Prize Picks: Optimal Lineups - April 24
Steve Pimental takes a look at Prize Picks props for the Wednesday night NBA and MLB slates!
The PGA Tour is taking a break from its regularly scheduled programming for a team event, so we are going back to the NBA one more (possibly last) time. This is our first taste of playoff basketball in this space, but so far I think I like it better than regular season ball. Especially now that we are deeper into the first round matchups, it feels like these games are more predictable. I guess we’ll find out for sure in a little bit. As always, these picks are in order of preference. For Wednesday’s games, I’m doing a four-pick NBA entry and a two-pick MLB entry.
Steve’s NBA Picks for Wednesday, April 24:
Projected Fantasy Points: 33.5
Harrell has not done much statistically since DeMarcus Cousins went down, failing to top 22 fantasy points or 26 minutes played. It wouldn’t shock me if he bounced back with a few more rebounds or a couple more made shots, but he has a long way to go to get to 33.5 fantasy points, especially if he’s not going to play 30 minutes.
Danilo Gallinari at Golden State Warriors
Projected Fantasy Points: 32.0
I get that the Warriors have multiple bodies to throw at Gallinari, but he simply cannot continue to shoot so poorly. Gallinari has shot 21.2 percent in the last two games, and if he has even just an average night shooting the ball, he should go over 32.0 fantasy points.
Projected Fantasy Points: 27.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been inconsistent all season, and the playoffs have been no different. He doesn't turn the ball over, which is nice, but he doesn't do a whole lot outside of scoring. If Danilo Gallinari bounces back like I expect him to, that will probably mean fewer shots for SGA.
Projected Fantasy Points: 50.0
In the two games since Steve Kerr said he wanted Kevin Durant to shoot 20 times a game (also coinciding with the DeMarcus Cousins injury), Kevin Durant has at least 21 fields goals and 50.4 fantasy points. I feel pretty confident he can keep it going for one more game.
Steve’s MLB Picks for Wednesday, April 24:
Walker Buehler at Chicago Cubs (Cole Hamels, LHP)
Projected Fantasy Points: 42.5
Buehler has topped 30 fantasy points just once in three starts this season. He has only gone deep enough to qualify for the win twice, and he has only gone long enough to qualify for a quality start once. The Dodgers are slight favorites in this game, though I’m not convinced they should be, and they certainly strike out enough for Buehler to go over. That being said, he could pitch great for 5.2 innings and still fall short if he doesn’t get the win.
Justin Verlander vs. Minnesota Twins (Kohl Stewart, RHP)
Projected Fantasy Points: 43.5
Verlander has gone over 50 fantasy points in all three of his wins this season, and Houston is a -240 favorite. This will be just his second home start this season, which is another reason to like the Over for this line.
Andrew Benintendi vs. Detroit Tigers (Tyson Ross, R)
Projected Fantasy Points: 8.0
Benintendi is batting .357/.441/.643 with two homers and a stolen base in his last eight games. Tyson Ross has been surprisingly not terrible so far this season, but it helps that two of his games were against the White Sox and Royals. And even with that advantage, Ross still has a 4.99 FIP this season.
Ketel Marte at Pittsburgh Pirates (Jordan Lyles, R)
Projected Fantasy Points: 5.5
Lyles has been very good so far in 2019, and even if the home run rate isn’t sustainable, the strikeout and walk rates should be. Ketel Marte has been a bit underwhelming so far this season, with as many walks (four) as home runs. Marte has been especially poor of late, batting 2-for-12 with nary an extra-base hit over his last four games. Marte is batting leadoff Wednesday, which is the only reason he is so far down my list.