Prize Picks: Optimal Lineups - March 20
Steve Pimental takes a look at Prize Picks and builds some optimal lineups for Wednesday's NBA and PGA slates
After a couple of weeks of mixing NBA and PGA picks, I’m back to segregating them this week. I like all four picks for both sports this week, but after a couple of weeks of coming up short (and a bit of bad luck with Jason Day withdrawing from a tournament) I’m playing two-pick entries in both sports. Good Luck this week.
Rudy Gobert @ New York Knicks
Projected Fantasy Points: 43.2
In his only game against the Knicks this season, Rudy Gobert had 46.2 fantasy points despite recording just one block. The Knicks have allowed the 10th most fantasy points to opposing centers this season, and only the Clippers and Hornets have allowed more blocks to opponents than the Knicks this season. Gobert has topped 43.2 fantasy points in four of his last five games.
Collin Sexton vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Fantasy Points: 29.2
Sexton has gone over 29.2 fantasy points in five straight games, and he was 0.3 points shy of making it six straight. I don’t feel great about relying on Sexton given a rookie season that would charitably be described as uneven, but there is no doubt he has been playing great for a couple of weeks now, and I see no reason why it couldn’t last one more game.
Projected Fantasy Points: 55.3
Joel Embiid’s offensive numbers have been solid against the Celtics, but he has still fallen well short of 55.3 fantasy points in two of his three games against them this season. Embiid has been great of late, but this is much tougher test than his recent games against Sacramento and Cleveland.
DeAndre Jordan vs. Utah Jazz
Projected Fantasy Points: 32.4
A matchup against Rudy Gobert is not nearly so scary as you might otherwise think. The Jazz are in the middle of the pack in fantasy points allowed to opposing centers, and DeAndre Jordan has gone over 32.4 fantasy points in two of his three games against Utah this season. Jordan has also gone over in five of his last seven games.
Projected Fantasy Points: 16.0
Bubba has played this tournament once in the last five years and missed the cut. He ranks 153rd on tour in Bogey Avoidance and 103rd in Par 4 scoring. That’s not going to get it done. Bubba is coming off a T56 last week at the PLAYERS Championship, and I don’t like his chances of doing any better this week.
Projected Fantasy Points: 15.5
Furyk figures to be an awfully popular DFS play this week after his runner-up finish last week, but his projection is still pretty low. Furyk has three top-15 finishes in his last four starts, and he ranks seventh in Par4 Scoring, sixth in Bogey Avoidance and eighth in Scrambling.
Projected Fantasy Points: 15.0
Varner has missed the cut in three of his last four tournaments as well as his last three tries at the Valspar Championship. Varner ranks T56 in Round 1 Scoring Average this season.
Projected Fantasy Points: 17.0
Sergio finished fourth at this event last season, and he has been very good in 2019 when he can avoid getting disqualified. Sergio ranks 41st on tour in Par 4 Scoring and 63rd in Bogey Avoidance. Sergio ranks T56 in Round 1 Scoring Average this season.