Heading into September, rotations are going to be in flux as teams call up their prospects to kick the wheels on the shiny new toys. We have a good mix of plug them in and forget about them in the top tier, and a good slate of useful starting pitchers in the second tier. Of course, some of those SPs in the middle group are only good as a streaming option for one of their two trips to the hill. Plenty of pitchers to avoid in the bottom tier once again, as has been the case all season long.

Please realize that these articles feature most recent rotation information available when the article is written, but that circumstances do change due to weather conditions, injuries and general craziness with managers. If a pitcher listed here as having two starts ends up with one (or perhaps none) in the upcoming week, apologies but this article is meant to provide analysis, it is up to the manager to set the lineups or rotations.

 

Start 'em If You Own 'em

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Jake Arrieta CHC

@ PIT Chad Kuhl

vs. MIL Matt Garza

 

Mon 9/4 4:05 PM ET

Sat 9/9 4:05 PM ET

Carlos Martinez STL

@ SD Luis Perdomo

vs. PIT Chad Kuhl

 

Mon 9/4 4:40 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:15 PM ET

Gio Gonzalez WAS

@ MIA Odrisamer Deaigne

vs. PHI Ben Lively

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

Dallas Keuchel HOU

@ SEA Erasmo Ramirez

@ OAK Kendall Graveman

 

Mon 9/4 6:40 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:05 PM ET

Stephen Strasburg WAS

@ MIA Adam Conley

vs. PHI TBA

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:05 PM ET

Dylan Bundy BAL

vs. NYY Jaime Garcia

@ CLE Trevor Bauer

 

Mon 9/4 2:05 PM ET

Sun 9/10 8:05 PM ET

Trevor Bauer CLE

@ CHW James Shields

vs. BAL Dylan Bundy

 

Mon 9/4 2:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 8:05 PM ET

Robbie Ray ARI

@ LAD Hyun-Jin Ryu

vs. SD Travis Wood

 

Mon 9/4 8:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Rick Porcello BOS

vs. TOR J.A. Happ

vs. TB Alex Cobb

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD

vs. ARI Robbie Ray

vs. COL Chad Bettis

 

Mon 9/4 8:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Alex Cobb TB

vs. MIN Jose Berrios

@ BOS Rick Porcello

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

The 11 starters that make up this week’s top tier are most familiar faces, with the exception of Bundy and Bauer, who conveniently face one another at the end of the scoring period in Cleveland. Porcello and Cobb are another pair of opposing hurlers that take the mound against one another in their second starts of Week 23. Some fantasy players want to avoid starting both SPs going in a game, but with top notch pitchers, it may be suggested to toss that idea to the curb. There is always the possibility that both pitchers will twirl gems, which is a nice bonus as the fantasy baseball season winds down.

 

Maybe Yes, Maybe No

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Erasmo Ramirez SEA

vs. HOU Dallas Keuchel

vs. LAA Troy Scribner

 

Mon 9/4 6:40 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Chase Anderson MIL

@ CIN Homer Bailey

@ CHC Jose Quintana

 

Mon 9/4 1:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:20 PM ET

Kendall Graveman OAK

vs. LAA Parker Bridwell

vs. HOU Dallas Keuchel

 

Tue 9/5 10:05 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:05 PM ET

Jake Junis KC

@ DET Artie Lewicki

vs. MIN Jose Berrios

 

Mon 9/4 1:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:15 PM ET

Adam Conley MIA

vs. WAS Stephen Strasburg

@ ATL Max Fried

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:10 PM ET

Robert Stephenson CIN

vs. MIL Zach Davies

@ NYM Rafael Montero

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:10 PM ET

Luis Perdomo SD

vs. STL Carlos Martinez

@ ARI Zack Godley

 

Mon 9/4 4:40 PM ET

Sat 9/9 8:10 PM ET

Jose Quintana CHC

@ PIT Ivan Nova

vs. MIL Chase Anderson

 

Tue 9/5 7:05 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:20 PM ET

J.A. Happ TOR

@ BOS Rick Porcello

vs. DET Artie Lewicki

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:07 PM ET

German Marquez COL

vs. SF Matt Moore

@ LAD Rich Hill

 

Mon 9/4 3:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 9:10 PM ET

Michael Wacha STL

@ SD Travis Wood

vs. PIT Ivan Nova

 

Tue 9/5 10:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:15 PM ET

R.A. Dickey ATL

vs. TEX Andrew Cashner

vs. MIA Odrisamer Deaigne

 

Mon 9/4 7:35 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

Ben Lively PHI

@ NYM Jacob deGrom

@ WAS Gio Gonzalez

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

Ramirez is working on a string of four consecutive quality starts (QS), where he has collected 18 Ks over 24.0 innings. He has shown good control this season, as well, posting a 2.12 BB/9 ratio in his 101.2 innings worked for Tampa Bay and Seattle. He does have to take on the Astros in his first start of the week, and his second opponent, the Angels, have rescued their season with good play lately, so there is some risk in starting him in either of his appearances.

Anderson had to have his split fingernail superglued in his last start, a six inning, two hit victory at home against the Cards, but is not expected to miss his two starts in Week 23. He is a good source of Ks (8.55 K/9 over 106.1 innings) and taking on Cincinnati in his first time to toe the rubber this coming week. The second start against the Cubs may be a good time to keep him on the bench.

Graveman has two home starts this week, which plays to his strength as a starter in 2017. Of course, taking on Houston will not be an easy task to wind up the week. An extreme groundball inducer (1.92 GB/FB ratio over his 14 starts comprising 79.1 innings), he is not much of a strikeout option but does have average control (6.35 K/9, 2.61 BB/9) that makes him a decent streaming option in Week 23.

The rookie Junis has been pitching well for the Royals, but is also on a short leash in most of his appearances, getting pulled when he experiences troubles in terms of baserunners. He provides good strikeout numbers and shows good control, making him a useful SP despite the limited innings. He gets to face the rebuilding Tigers to open the week, and his home/road splits indicate positive potential for the second start at home against the Twins.

Conley has been a solid mound presence since the All-Star break, although he has stumbled a couple of times since mid-July. He does get Washington at home but he has struggled most at Marlins Park, with a home ERA of 7.65 as opposed to a road ERA of 2.89, which is odd considering that the Marlins home park is generally considered pitcher-friendly. Based on his splits and the opponent, his second start at Atlanta looks like the better streaming opportunity in Week 23.

Stephenson continues to have control issues, with an ugly 5.83 BB/9 rate over his 58.2 innings pitched this season, but the strikeouts are enticing (9.51 K/9). Facing the Brewers at home is risky but the road game against the Mets is the better matchup this week. Use him for the strikeouts but do not be surprised if his ultimate results hurt your team in most other statistical areas.

Perdomo has pitched solidly lately, with four QS in his last five starts. Despite a mid-90s fastball, his strikeout numbers are weak, sitting at 6.57 K/9 on the season. He relies on his outstanding ability to induce grounders, and keeps the ball in the park (3.47 GB/FB rate, 0.94 HR/9). The best time to use him this week is at home against the Cardinals, and he should be sat when he takes the ball on the road against the Diamondbacks.

Quintana has been inconsistent since joining the Cubs, pitching well, then getting shelled. He is coming off a home QS against the Pirates, who he faces on the road to start this coming week. The second start against the Brewers carries more risk due to the opponent. His ability to miss bats makes him a valuable option with the right matchup, such as the offensively-starved Pirates.

Happ pitched a gem in his last outing, giving up just four hits and a single earned run to the Red Sox, but the two prior starts were a different story, where he yielded five runs in each game. His control needs work (3.01 BB/9 in 20 starts this season), but he does provide Ks for his owners at a decent rate of 8.71 K/9. His second start against the Tigers looks like the better start to use him this week, sitting him when the Blue Jays head to Boston.

Marquez gets to open his week with a home start against the weak Giants offense, which is a positive for him and his owners. The road game against the Dodgers poses more potential trouble for the Rockies’ young righty. He is a good source of Ks with adequate control, as witnessed by his 8.57 K/9 and 2.81 BB/9 ratios.

Wacha got his season back on track with a road victory against the Giants, after allowing 17 runs over his prior 18.1 innings. He is a decent strikeout artist with an 8.40 K/9, and induces a good share of groundballs (1.89 GB/FB in his 25 starts). He has a good opponent in both his starts, as he faces the Padres and Pirates this week. It is his recent struggles that make him a risky SP to trust, however, in Week 23.

Dickey is a better home pitcher this season, and fortunately, has two home starts in this scoring period. His ability to miss bats is weak (6.71 K/9 in 26 starts) and his 4.77 FIP hints that some regression is due to come his way, but he still offers some utility against the proper opponents, such as the .500 Rangers and the sub-.500 Marlins.

Lively has tossed seven QS in his 10 starts in his rookie season. He is not much for strikeouts, posting an atrocious 5.13 K/9 rate. His second start is against the Nationals, which poses some risk, but the first start against the Mets is a consideration for streaming purposes.

 

Not On My Roster

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Jose Berrios MIN

@ TB Alex Cobb

@ KC Jake Junis

 

Mon 9/4 7:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:15 PM ET

Jason Vargas KC

@ DET Matthew Boyd

vs. MIN Bartolo Colon

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:15 PM ET

Jaime Garcia NYY

@ BAL Dylan Bundy

@ TEX Andrew Cashner

 

Mon 9/4 2:05 PM ET

Sun 9/10 3:05 PM ET

Andrew Cashner TEX

@ ATL R.A. Dickey

vs. NYY Jaime Garcia

 

Mon 9/4 7:35 PM ET

Sun 9/10 3:05 PM ET

Chad Bettis COL

vs. SF Ty Blach

@ LAD Hyun-Jin Ryu

 

Tue 9/5 8:40 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Chad Kuhl PIT

vs. CHC Jake Arrieta

@ STL Carlos Martinez

 

Mon 9/4 4:05 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:15 PM ET

James Shields CHW

vs. CLE Trevor Bauer

vs. SF Chris Stratton

 

Mon 9/4 2:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:10 PM ET

Reynaldo Lopez CHW

vs. CLE Ryan Merritt

vs. SF Jeff Samardzija

 

Tue 9/5 8:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:10 PM ET

Rafael Montero NYM

vs. PHI TBA

vs. CIN Robert Stephenson

 

Mon 9/4 1:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:10 PM ET

Bartolo Colon MIN

@ TB Jake Odorizzi

@ KC Jason Vargas

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 2:15 PM ET

Homer Bailey CIN

vs. MIL Chase Anderson

@ NYM Chris Flexen

 

Mon 9/4 1:10 PM ET

Sat 9/9 7:10 PM ET

Travis Wood SD

vs. STL Michael Wacha

@ ARI Robbie Ray

 

Tue 9/5 10:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Troy Scribner LAA

@ OAK Chris Smith

@ SEA Erasmo Ramirez

 

Mon 9/4 4:05 PM ET

Sun 9/10 4:10 PM ET

Chris Smith OAK

vs. LAA Troy Scribner

vs. HOU Charlie Morton

 

Mon 9/4 4:05 PM ET

Sat 9/9 4:05 PM ET

Artie Lewicki DET

vs. KC Jake Junis

@ TOR J.A. Happ

 

Mon 9/4 1:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:07 PM ET

Odrisamer Deaigne MIA

vs. WAS Gio Gonzalez

@ ATL R.A. Dickey

 

Tue 9/5 7:10 PM ET

Sun 9/10 1:35 PM ET

These are the pitchers to avoid this week. Berrios would be considered a middle tier SP this week if both his starts were not on the road, but his home/road splits indicate that he should be avoided in Week 23. None of the other pitchers dwelling in the lowest tier have much potential to provide fantasy goodness.

Please note that the Fantasy Alarm Forums are now open for your use, to ask questions or provide your own commentary and wisdom. I enjoy responding to comments, or if you do not want to put your question out for public consumption, feel free to write me at ia@fantasyalarm.com for a more personal response to your specific issue. The more detail you can provide about your team and league, including settings (H2H vs roto, points or categories, weekly or daily moves, roster size, league size, etc.) the better my response will be suited to your individual situation. I am open to questions about issues apart from starting pitching, too, as I play fantasy sports as well as serve as an analyst. As ever, good luck and Godspeed in all your fantasy endeavors.