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Updated: Wed, May 27th 2020 12:00:05 pm

Minnesota Vikings vs. San Francisco 49ers

Venue: Levi's Stadium(Santa Clara)Sat. 1-11 @ 4:35 pm ESTOver/Under: 44.5


Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers
Game Time: Saturday, January 11th at 4:35pm ET
Spread: 49ers -7

Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins – It wasn’t any sort of a stellar day for Cousins, but he didn’t turn the ball over and that was what counted. He also dropped the ball in a bucket to Adam Thielen then threw a perfect jump ball to Kyle Rudolph to win the Wild Card game against the Saints. Cousins threw for 242 yards and that touchdown against one of the better pass defenses in football. Well, it is about to get even tougher as the 49ers are one of the top two defenses in the league, and they are about to get healthier. The Vikings are very likely to try to control this game on the ground and keep the San Francisco offense off the field as much as they can. It is going to be really tough to ask Cousins to lead the team to victory on the road again versus another great pass defense. He won’t be great for fantasy purposes, and if he topped 250 passing yards and one touchdown you should be surprised.

Dalvin Cook – He made his return last week, and for the most part looked great. He certainly had more burst than he had for most of the second half of the season, although towards the end of the game it did appear he was shying a little away from contact. He took to the sideline when he could have plowed for a first down, and on another run took a dive instead of going into two defenders. That is understandable, of course, but at the same time we want our fantasy players to play hard regardless of their health. The 49ers are a very strong defense, but you can run on them some and the Vikings are sure to give him close to 30 touches in this one. Cook will be one of the better running back plays in the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

Alexander Mattison – With Cook back healthy and looking like he did earlier in the year, Mattison was only given six touches in the Wild Card game. He would need an injury to Dalvin Cook to have a real role. He is a dart throw for this weekend, and not a good one at that.

Adam Thielen – After being an afterthought for most of the second half of the season, we kind of saw the old Thielen again on Sunday afternoon. His highlight was a 43 yard catch that Kirk Cousins put right in his basket that set the Vikings up for the game winning score. His nine targets were very encouraging, and perhaps he is back feeling like his old self again. This week will be a nightmare matchup against the 49ers, and Thielen will be facing one of the best secondaries in the game. The Vikings are likely to want to control the ball on the ground, but short passes to Thielen will also likely be in the game plan. He won’t be a high confidence play for the Divisional Round games, but he won’t be the worst guy to use either. He could easily have six catches for 60 yards in this one, and if he should happen to get deep again he could be worth more.

Stefon Diggs – He couldn’t get going the entire game, and was barely even looked at with just two catches and two rush attempts. As usual, Diggs handled his small role like a child, by throwing his helmet and yelling at people on the sidelines. He likely will have to deal a lot with Richard Sherman on Saturday, and that isn’t exactly a recipe for success. Kirk Cousins is going to have to target Diggs more if they want to pull off a second upset in these playoffs, but he again will be a guy that likely won’t be worth his price tag. Diggs is unlikely to break 50-60 yards in this one with three or four catches.

Kyle Rudolph – Once again, without the touchdown Rudolph would have left you less than satisfied with his four catches for 31 yards. Of course, he left Vikings fans oh so satisfied as he caught the game winning touchdown. The Niners are actually one of the softer defenses against the tight ends, as they allowed 70 receptions and seven touchdowns to the position this season. He will be a big bodied target for Cousins over the middle of the field, and he showed all season that he is a great red zone target. Rudolph will be a decent option if you decide to go cheaper on your tight end this weekend.

San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo – He is a bit of a conundrum from a fantasy perspective. Garoppolo is capable of having monster fantasy days, but most of the time he centers around average. He had six games with multiple touchdowns, but also ten with one or zero scores through the air. It is still a run first team, and he threw the ball fewer than 30 times in nine of 16 games this season. You should expect a pretty balanced attack on Sunday, which likely doesn’t lead to a huge fantasy day for Jimmy G. He won’t be the most exciting fantasy quarterback of the weekend, but will certainly be capable of 260 yards and a couple touchdown throws.

Raheem Mostert – Raise your hand if you drafted Raheem Mostert back in August! He is perhaps the biggest example in 2019 of a guy leading you to victory that you likely didn’t hear of when the season started. But make no mistake about it, he is the 49ers lead back heading into the playoffs. He has scored in six straight games, and has eight touchdowns over that span. He doesn’t quite get the usage of a normal starting back with 15 carries just once in the last five weeks, but he makes the most of his chances. The Vikings largely shut down the Saints running game last week, but they also struggled on the ground most of the season. Mostert rarely puts up eye popping stats, but the Niners are going to use him, use him strategically, and at this point it would be a surprise if he didn’t score again this week. He isn’t one of the higher salaried running backs this weekend but should give you a nice return even against a tough defense.

Tevin Coleman – He hasn’t had five carries or found the end zone since Week 12. He is a name you know, but right now he isn’t enough of a part of the offense to even consider for fantasy purposes barring an injury to Raheem Mostert .

Emmanuel Sanders – He is still a threat down the field, but Sanders certainly seems to be settled into the third most important target in the Niners passing game. He has only broken ten fantasy points once since Week 9, and hasn’t had more than three catches in the last three games. He will likely deal with a lot of Xavier Rhodes on Saturday, which isn’t as intimidating as it once was, but he is still a quality corner. Even on a short slate of games, Sanders doesn’t appear to be a great selection as his salary is still a little based on a his well-known name more than his production of late.

Deebo Samuel – He is now the most dangerous wide receiver on the team. Head Coach Kyle Shanahan seems to love to design plays to get Deebo the ball in space, and the rookie seems to take advantage of it a great deal. They have also now incorporated running plays for Samuel, as he has at least one carry in five straight games, and has scored on runs in two straight weeks. He is a handful to game plan for, and not easy to take down when he gets the ball in space. Samuel is becoming a very exciting player to watch on a weekly basis and appears to be set up for a solid DFS game on Saturday.

George Kittle – This guy is just an absolute beast, and outside of the Ravens game in a driving rain, has been the focus of the 49ers offense since Halloween weekend. He has had a minimum of five catches and 67 yards in seven of the last eight weeks, and seems to be getting better every week. The Vikings gave up 54 yards to Jared Cook last Sunday, and Cook can’t hold Kittle’s jock. You can basically put it in stone now that he will be the most targeted receiver, and despite only allowing one touchdown to tight ends this year, the Vikings gave up a ton of yards and catches. Even with Travis Kelce playing as well, Kittle could very well be the most productive tight end this weekend.

Summary: I picked the Vikings to get crushed last week by the Saints, and boy did they prove me wrong! It was an amazing game, and Kirk Cousins showed a poise we hadn’t seen from him before. He will have to be even better this week though against a 49ers defense that hopes to welcome back Kwon Alexander , Dee Ford , and Jaquiski Tartt . That would make the San Francisco defense basically whole again for the first time in a long time. Dalvin Cook should still be able to run on them, as the Niners defense has been leaky against the run at times. However, will they be able to pass much, and will the Vikings defense be able to stand up to George Kittle and the playcalling of Kyle Shanahan. Unless the Vikings are able to make Jimmy Garoppolo make several poor decisions it will be hard for them to win on the road again. This might be a little closer than anticipated, but the 49ers win this one with a little breathing room.

Prediction: 49ers 31, Vikings 23

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium(Baltimore)Sat. 1-11 @ 8:15 pm ESTOver/Under: 47.5


Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Game Time: Saturday, January 11th at 8:15pm ET
Spread: Ravens -9.5

Tennessee Titans

Ryan Tannehill – His stats from the Wild Card game against the Patriots would cause a young child to cry they were so bad, however, it was a nasty night and New England had no answer for Derrick Henry . The Pats are also one of the best pass defenses in football, so while 72 yards is bad, it shouldn’t have been expected that Tannehill would light them up. It won’t get much easier this week as the Ravens were a top six pass defense and allowed only 15 passing touchdowns all season long. They also have two All-Pro corners in Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters . The Titans again will likely try to grind this one out as much as they can to try to keep Lamar Jackson off the field as much as possible. He is sure to throw the ball more than 15 times in this one, but you shouldn’t expect more than 25 attempts, unless the Ravens jump on them early. Tannehill isn’t likely to top 220 yards in this one or throw more than a single touchdown.

Derrick Henry – There has just been no answer for this guy as he now has over 200 total yards in back to back games with four touchdowns in the last two weeks. He is impossible to take down on first contact, and the guy is just an absolute load to try to tackle. You can almost see defenders deciding if they really want to make the effort of trying to tackle him. The Ravens are a top five run defense, but they did give up 12 rushing touchdowns in 16 games, so they can be run on to an extent. The Titans are sure to lean heavily on Henry again, and if he didn’t have more than 25 carries that would mean that the Ravens exploded for a ton of points early on. Henry should be the top producing running back this weekend.

A.J. Brown – We knew Brown had a tough matchup against Stephon Gilmore , but he did a total disappearing act. Of course, the offense only threw the ball 15 times, so that tells you everything you need to know about how much actual opportunity that Brown had. He gets another really tough matchup against a good, deep Ravens secondary, and it wouldn’t be a surprise if Brown was held in check again. He is supremely talented, and has a solid quarterback throwing him the ball, but this looks like another run heavy game plan. Depending on his price tag, Brown could be too rich for what he is likely to produce in what should be a game where the Titans don’t score a heck of a lot.

Corey Davis – Davis had topped seven fantasy points in three straight games, but then failed to even have a single catch in the Wild Card game. He just hasn’t been someone that you could trust since early in the season, and this game against Baltimore will be no different. He won’t be able to get free much from whatever stud corner the Ravens put on him, and Davis won’t even be a consideration for fantasy this weekend at all.

Jonnu Smith – After a nice stretch at the beginning of December, Smith has fallen back to Earth with just one catch on two targets in the last two weeks combined. The offense has become all about Derrick Henry , and in the passing game A.J. Brown. Baltimore gave up the fewest points per game to tight ends this season, and right now it would be quite the surprise to see Smith jump up and have a big game here.

Anthony Firkser – The undrafted second year player was the only “bright spot” for the Titans pass game on Saturday, and that was only good for 23 yards. He did have a nice touchdown catch though against the Patriots. You might want to get cute and go super cheap with your tight end and target Firkser this week, but that would not be a good idea. He has just ten targets in the last four games, and isn’t anything that resembles an integral part of the offense. There is a chance he could score again, but you shouldn’t risk your DFS lineup on that slim hope.  

Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson – What else can be said about the soon-to-be NFL MVP? He just seems unstoppable this year. He threw for 36 touchdowns and ran for seven more, eclipsing 1,000 yards on the ground as well. They didn’t play the Titans during the regular season, but he should have a field day. The Titans weren’t good against the run or the pass, and you have a guy who can do both. There is just no reason to think that we aren’t looking at a 25-30 point fantasy day in this one for him.

Mark Ingram Gus Edwards and Justice Hill both played well in the Ravens Week 17 game that meant nothing, but Ingram looks to be ready to get back on the field on Saturday. He suffered what looked to be a fairly serious calf injury, but the two weeks of rest seemed to be just what the doctor ordered. Ingram’s production is always hard to predict because he really isn’t involved in the passing game much at all, and sometimes Lamar Jackson just keeps it himself. He only had more than 15 carries twice all season, but he still ran for just over 1,000 yards and had 15 touchdowns. The Titans allowed 14 rushing touchdowns this season, and the only thing that could hold him back from scoring if for some reason the team gave Justice Hill a goal line carry. However, that is unlikely and as long as the quarterback doesn’t hog the ball completely, Ingram should have a good game.

Marquise Brown – He is one of the more frustrating players in fantasy football because you know the talent is there for explosive big games, but the game plans rarely revolve around him getting many looks. He started out the year with 39 targets in the first five weeks of the season, and then had just 32 in the last nine games he played. Was this the ankle injury he suffered in Week 5 that never fully healed? Or was it just that the combination of running the ball and targeting Mark Andrews worked so well the Ravens just kept the formula going? We may never know, but what we do know is that if Brown doesn’t have a touchdown he could leave you with next to nothing on the score sheet. You can take a stab at him since the Titans secondary isn’t very good, but he comes with a boatload of risk.

Seth Roberts – If you want to take a total shot in the dark at a receiver this weekend, Roberts could be a guy to consider. Nothing about his statistics this year will give you any confidence, but he did have a couple games where he at least topped five or six fantasy points. The Ravens don’t throw much, but should be able to if they wanted in this game. The Titans allowed 25 passing touchdowns this season, and Lamar Jackson can’t throw every ball to Mark Andrews . This is only if you have a lineup you like and need an ultra cheap guy to round it out and hope he grabs a touchdown, but Roberts is at least a seasoned NFL veteran and could notch you a handful of points.

Mark Andrews – Sometimes it seems like Lamar Jackson is hypnotized, and the only receiver he is allowed to throw to is Andrews. Nearly one-quarter of all of Jackson’s pass attempts went to Andrews, and the big tight end has paid off in fantasy for most of the season. He has been dealing with an ankle injury for better than a month, but he still rolls out there and gets the job done. He has seven touchdowns in the last seven games, and has topped 50 receiving yards in five of the last seven games. The Titans were the fourth worst defense against the tight end, allowing nine touchdowns to the position this season. If you haven’t started salivating yet, you might want to go to a doctor. Andrews is poised for at least 80 yards and a touchdown, and perhaps two.

Summary: I really would love to pick the Titans here. Not because I don’t like the Ravens, I am actually in awe at how good they are playing. But the Titans are the feel good story of this year’s NFL playoffs as Ryan Tannehill has resurrected his career, and Derrick Henry is a freight train bulling down defenses. However, I just don’t think their defense stands a chance at stopping Lamar Jackson . He is just on another planet right now. He runs like the wind, and just when you have him bottled up from running, he can drop a pass off to Mark Andrews that is almost unstoppable. The Titans are going to have to control the ball and limit how much the Ravens offense is on the field, but then again the Ravens defense is among the league’s best. Even though I will be rooting for them, there just doesn’t seem like many scenarios where you can envision the Titans pulling off this monumental upset.

Prediction: Ravens 38, Titans 20

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium(Kansas City)Sun. 1-12 @ 3:05 pm ESTOver/Under: 51.5


Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Game Time: Sunday, January 12th at 3:05pm ET
Spread:  Chiefs -9.5

Houston Texans

Deshaun Watson – It wasn’t the prettiest game Watson ever played, but the Texans quarterback’s stats turned out to be pretty solid. Against a really good Bills defense threw for 247 yards and a touchdown, while running for 55 more yards and another score. Watson’s use of his legs was really what got the offense going. You can never say die when he is in the game. He gets an easier, although still another tough test against the Chiefs, who were a strong pass defense down the stretch. While the Wild Card game was a grinder, this one should be a lot more fun with plenty more passing. The two teams played in Week 6 and Watson threw for 280 yards and a touchdown while running for two more. The Texans are going to have to throw a good amount as the Chiefs are sure to carve up their defense. Watson will likely have to throw at least 40 times and a 300 yard game with a couple of touchdowns is well within the realm of possibility with a chance for more.

Carlos Hyde – It was a bad game in the Wild Card round for Hyde, as he nearly fumbled away the Texans win. He did have a receiving touchdown, but also averaged only three yards a carry on the day. The guy is decent, but nothing to get overly afraid of. However, he showed this year that he can take advantage of bad defenses. As solid as the Chiefs pass defense has been, their run defense stinks. On the year they allowed over 128 yards a game on the ground, and Hyde gashed them for 116 yards and a score back in Week 6. There aren’t too many times that Carlos Hyde is a solid play in fantasy football, but this is one that you can certainly work him into your lineups and feel good about it.

DeAndre Hopkins – It took until the second half for him to get rolling, but Hopkins eventually had a good game with six catches for 90 yards, including a two point conversion catch. Nearly half of his production came on one beautiful 41 yard catch, as it wasn’t a typical Hopkins dominating game. He was going against one of the best pass defenses in football, and while the Chiefs are no slouches, it should get better for Hopkins. No matter who covers him, no one will be able to stop him consistently. He had nine catches back in Week 6, although they were good for just 55 yards. Hopkins can easily match those nine catches, but he really should easily threaten to have a 100 yard game. With no other consistent threat at receiver, Hopkins likely has a touchdown catch in this one, and he will be one of the better DFS plays of the week.

Will Fuller – If you trust this guy, good luck. He missed another game with a groin injury, although the reports are that he should play this week. He has been so inconsistent, and is always a threat to leave the game early with injury. Shockingly he did actually play the game in Kansas City back in October, and had just five catches for 44 yards. The week after he had 217 yards and three scores. That’s the life of trusting Will Fuller in fantasy football, if he even plays. The risk far outweighs the potential reward here.

Kenny Stills – It might have been against a tough team, but Stills still had very little impact on the game. He had four catches for 46 yards, but it was far from anything exciting. If Stills doesn’t score a touchdown, he is largely useless for fantasy football. In fact, he only has three games all season long where he even scored ten fantasy points in contests where he didn’t find the end zone. There should be a bunch of throwing in this one, and there should be more trust in him than Will Fuller , but there is almost no way to predict when he might find the end zone, considering he only scored in three separate games all season. If you need to shoehorn a semi-inexpensive receiver into a lineup you can use Stills, but you would be best served going in another direction.

Darren Fells – Throughout the season, the Texans did like to spread the ball around to a few different tight ends. On Wild Card Weekend, Fells was the only one who even had a target. He still didn’t do much with just four catches for 37 yards. Fells hasn’t scored since Week 13, and has just one since the team’s Week 10 bye. The Chiefs aren’t the toughest defense against the tight end, and Fells did have six catches for 69 yards against them in October, but there will still be several other options that should suit you better at the position.

Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes – Mahomes against the awful Texans secondary seems like a match made in DFS heaven. However, it wasn’t a typical end to the season for Mahomes, who only had two multi-touchdown games in the last six. He has dealt with ankle and knee injuries this season, and it clearly has impacted his play. However, he has looked better of late, and this matchup is so damn tasty. Houston only allowed a trick play touchdown last week, but the Bills offense isn’t exactly a well oiled machine. The Texans allowed 33 passing touchdowns this season, including three to Mahomes in Week 6. He was much healthier then, but it shouldn’t be a surprise if Mahomes matches that total again Sunday afternoon.

Damien Williams – It has been a season of injuries and disappointment for Williams, but when he has been healthy in the second half he has really played well. In the last two games of the season he has 189 yards on the ground and another 57 receiving yards on seven catches. He is getting hot at just the right time for the Chiefs, and if they can have a consistent running game to go with the great passing game they are going to be a tough out come playoff time. Although over 80 of his 124 rushing yards in Week 17 came on one run, Williams will still be a fantastic DFS play against a Texans defense that is also soft against the run.

Tyreek Hill – Hill has also been dealing with injuries down the stretch, but he still has been putting up decent, if unspectactular numbers. He is by far the biggest threat on the team, and honestly is the only consistent guy they have at wide receiver. His first game back from his collarbone injury was against the Texans and he burned them for five catches, 80 yards, and two touchdowns. The sky is the limit this week for Hill as he is one of the best receivers left going against one of the worst defenses. He likely will be the best receiving option this weekend.

Mecole Hardman – No other Chiefs wide receiver warrants fantasy consideration, but if you have to pick one, it should be Hardman. He doesn’t get a ton of targets, in fact he has just four in the last four weeks, but he has the second most touchdowns among wide receivers on the team, and he also returns kicks. If he breaks a big return like he did in the final week of the year, he could offer you fantasy points that way as well. This is only in a long shot, emergency situation.

Travis Kelce – The catches and yards were amazing again this year for Kelce, but the five touchdowns left plenty to be desired as that was half of his 2018 total. Of course, the team dealt with injuries to their quarterback, which certainly had an impact. He finished fairly strong with five or more catches in seven of the last eight, and 70 or more receiving yards in five of the last seven. He surely will be one of the most expensive tight ends on the slate this week, and Houston is a middle of the road defense against the tight end. Kelce had just four catches for 58 yards against them the first time, but you should expect more this week. He might be tough to work into some lineups, and might not be worth it in all cases. However, he is almost guaranteed to be targeted at least eight times, and if he had 85 yards and a touchdown you shouldn’t be surprised. It is hard to argue with putting Kelce in a DFS lineup.

Summary: The Texans won a hard fought battle last week against a very tough Buffalo Bills defense, and while Kansas City can’t match Buffalo’s defense, their offense is so much better. Here is where Houston is going to meet its undoing. Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins are two of the best players at any position in the league right now, and they are sure to put up some points. However, the Texans defense, especially their secondary, is below average and is going to have their hands full and then some against Patrick Mahomes and the high powered Chiefs offense. Even with nagging injuries to both Mahomes and Tyreek Hill , Kansas City trucked their way to a first round bye and should have no trouble putting up 30+ points on this defense. The Texans offense is good, but not good enough to score that many points on a better than you expect Chiefs defense.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Texans 24

Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers

Venue: Lambeau Field(Green Bay)Sun. 1-12 @ 6:40 pm ESTOver/Under: 45.5


Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers
Game Time: Sunday, January 12th at 6:40pm ET
Spread: Packers -4

Seattle Seahawks

Russell Wilson – He has been a weird fantasy player in the last month or so as Wilson is rotation two touchdown games with single touchdown games. And he isn’t doing what you would expect against poor defenses. Two of his games with just one touchdown were against Arizona and now Philadelphia. That being said, Wilson is always a great play, as he almost always gets it done. It won’t be easy up in Green Bay against a solid Packers secondary, but you can never count this guy out. He is pretty reasonably priced on both sites this weekend, and could easily return value if you don’t want to pay up for the two big AFC quarterbacks this weekend.

Travis Homer – He hasn’t been overly impressive since coming in when all of the Seahawks backs got hurt, and his game against the Eagles was straight trash. He is a rookie sixth rounder who barely had a touch all season, so it was hard to expect him to come in and be Christian McCaffrey . The matchup gets a lot easier for Homer this week, as the Packers were tenth worst in the league allowing over 120 yards per game on the ground. He will certainly be more involved in the passing game, but he will also definitely cede the goal line work to Marshawn Lynch . He is one of the cheaper starting running backs this week, and in a pinch can certainly find his way into your lineup if you don’t expect more than ten fantasy points out of him.

Marshawn Lynch – He was able to get nothing done this week as he had just six carries for seven yards, but was able to score another short touchdown as he absolutely wouldn’t be stopped on his way to a short touchdown. The Eagles are a strong run defense, and Lynch has only been back for two games so this couldn’t have been too surprising. Head Coach Pete Carroll said that he will get Lynch more involved this week, but you can rarely believe anything he says as he is just Mr. Positivity about his players at all times. Lynch will certainly still get any carry inside the five yard line, but to think that he is going to get more than 10-12 carries isn’t wise. He will be a little cheaper, the Packers allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season, and while he isn’t likely to top 50 rushing yards, that touchdown will keep you at least reasonably happy.

Tyler Lockett – By name value he is the Seahawks top receiver, but by production in the second half of the season he has taken a back seat to the rookie. Lockett had a decent game with four catches for 62 yards against the Eagles, but was far from awe inspiring. He has two games of more than ten fantasy points since his injury in Week 10, and the Packers bring a much tougher defense than Philadelphia did. He and Metcalf are very close in price on both main sites this week, and right now Metcalf brings the better value. At his ceiling Lockett could have five catches for 70 yards, but isn’t overly likely to score in this one.

D.K. Metcalf – It might have been against a poor Eagles secondary, but Metcalf was unstoppable as his 160 receiving yards were the most ever in a playoff game by a rookie. His touchdown was an impressive catch that he stretched for, fell, and then got up and dove for the goal line. Metcalf has been huge lately with 241 yards and two touchdowns in the last two weeks and has basically taken over as the Seahawks top receiver. The Packers secondary is fairly strong, but only Kevin King has the height to stick with Metcalf. He will be a fantastic DFS play again this weekend even though he is unlikely to replicate last week’s performance. He could easily have six catches for 120 yards and another touchdown though.

Jacob Hollister – Still believing in Hollister? He was inches away from a touchdown against the 49ers, but he topped 40 receiving yards just once in the last five weeks and has just 14 catches in the last four games. They just aren’t looking to him as much as earlier in the year, and he isn’t coming through. The Packers were middle of the road against the tight end this season, and Hollister’s value is fading. There is always a chance to use him when there are only four games in a weekend, but he wouldn’t be someone to start with a ton of confidence. If he doesn’t find the end zone, you will be left less than satisfied.

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers – He may have had 323 yards and two touchdowns in the Packers regular season finale, but that was against the crappy Lions, and he had to throw a ton in the second half because the Packers were inexplicably losing to Detroit until the end of the fourth quarter. It has been all or nothing for Rodgers this season. He had only three games with three or more touchdowns, while having nine games of one or no touchdowns, including six of the team’s last eight games. The Seahawks only allowed 19 passing touchdowns in 16 games, but they did give up over 266 yards per game through the air. This game will likely be won on the ground by whoever wins, as both defenses aren’t great against the run. Rodgers could top 225 yards and at best have two touchdowns, but this one doesn’t scream “big fantasy day” and you don’t have to give that one a Discount Double Check.

Aaron Jones – It was a fantastic season for Jones, even if it was filled with too many high highs and low lows for fantasy owners. He is on an incredible streak right now as he has rushed for over 100 yards in three of his last four games, and has five touchdowns in the last four weeks. He is also very involved in the passing game often, and can offer you another 30-50 yards through the air. The Seahawks allowed over 117 yards per game on the ground and an embarrassing 22 rushing touchdowns in just 16 games. Jones is a smash play this week against that weak Seattle defense even with Jamaal Williams back. He is nearly a guarantee for 130 total yards and is a lock for a touchdown in this one.

Jamaal Williams – A shoulder injury cost Williams the final game of the season, but he had taken a clear back seat to Aaron Jones before that anyway. It has been three games since Williams even had ten touches in a game, and he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 9. The Seahawks are absolutely awful against the run, allowing 22 rushing touchdowns, but Williams still is a long shot to have a good game. He excels in games where Aaron Jones gets off to a slow start and the team turns to him after that. With the Seahawks defense likely to be an easy target for Jones to run through, Williams might not have a ton of opportunities again in this one. However, considering how soft Seattle is, Williams could be a cheap dart throw as he is very attractively priced and could possibly get a score even on limited opportunities this week.

Davante Adams – The Packers volume machine fell just three yards shy of 1,000 on the season despite missing four games. He and Aaron Jones have been the team’s entire offense down the stretch, and his target share has been ridiculous. He has at least 13 targets in three straight games, and ten or more in eight of his last nine. The Seahawks are going to have to try to figure some way to stop this guy, and he is likely the X-factor in this one. Adams should have a field day against this defense, and will be one of the stronger wide receiver plays of the weekend. Look for Rodgers to lock on to him for most of the afternoon, and a 110 yard game with a touchdown is well within his realm of possibility.

Allen Lazard – After being a non factor for much of the previous month, Lazard has been back as the second most targeted receiver for the Packers in the last two weeks. You can usually count on him to be somewhat of a factor against bad defenses, which he was last week against the Lions with four catches for 69 yards and a touchdown. The Seahawks aren’t as bad as the Lions against the pass, but their defense is far from strong. He is far from a sure thing by any stretch, but if you were to trust any Packers receiver after Davante Adams , this should be your guy. Lazard has proven that he can get open, and that he has a nice chemistry with Aaron Rodgers . If you need a cheaper wide receiver that possibly could return good value to try to shoe horn in another stud to your lineup, don’t lose sight of Lazard.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling – MVS showed up some in the box score for the first time in a long time, but it was more of a whimper than a roar into the stat sheet. He was targeted seven times, which was the same number of times he was targeted in the last five games combined, but it was only good for two catches for 19 yards. Don’t let the outlier game of targets fool you; he isn’t a fantasy factor this week, even against a less than stellar Seahawks defense.

Jimmy Graham – His four catches for 49 yards added up to his most fantasy points since Week 7, which also was the last time he scored a touchdown. His seven targets were also the second most of the season for him, and that came against a bad Lions defense. The Seahawks actually allowed the most yards this season to tight ends, but also only surrendered five touchdowns to the position in 2019. Seattle just watched Dallas Goedert go for seven catches and 73 yards against them last week. The Packers don’t have a clear cut second most used target after Davante Adams , so it is possible that Aaron Rodgers could look Graham’s way again in the Divisional Round. He is the least expensive starting tight end in DFS games this week, and if you don’t want to spend the big money on Kittle, Kelce, or Andrews, perhaps Graham is your guy.

Summary: It took me a few days to come up with what I thought would happen in this game. I have decided that I think that the Packers are a fraud of a two seed in the NFC in 2019. Not that I think they are a bad team or didn’t earn their seeding, but I do think they are a clear fourth in the conference after San Francisco, New Orleans (R.I.P. Saints), and Seattle. I also don’t think Green Bay gets blown out in this game, but in case you haven’t figured it out by now, I am not picking them to win. Seattle can barely run the ball, and their defense is a shell of what it used to be. But they have that guy Russell Wilson , and sometimes that’s all you need. Wilson hasn’t been quite the fantasy factor this year, but he just keeps getting it done. The Packers are a more balance team with an elite running back and wide receiver, but Aaron Rodgers isn’t what he once was. This one will be a hard fought game and I will rooting like crazy for the Packers, but Seattle will win this one.

Prediction: Seahawks 27, Packers 24

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