Go big or go home, I always say. That’s not true. I don’t always say that. I say it often. Well, maybe not often; but definitely sometimes. I sometimes say go big or go home. This is one of those times.
This week’s PrizePicks Optimal Lineups are going big, in a couple of different ways. With the NBA All-Star break behind us, we are making NBA and PGA picks going forward. That means twice as many chances to win money as in previous weeks. This week, I am also going big with my entries. I make four picks per sport each week, but depending on how strongly I feel about those picks, I may only play a 2-pick or 3-pick entry. This week, I’m going big by playing 4-pick entries in both sports. If I get all four correct, I win 10x my entry. If I fail to get all four right, we can commiserate about it in the FantasyAlarm subscriber chat. If you don’t want to go big, you don’t have to go home. I recommend playing the first two listed picks in 2-pick entries or my first three listed picks in 3-pick entries.
Steve’s Picks for Febuary 27, 2019:
NBA
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Stephen Curry vs. Heat
Projected Fantasy Points: 44.2
OVER
Curry has been inconsistent in the past, but we can put all that in the rearview now that DeMarcus Cousins is out. Expect Curry’s usage and fantasy production to rise in this game.
Bradley Beal @ BKN
Projected Fantasy Points: 48.0
OVER
Beal has gotten over 48.0 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games. Brooklyn is average defensively and against shooting guards, and that isn’t likely to be good enough to slow Beal down.
Kevin Durant @ Heat
Project Fantasy Points: 48.3
OVER
I’m not sure why Kevin Durant is projected for more fantasy points than DeMarcus Cousins , but that is the only reason he is further down my list. Durant has a 32.7 percent usage rate with DeMarcus Cousins off the floor, and this is a pretty low total for a player of his caliber.
Clint Capela vs. Charlotte Hornets
Projected Fantasy Points: 36.0
OVER
No team has allowed more blocks to opponents than the Hornets this season, and if Clint Capela gets a few blocks, he could fly past this point total. Only seven teams have allowed more fantasy points to opposing centers than the Hornets, and Capela is averaging 10.7 points and 11.3 rebounds in 31.5 minutes since his return from thumb surgery.
PGA
Justin Thomas
Projected Fantasy Points: 18.0
OVER
Thomas ranks third in First Round Scoring Average, and he has four top-tens in his last five tournaments. He is the defending champion this week as well.
Alex Noren
Projected Fantasy Points: 15.0
UNDER
Out of all of the available golfers on PrizePicks Wednesday, Noren is playing the worst golf right now by far. He finished 62nd out of 73 golfers last week, and he has finished outside the top 40 in three straight tournaments. He ranks 187th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 136th in Par 4 Scoring and 175th in Bogey Avoidance. In case that wasnt enough, Noren ranks 216th out of 222 qualified players in Round 1 Scoring Average.
Sergio Garcia
Projected Fantasy Points: 16.5
OVER
Let's just hope Sergio waits until the second round to get himself disqualified. His DQ overseas is the lone blemish on an otherwise strong 2019. He has finished no worse than 33rd in his last five starts at PGA National, and he has made the cut in all eight of his starts there. Sergio ranks in the top 20 in Par 4 Scoring, Strokes Gained: Approach and Bogey Avoidance this season.
Harold Varner
Projected Fantasy Points: 15.0
UNDER
Varner has two missed cuts in his last three tournaments. In three tries at PGA National, he has two missed cuts and has finished 57th. He ranks 94th in Strokes Gained: Approach. He has been good in the first round so far this season, which is the only reason he isn’t higher on the list.