Lamar Miller: Miller showed that rumors of his demise were greatly exaggerated. Miller was a fantasy stud in week 4 scoring two TD's, rushing for 75 yards and adding 4 grabs and 56 yards receiving. Yeah, yeah, I know all about the rumors of his not being durable. Well, the facts disagree. Over the last three seasons, Miller has over 1,250 yards in each year, and has averaged 35+ receptions and almost 10 TD per year. Yes, there will be a game here or there where D’Onta Foreman will be a thorn in the side of the Miller owner, but Miller is still an RB1 on his team and a solid RB2 in fantasy football. Buy low if the owner in your league disagrees.
Allen Hurns: Hurns had only 4 catches for 42 yards but he was targeted 10 times. The bad year last year has people forgetting a lot of important facts. First, he is a 6’3” big body red zone target who should continue to score TD. Indeed, he has 2 TD in the last 3 games. Second, he is just one year removed from a 10 TD, 1,000-yard campaign. Third, Allen Robinson is out for the year and Marquise Lee has not scored more than 3 TD in any of his three NFL seasons. Hurns can likely be had cheap. Go shopping!
Ameer Abdullah: Abdullah had a nice game with 21 carries, 94 yards and a TD (with 3 catches for 15 yards for good measure). I know they won a 14-7 defensive battle this week. However, I just do not see the Lions remaining run-heavy and I do not see Abdullah holding up if he gets over 20 touches per game. After all, Abdullah has not carried the ball even 150 times in a year in his NFL career and he is very unlikely to eclipse Theo Riddick as the third down back. Bottom line: this may be a good time to sell high.
Cameron Brate: Brate had a nice game on the stat sheets – 4 catches, 80 yards and a TD. However, the real story comes from watching the game. Yes, Mike Evans will dominate the target share and yes Desean Jackson is exciting but when it comes to crunch time, Jameis Winston trusts his Tight End to make the big grab and to be where he is supposed to be. That should yield a bunch of TD as the year goes on. Brate is undervalued now but will not be for long. Act now!
Javorius Allen: Last week we wrote: “The Buck Allen era never really started. The Ravens were plastered by the Jags in London and Allen’s 15 yards rushing certainly did not help. Indeed, Alex Collins solid performance (9 carries for 82 yards) only serves to highlight Buck’s ineffectiveness. Yes, he has 5 receptions in each of the last two games but that is small solace if Terrance West vultures TDs and Collins comes off the practice squad and runs the ball better. There have to be better alternatives on your waiver wire. Further proof: Buck has never averaged over 3.8 yards per carry in any of his three NFL seasons (including the partial 2017). Next!”
Well, two carries for seven yards says the Buck Allen era is never coming. Hopefully, you did not invest.
Trevor Siemian: Last week, we wrote: “Trevor Siemian threw no TD passes but did toss two INT on his way to a woeful real-life and fantasy performance Sunday against the Bills. Siemian, who put up big numbers in week 2 against a depleted Cowboys secondary at home, looked much like the 7th rounder he was on Sunday. The bottom line here is that Siemian has proven careless with the ball (including the inexplicable INT after the game should have been salted away against the Cowboys). You have to figure the Broncos will push Siemian into more of a game manager, or at least there is a serious risk of that. For me, he is not close to ascending to the QB1 ranks.” We get plenty right and our fair share wrong but the prediction that Siemian would be a game manager came through. In the second half against the Raiders Sunday Siemian threw for all of 31 yards as the Broncos took few risks, ran the ball and let their defense do the job. Hard to imagine Trevor will be on many fantasy title teams in 2017.
Final Note: If you want to be really good at fantasy football, you need to understand the game of football itself. You need to watch games or at least watch good portions of games to understand the numbers you see on the stat sheet. Of course, many do not have time to do that but have no fear, the team of experts at Fantasy Alarm does that study. Their wisdom is right here on these pages for you to absorb. 12 weeks to go in most fantasy seasons. There is plenty of time to improve or continue dominance as the case may be. Read on!