K on DK, $8.4K on FD)
It feels like every time fantasy analysts kick dirt on Greinke, he responds with a gem. He only logged three innings his last time out versus a tough Boston lineup but gets a terrific bounce back opportunity against the Rangers who as a team owns the lowest weighted on-base average (wOBA) of .273 over the last 30 days in the majors along with a paltry .126 isolated power and enticing 24.2 strikeout percentage. Focus on Greinke being a -220 favorite at home backed by one of the most potent offenses in baseball to cash in on low ownership with upside at this price point.
Anthony DeSclafani, San Francisco ($7K on DK, $7.7K on FD)
Meet the major league leader in complete game shutouts with two. He fired one last start, striking out eight against the Nationals. He meets a team in the midst of a 12-game losing streak and 21 straight losses on the road. DeSclafani may be popular due to this but he's also a cash game staple with plenty of savings compared to deGrom.
Bailey Ober, Minnesota ($4.6K on DK, $6.2K on FD)
One first looks at his pricing on DraftKings and thinks, it's a trap. However, Ober put up an average of 14 points on the site his last two starts. Look beyond his 4.85 ERA and see the 3.63 SIERA suggesting positive migration to the mean along with his 26.3 strikeout percentage with a 3.5 walk rate. He's not flashy or may not garner much attention on this slate, but as an SP2 with upside and a potential three-to-four times return on value compared to his price, why not give him a shot in a cheap tournament?