PlaySqorr Playbook - Week 16
Steve Pimental takes us through his NFL PlaySqorr Playbook for Week 16 with the best plays for Sunday's slate!
Sometimes, the toughest decisions are not which PlaySqorr picks to make, but which ones to play. I feel really good about the first five picks on my PlaySqorr card, and I’m tempted to just play those five, in pursuit of a X18 payout if I win. I feel less good about the last two picks, but it still may be worth playing them because the multiplier increases so much. A six pick entry would pay out X35 and a seven pick entry pays out X70. I may just wait and see how I’m feeling before kickoff. With the PlaySqorr app, I can make my picks even if I’m doing last-minute Christmas shopping.
NFL Ballers Week 16
At the beginning of the season, it would have seemed like absolute madness to call either Ryan Tannehill or Kirk Cousins Ballers. There is no doubt they have played well of late, though they have both benefitted from quality run games that have allowed them to thrive on limited pass attempts. Both quarterbacks have tough home matchups this week. Cousins’s fantasy production has been lacking the last three weeks, and I’m not confident he can carry the load if the running game struggles with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison both injured.
This is another matchup of quarterbacks who I wouldn’t exactly characterize as Ballers, though Minshew does have a baller mustache. Minshew also has a baller matchup against Atlanta, while Goff has to face the 49ers. Goff managed just 1.1 fantasy points in his first game against San Francisco, and while the 49ers’ defense doesn’t look quite as fearsome as it did in Week 6, I still don’t trust Goff to do much against them. D.J. Chark is expected to play, which certainly helps Minshew. Minshew could use the help, as he is averaging just 16.2 fppg in his two starts since replacing Nick Foles again.
Both of these backs have been mildly disappointing, and they both have relatively good matchups. The Titans are 20th in fantasy points allowed to running backs, while the Raiders are 21st. Kamara is averaging 3.3 fantasy points per game more than Gordon, and that’s with Kamara scoring just two touchdowns the entire season. Kamara hasn’t topped 14 fantasy points since Week 12, but if this is the week he finally rediscovers the end zone, he could top Gordon quite easily.
Freeman appears to have the much better matchup, as Jacksonville ranks 31st in fantasy points allowed to running backs, while Seattle is 17th. Freeman had 19.4 fantasy points against Carolina two weeks ago, and I anticipate similar products in this game against another terrible run defense. Drake is coming off a huge game at home against Cleveland, but efore that, he had 14 fantasy points or fewer in four straight games. I suspect he will revert to his previous form in this game.
Lockett appears to have a much easier matchup than Robinson, which is the only reason I’m even considering Lockett. Their fppg are similar, but Robinson has been far more consistent, with at least 19.5 fantasy points in four straight games, and just three games of single-digit fantasy points. Locket has been held to single-digit fantasy points in four of his last five games, and like Kenyan Drake , I don’t necessarily expect Lockett to repeat his huge performance from Week 15. Arizona figures to play a fair amount of man-to-man, which could nuetralize Lockett to some degree and allow Robinson to come out on top.
I’m not sure it’s possible for two players to be more evenly matched. Both are coming off huge games in Week 15 in which they failed to find the end zone. The Bears rank 22nd in fantasy points allowed to tight ends despite facing very few good tight ends. The Rams are ninth in fantasy points allowed to tight ends, but they did allow Kittle to catch eight passes for 103 yards in their first meeting of the season. This is awfully close, and I’m not sure I’m going to play it, but I’ll take Kelce.
My usual inclination is to just ignore kickers when possible, and I might do that for this card as well. The problem with that is I could potentially double my payout if I include this prop in my card. Crosby has been much better than Rosas this season, and Rosas has topped eight fantasy points just once all season. Crosby has eight fantasy points in two of his last three games, and it should also help that Crosby will be kicking in a dome.