SuperDraft Playbook & Example Lineups - Week 14
Steve Pimental takes us through his NFL SuperDraft Playbook & Example Lineups for Week 14
Hopefully, you’ve been playing SuperDraft along with us this season, because last week went well. Getting Aaron Rodgers at 1.3% ownership was huge, as was Courtland Sutton at 0.9%. I’m still surprised Jack Doyle was only 29.34% owned in one of my contests. I tend to value certain players more than most, which is why Mark Ingram makes this list most weeks, and while I try not to play those guys every single week, I don’t shy away from it, either. It’s nice to know I don’t have to chase differential plays because I will usually hit on a few players at low ownership without even trying. That could come in handy for this week’s cash lineup because at least a couple of my picks will likely be pretty chalky.
Deshaun Watson X1.35
This multiplier does not make sense. The only quarterback on Sunday’s slate who is averaging more fantasy points than Watson is Lamar Jackson . I suppose this is a reaction to Denver’s defense, but I’m not afraid of the Broncos, especially if Von Miller cannot go. Watson is capable of having a stinker like he did at Baltimore three weeks ago, so I get it if he makes you nervous for cash, but I don’t know how you could pass him up.
Tom Brady X1.5
Watson looks downright rock-solid compared to Brady. I went to bed late in the third quarter of the Sunday night game, when it looked like Brady would be held under 15 fantasy points for the fourth straight game. He obviously made his week in garbage time, and while I don’t want to count on that, it’s nice to know he at least has the potential to Bortles his way to fantasy points.
Drew Lock X1.75
Speaking of someone with Bortles potential, Lock qualifies. He had 13.86 fantasy points despite only throwing for 134 yards, and if Deshaun Watson plays well, Lock might have to throw down the field more than he did in his NFL debut. With his multiplier, if he matches last week’s point total, he’d top 24 fantasy points, and I would be very happy with that.
Andy Dalton X1.55
Just in case you’re not happy with those other options, I think Dalton is the best of the bunch between Brady and Lock. Dalton is averaging 17.0 fantasy points, just short of Brady’s average, and he has at least 13 fantasy points in five straight games.
Mark Ingram X1.6
Ingram was held to just 7.20 fantasy points last week, against a historically good defense in the pouring rain. He had at least 22 fantasy points in each of his two games before that, and this is another multiplier that makes no sense.
If I knew he was healthy and would get his normal touches, Jacobs would be an easy cash play along with Ingram. If he is out, Richard and Washington become interesting plays with high multipliers.
Aaron Jones X1.5
I am a bit concerned that Jones’s only good game in November came against the Panthers, but it’s not like Washington’s defense is special. Jones has 14 touchdowns on the season, and he could easily get one or two more in this game.
Devonta Freeman X1.7
Speaking of Freeman, have you seen how bad the Panthers are against the run? He had 21 touches last week, and if he gets 21 more in this game, he’ll probably have a huge week.
I prefer Mixon to Singletary, but I’m pretty sure everyone is sick of me talking about Mixon in this space. He has at least 15 fantasy points in four of his last five games, while Singletary has at least 13.90 fantasy points in each of his last two games.
Davante Adams X1.05
I’m really tempted to take DeAndre Hopkins instead, but the multiplier difference is negligible, and I’m slightly more concerned about Hopkins’s matchup.
Keenan Allen X1.35
I don’t know what happened to Allen in October, but he seems to be over it. He has at least 12.60 fantasy points in three straight games.
Tyler Boyd X1.5
Boyd has at least nine fantasy points in four of his last five games, including each of his last two. His targets and (to a lesser extent) production should be safe with Andy Dalton throwing to him again.
Marquise Brown X1.65
I think we can throw out last week’s stats because they came in a monsoon. Brown wasn’t exactly consistent before that, but he is the deep threat in an explosive offense, and that has value.
Curtis Samuel X1.75
I think it is at least possible the Panthers spread the ball around more now that Ron Rivera is gone. Even if that isn’t the case, Samuel has some upside in a good matchup.
Vance McDonald X1.5
Yes, I know it is obvious, and no, I don’t feel great about this call, even if every single tight end scores a touchdown against the Cardinals (except for Evan Engram ). McDonald has double-digit fantasy points in just two of his games this season, so if you’re using him, it’s entirely for the matchup.
Jared Cook X1.55
Cook has at least 10 fantasy points in six consecutive games. The matchup is very tough, but the multiplier feels way too high.
Ian Thomas X2
This feels like going out on a limb, but Thomas wasn’t bad last season when Greg Olsen was out. He could get shut out, but it’s not like there are a bunch of super-safe tight ends I’m dying to play ahead of him.
Hunter Henry X1.25