Monkey Knife Fight: Farmers Insurance Open
Steve Pimental breaks down his plays on Monkey Knife Fight for the PGA Farmers Insurance Open
Even though we kept our Touchdown Dance streak going thanks to four total touchdowns from Damien Williams, Derrick Henry and Tyreek Hill, I think now is the perfect time to transition from the NFL to other MKF contests. This week, we will try our hand at our first Premier League and PGA contests. Let me know on Twitter or in the FantasyAlarm Subscriber chat what sports and games you would like featured in this space going forward.
Tony Finau Birdies or better vs. Rickie Fowler +0.5
Finau is averaging 4.35 birdies or better at Torrey Pines, tops among all golfers since 2010. Fowler is certainly capable of matching that, especially considering his recent form, but he hasn't finished in the top 60 at the Farmers since 2013, despite playing every year.
Justin Rose +.5 total strokes vs. Jon Rahm
Rahm has finished in the top 10 in four straight tournaments, with two wins and a runner-up. In three tries at the Farmers, he has finished first, 29th and fifth. Justin Rose has three straight top-10s in this tournament, but Rahm is the Vegas favorite, and I'm not picking against him here.
Rory McIlroy Pars or better vs. Hideki Matsuyama +0.5
McIlroy is tied for second in bogey avoidance this season. He’s also second in driving distance and first in Par 4 Scoring. McIlroy has finished in the top five in his first start of the calendar year 10 times, including last year in this very tournament. Hideki is hitting the ball as well as anyone right now, but his putter has continually let him down. He is tied for 82nd in three-putt avoidance, which is not a good way to make a lot of pars and birdies.
More or Less 2/2
Hideki Matsuyama Less than 63.5 Pars or better
For as good as Hideki has been at this tournament, he has topped 63.5 pars or better just once in his last five tries. He could top that number and still fall short of Rory McIlroy, but I don’t see that happening.
Justin Rose Less than 277.5 total strokes
If you’re keeping score at home, Rose would need to finish -11 or better (or miss the cut) to finish under 277.5 total strokes. Rose finished -21 last year, and the weather is expected to be even more favorable this year.
More or Less 2/3
Mohamed Salah Less than 24.5 fantasy points
Salah’s numbers on the road are underwhelming, with only one goal, four assists and 10 shots on target in eight appearances. He’s not getting tackles, interceptions or blocked shots, so he almost certainly needs a goal to go over, and Wolves have conceded 15 goals in 11 home games this season.
Raul Jimenez Less than 11.5 fantasy points
Liverpool haven’t conceded a goal in the Premier League since December 4, but unlike Salah, Jimenez doesn’t need to score to reach the fantasy point target. Jimenez is coming off a great game against Southampton on Saturday, when he put three of five shots on target for two goals. Of course, Jimenez failed to get a shot on target at Liverpool a mere three weeks ago, and he has 10 shots on target in 11 home appearances. This call will look dumb if he gets a goal or an assist, but I’m going under.
Fabinho Less than 12.5 fantasy points
Fabinho has two shots on target in seven home appearances, with one goal and one assist. His fantasy points will mostly come from defensive stats, but even then his home numbers are modest, with 18 tackles, 10 interceptions and zero blocks. I don’t love going Under for all three players, but this might be the call I feel best about from this game.
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