11-Game Slate | Tip-off (7:00pm EST)

GS @ CHA
IND @ DET
POR @ CLE
PHO @ MIA
SA @ BKN
ATL @ HOU
PHI @ NO
MIL @ CHI
LAL @ MEM
SAC @ MIN
DAL @ LAC


 

1. Kevin Durant shoots a better field goal percentage than Kemba Walker in Monday's game? Yes 2.3x // No 2.8x

YES. Durant is shooting 51.7 percent on the season, while Walker is shooting just 42.9 percent. Over the last 30 days the difference has been even more pronouced, with Durant shooting 54.4 percent compared to 41.0 percent for Walker. Golden State ranks fifth in opponents’ field goal percentage at 44.7 percent while Charlotte ranks 21st at 46.7 percent. Even with the lower payout, I am confident going with Durant in this matchup.

2. POR and CLE combine to make 20 or more three pointers in Monday's game. Yes 3.5x // No 2x

YES. Portland is averaging 11.0 made threes per game, while Cleveland is averaging 9.9. Cleveland has been much better of late, averaging 12.8 made threes in February, while Portland has remained steady at 10.6. Defensively, the Cavs allow 11.5 threes per game compared to 10.9 for Portland. In their only matchup this season, these teams combined to make 22 threes. All signs point to yes. I’m strongly considering making this my One Shot.

3. D. Sabonis records more rebounds than B. Griffin in Monday's game. Yes 2.7x // No 2.1x

YES. Domantas Sabonis is averaging 9.3 rebounds per game this season. In his only game against Detroit, he had 11 rebounds in 25 minutes. Blake Griffin is averaging 7.9 rebounds per game this season, and he had seven in 31 minutes against Indiana. I would probably like Sabonis even better if Myles Turner is out again, but I’m going with Yes either way.

4. SAS wins Monday's game (@BKN). Yes 2.5x // No 2.5x

NO. The Spurs are two-point underdogs, and I would argue they should be getting even more points on the road on the second night of a back-to-back. The Spurs won the first meeting between these two teams by just three points in San Antonio. The Spurs are 11-21 on the road this season and they have lost six of their seven games on this road trip.

5. PHX and MIA combine to score 215 or more points in Monday's game. Yes 2.4x // No 2.6x

NO. Half of Miami's team is injured, and while they will probably still defend roughly as well as usual, I think they will struggle to score points.

6. Z. LaVine and L. Markkanen combine to score 50 points in Monday's game (vs. MIL). Yes 3.7x // No 11.7x

YES. Otto Porter Jr. and Kris Dunn are both doubtful, which should lead to even more shots for LaVine and Markkanen. They may both go 8-of-25 from the field, but that would probably still be enough to get to 50 fantasy points. LaVine and Markkanen combined for 77 points Saturday with Otto Porter Jr. limited to 14 minutes, and they combined for 58 in their last game before Porter was traded to Chicago.

7. Three or more players in Monday's ATL @ HOU game record a double-double. Yes 2.9x // No 2.1x

YES. The Rockets have 75 double-doubles this season, led by Clint Capela with 30 and James Harden with 21. The Rockets have had two double-doubles in the same game 19 times this season, including two games in which three Rockets had double-doubles. On the other end, the Rockets have the second worst defensive rebounding rate in the NBA, so it is no surprise they have allowed 64 double-doubles this season. They have allowed double-doubles to two opponents 17 times, including allowing three double-doubles in the same game against New Orleans back in October.

For their part, the Hawks have recorded 64 double-doubles and allowed 58. Trae Young , Dewayne Dedmon and John Collins are all double-double threats.

8. Which team shoots a better FG% in Monday's game? (LAL vs. MEM). LAL 2.5x // MEM 2.5x

LAL. Memphis ranks 26th in field goal percentage in February at 43.6 percent. The Lakers surprisingly rank 11th at 47.8 percent. On the season, Memphis ranks 24th at 44.9 percent compared to 47.4 percent for the Lakers, good for seventh place. Defensively, the Lakers and Grizzlies are both holding opponents to 45 percent shooting.

9. J. Teague and D. Fox each record 8 or more assists in Monday's game. Yes 3.3x // No 2.2x

NO. Jeff Teague is inactive for Monday's contest.

10. NOP wins Monday's game (vs. PHI). Yes 2.7x vs. No 2.4x

NO. Philadelphia is a one-point favorite on the road. The Sixers will be without Joel Embiid once again, while the Pelicans are playing Anthony Davis and Jrue Holiday decreased minutes. It also doesn’t hurt that Philadelphia is fighting for playoff seeding while the Pelicans are actively trying to lose games.

11. T. Hardaway Jr. (DAL) makes more FG’s than L. Williams (LAC) in Monday’s game. Yes 3.1x // No 2.1x

NO. Hardaway is averaging 5.8 field goalsper game with Luka Doncic in the lineup. Lou Williams has at least six field goals in four straight games, averaging 9.3 over that span. He is averaging 8.2 made field goals in the month of February.

12. GSW scores 118 or more points in Monday’s game (@CHA) Yes 2.7x // No 2.4x

YES. The Warriors’ implied point total is 119.6, and it helps that Yes is getting slightly better odds. I just hope Charlotte can keep the game close (they are getting 8.5 points), though it helps that the Hornets are at home, where they have a 20-10 record.

13. SAS and BKN combine to record seven or more blocks in Monday’s game. Yes 2.2x // No 3.4x

YES. It is hard to believe Brooklyn is averaging just 4.2 blocks per game with Jarrett Allen getting 1.6 blocks per game himself. The Spurs are only marginally better at 4.5 blocks per game. On the other end, the Spurs are allowing 4.5 blocks per game to opponents compared to 4.2 for Brooklyn. In their previous meeting, the Nets had seven blocks all by themsleves, and the two teams combined for 10 blocks.

14. C. McCollum (POR) or D. Lillard (POR) make 3 or more 3 pointers in Monday’s game (@CLE) Yes 2.2x // No 2.7x

YES. I already predicted these two teams would make 20+ threes, so I probably need one of those players to hit three or more threes in order to get there. McCollum has hit three or more threes in 21 games while Lillard has done it 30 times. Lillard had four threes against Cleveland last month.

15. At least 3 GSW players score 20 or more points in Monday’s game (@CHA). Yes 3.3x // No 2.1x

NO. Three Warriors have reached 20+ points in just seven games this season, and just once since DeMarcus Cousins return. I don’t like those odds.

16. D. Booker (PHX) scores 28 or more points in Monday’s game (@ MIA) Yes 3.6x // No 1.8x

NO. The Heat have allowed an opposing player to score 28 or more points in 20 out of 58 games this season. Booker has reached that mark 17 times in 46 games. Its awfully close, but I already predicted these teams score under 215 points, and that will be hard to do if Booker goes for 28+.

17. G. Antetokounmpo (MIL) records a triple-double in Monday’s game (@CHI). Yes 4.5x // No 1.5x

NO. Giannis is doubtful for this game. Even if he plays, he probably won’t be 100 percent. Even if he is 100 percent, he has just one triple-double in his last 15 games.

18. M. Conley (MEM) records at least 6 assists and 3 rebounds in Monday’s game (vs. LAL). Yes 3.7x // No 1.9x

YES. I was a bit surprised to see Conley hasn’t reached three rebounds and six assists in any of his last three games, though he has reached those marks in three of his seven games this month and seven of his last 11 games overall. He had just one rebounds in each of his two games against the Lakers this season, which is shocking considering the Lakers are allowing the fourth most rebounds in the NBA this season. This payout is just too good to ignore, especially considering Conley is averaging 3.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists on the season.

19. A. Wiggins (MIN) outscores M. Bagley (SAC) in Monday’s game. Yes 2.4x // No 2.8x

YES. Bagley has been awfully inconsistent, scoring 19, 28, 11, 32, three, 10, 24 and 14 points in February. Wiggins has bene more consistent of late, scoring at least 17 points in four straight games. This is an above average matchup for Wiggins and a below average one for Bagley, which is why I lean towards Wiggins.

20. B. Simmons (PHI) records a FT% of 75% or better in Monday’s game (@NOP). Yes 4x // No 1.6x

NO. Simmons is shooting 59.0 percent from the stripe this season. He has a chance to finish with a higher field goal percentage than free throw percentage. Simmons has shot 75 percent or better from the foul line in 18.6 percent of his games this season, and that isn’t nearly enough to justify saying Yes.