If there is anything I don’t like about playing fantasy sports, it is trying to read the tea leaves. I think it nearly impossible to guess what motivates strangers, let alone assuming that those motivations will manifest into fantasy points. That is why I try (unsuccessfully) to avoid “revenge games” and I often ignore things like contract years. We don’t know if someone’s going to be motivated to play better in a contract year, so I don’t consider it in my analysis.

This time of year, however, we have to consider motivation, at least to some degree. While coaches are, for the most part, trying to win every game during the regular season, there are different motivations with 2-3 games left. Teams that are out of the playoffs may try to get young players more minutes. Playoff teams may no longer have to worry about securing home-court advantage, but they are still trying to secure byes in the first and second rounds, while also ensuring their teams are healthy and rested for the playoffs. With that in mind, let’s quickly look at what each of the six teams in Thursday’s WNBA DFS slate are playing for.

Indiana and New York have missed the playoffs again, as their rebuilds failed to show much forward momentum. At least New York can blame their record on injuries. The Liberty have leaned somewhat into playing their young players more by essentially shutting down Amanda Zahui B. On the other hand, Layshia Clarendon has played her most minutes since early August. That could easily change in the last two games.

Indiana finally returned Teaira McCowan to the starting lineup Tuesday, but still only played her 23 minutes. Candice Dupree and Natalie Achonwa are both free agents after the season, and there is no apparent reason to play them ahead of McCowan. The Fever have done nothing to indicate McCowan will suddenly play 30+ minutes in these last two games, but I am still hopeful.

Everyone else in the slate is either fighting to secure a playoff bye or, in the case of the Mystics, simply fighting for a playoff spot. While these teams should all play their starters the normal allotment of minutes, it is possible they will have a quick hook if the game starts to get out of hand.

Guards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Riquna WilliamsLAWAS710018.76450018.73
Williams got the start Tuesday with Brittney Sykes out, setting new season highs with 33 minutes and 29 fantasy points. Sykes is questionable Thursday, and Williams is a great play if Sykes cannot go. They are roughly the same price, so you can probably put Williams in your lineups and pivot to Sykes if Sykes is in the starting lineup. 
Odyssey SimsMINLV640016.54520015.81
Sims played a season-high 27 minutes Tuesday, topping 19 fantasy points for the fourth straight game. 
Crystal DangerfieldMINLV830025.1600023.96
Dangerfield has scored at least 30 fantasy points in five of her last seven games. She might be the safest guard in the slate, and you can get her at a bit of a discount.
Ariel AtkinsWASLA780024.63570024.23
Atkins is averaging 40 mpg in her last two games, and she has scored 20+ fantasy points in nine of her last 10 games. The Sparks are ninth in the league in fantasy points allowed to guards.
Tiffany MitchellINDNY660022.03500020.97
The Liberty are last in the league in fantasy points allowed to guards, and Mitchell is the most affordable way into the Indiana backcourt. Mitchell is averaging 19.25 fantasy points in her last four games.
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Joyner HolmesNYIND51008.541008.01
Holmes has played at least 20 minutes in two straight games, finishing with 31.25 fantasy points in the first and 11.25 fantasy points in the second. She's not safe, but I think the playing time is, and her price is still cheap.
Kelsey MitchellINDNY800026.08560024.09
Mitchell and Julie Allemand are both coming off great games, and both have a great matchup with New York. Mitchell is cheaper, and I believe she is more likely to score 30+ fantasy points.
        
Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Teaira McCowanINDNY820022.94620022.37
McCowan is averaging 29.3 fppg in her last five games. She got the start Tuesday and while that didn't result in her playing more minutes, there is a chance she plays more down these last two games with Indiana eliminated from the playoffs. 
Jocelyn WilloughbyNYIND570012.01480011.87
Willoughby is averaging 24 minutes and 26.25 fantasy points in her last two games. With Amanda Zahui B seemingly done for the season, Willoughby should have similar minutes and production against Indiana.
Nneka OgwumikeLAWAS850022.34690022.14
Ogwumike is coming off her best game of the season Tuesday, and outside of the game she left with a back injury, she is averaging 27.5 fantasy points in her last four games. Her ceiling isn't great, but she is a strong cash game play.
Damiris DantasMINLV1010026.8680026.13
Dantas only played 21 minutes Tuesday against Washington, and while she managed to score 23.75 fantasy points, that is a bit worrisome. Dantas is still averaging 36.4 fantasy points over her last five games, and she'll get a couple extra days of rest if Minnesota can hold onto the fourth seed. I think she'll play 30ish minutes and put up big fantasy points again.
Napheesa CollierMINLV1110037.45820037.75
Collier has scored at least 36 fantasy points in eight of her last nine games, and Las Vegas is ninth in fantasy points allowed to forwards. Collier is super safe, though I would be fine going down to Candace Parker on FanDuel if you need to save some money.
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Kiah StokesNYIND700018.72500018.94
Stokes is shooting 13.6 percent from the field in her last four games, but is still averaging 17.3 fantasy points in that span. New York is short on bigs with Amanda Zahui B essentially not playing, and Stokes has 30+ fantasy point upside if she can just make a few shots.
Myisha Hines-AllenWASLA1050033.63730032.38
Hines-Allen is averaging 33 minutes and 43.2 fantasy points in her last three games. Washington needs a win to tie Dallas for the eighth spot in the playoffs with two games to play, and Hines-Allen should play a ton of minutes again Thursday.

As always, the lineups below are examples of lineups you can make using the players in the Playbook and are not for plug and play.

DK CashPivotDK Pivot Cash
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GRiquna WilliamsLAWAS18.76$7,100ToGBrittney SykesLAWAS 20.03$7,400
GOdyssey SimsMINLAV16.54$6,400 G     
FNneka OgwumikeLAWAS22.34$8,500 F     
FTeaira McCowanINDNY22.94$8,200 F     
FNapheesa CollierMINLAV37.45$11,100 F     
UtilCrystal DangerfieldMINLAV25.1$8,300ToUtilAriel AtkinsWASLA24.63$7,800
    Total$49,600     Total$15,200
             
DK GPPPivotDK Pivot GPP
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GKelsey MitchellINDNY26.08$8,000 G     
GJocelyn WilloughbyNY@IND12.01$5,700 G     
FTeaira McCowanINDNY22.94$8,200 F     
FDamiris DantasMINLAV26.8$10,100 F     
FMyisha Hines-AllenWAS@LA 33.63$10,500ToFEmma MeessemanWAS@LA 29.96$9,500
UtilRiquna WilliamsLAWAS18.76$7,100ToUtilBrittney SykesLAWAS20.03$7,400
    Total$49,600     Total$16,900
             
FD CashPivotFD Pivot Cash
PosPlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary PosPlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GRiquna WilliamsLAWAS18.73$4,500ToGBrittney SykesLAWAS20.56$4,900
GTiffany MitchellINDNY20.97$5,000 G     
GCrystal DangerfieldMINLV23.96$6,000ToGAriel AtkinsWAS LA 24.23$5,700
FJocelyn WilloughbyNYIND11.87$4,800 F     
FTeaira McCowanINDNY22.37$6,200 F     
FEmma MeessemanWASLA29.91$6,500 F     
FDamiris DantasMINLV26.13$6,800 F     
    Total$39,800     Total$10,600
             
FD GPP PivotFD Pivot GPP
PosPlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary PosPlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GAriel AtkinsWASLA24.23$5,700 G     
GJoyner HolmesNYIND8.01$4,100 G     
GRiquna WilliamsLAWAS18.73$4,500ToGBrittney SykesLAWAS20.56$4,900
FCandace ParkerLAWAS36.77$7,800ToFMyisha Hines-AllenWASLA32.38$7,300
FDamiris DantasMINLV26.13$6,800 F     
FTeaira McCowanINDNY22.37$6,200 F     
FJocelyn WilloughbyNYIND11.87$4,800 F     
    Total$39,900     Total$12,200