New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees -205

Game Total: 7.5


Game Play Predictions

New York Yankees

  • The Yankees are in the top half of the league in four major offensive categories. Third in runs, 11th in batting average, Fourth in on-base percentage, and First in slugging percentage. This is one of the most powerful offenses in the league, which should have a productive night.
  • Luis Severino is on the mound for the Yankees tonight, who leads the team in wins, ERA, and strikeouts. This is a great matchup for him against the Phillies who have a 26% strikeout rate vs RHP.
  • Seven of the eight hitters in the Yankees lineup have ISO’s over .190, which gives them massive power upside tonight.
  • The Yankees have lost three of their last four games, which is their worst stretch since the beginning of April.
  • The Yankees are top three in four major pitching categories: Third in ERA, Third in quality starts, Second in WHIP, and Second in BAA.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has this slash line over his last 10 games, .436/.500/.846. He has four doubles and four home runs in that stretch.
  • Severino has only allowed three or more earned runs two times in his last 10 starts, along with having 10 or more strikeouts four times.
  • Didi Gregorius has hits in 10 of his last 11 games, with one double and one home run. He will have the platoon advantage against Arrieta tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies

  • The Phillies are in the bottom half of the league when it comes to three main offensive categories, 25th in batting average, 21st in slugging percentage, and 17th in total runs scored.
  • The Phillies have an implied run total sitting at 2.90, which is third lowest on the slate.
  • The Phillies have scored four or more runs in eight of their last nine games and are 6-3 in that span.
  • Jake Arrieta is giving up 0.98 HR/9 to righties this season, which is solid, but only has a 16% strikeout rate vs RHB, which is where you want to attack the Yankees.
  • Odubel Herrera has three multi-hit games over his last five outings, with two home runs, one double and one triple.
  • Rhys Hoskins has hits in seven of his last nine games with three home runs, three doubles, and seven RBIs.
  • Arrieta has given up 16 earned runs over his last four starts, while only racking up only 14 strikeouts in that same span.
  • Carlos Santana has three home runs in his last six games, but only has four total hits in that span. Seems to be all or nothing for him lately.