CS:GO DFS Playbook – BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2021 (2-Match)

Complexity (Ranked 14th in World) @ G2 (Ranked 11th in World)

Betting Odds: G2 -180/Complexity +140

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -105/Under -130

*This is a best of three Group B upper-bracket finals match in the BLAST Premier Spring Groups Event.

*Complexity For Event: k0nfig 1.52 Rating, blameF 1.41, jks 1.39, poizon 1.28, RUSH 1.16.

*G2 For Event: huNter 1.31 Rating, AmaNEk 1.29, nexa 1.06, NiKo 1.04, kennyS 0.88.

*Complexity Over the Last Three Months of Play: k0nfig 1.12 Rating, blameF 1.10, poizon 0.98, RUSH 0.96, jks 0.95.

*G2 Over the Last Three Months of Play: NiKo 1.13 Rating, kennyS 1.05, huNter 0.99, nexa 0.96, AmaNEk 0.90.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have played once back at the IEM New York 2020 Euro Event with Complexity winning both maps very closely with a 19-17 OT win on Vertigo and a 16-13 win on Overpass.

*Complexity vs G2 (2 Maps): blameF +21 K-D Diff, 1.42 Rating, 95.6 ADR. K0nfig +9 K-D Diff, 1.32 Rating, 103.8 ADR. RUSH +1 K-D Diff, 1.07 Rating, 72.1 ADR.

*G2 vs Complexity (2 Maps): nexa +3 K-D Diff, 1.13 Rating, 74.5 ADR. AmaNEk had a 1.08 Rating and 79.6 ADR, but -5 K-D Diff.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Inferno for Complexity and Overpass for G2. I believe we see Mirage for Complexity and Vertigo for G2.

*Complexity on Mirage (12 Maps): k0nfig 1.26 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.47 IMP, 87.5 ADR. blameF 1.07, poizon 0.96, RUSH 0.95, jks 0.87. On Vertigo (1 Maps): k0nfig 1.52 Rating, 1.04 KPR, 2.12 IMP, 110.6 ADR. Jks 0.89, blameF 0.79, RUSH 0.63, poizon 0.47.

*G2 on Vertigo (4 Maps): huNter 1.13 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.40 IMP, 84.5 ADR. AmaNEk 1.08, NiKo 0.97, nexa 0.97, kennyS 0.91. On Mirage (8 Maps): NiKo 1.19 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 88.6 ADR. kennyS 1.11, huNter 1.06, nexa 1.01, AmaNEk 0.78.

Analysis: I think this is a close match, and I could easily see it going 3-maps. G2 looked outstanding yesterday against EG, but EG has just not been good lately and they led both maps until after the half and allowed G2 to make come-backs in route to a 2-0 sweep. I think the more impressive feat was Complexity 2-0 sweeping Vitality as they returned poizon to their active roster before yesterday’s match. They looked really damn good in their sweep against Vitality, as well. I honestly don’t have a side lean in this match, and I will likely be using some of both sides in DFS as I feel it can easily go the full three-map distance.

 

Vitality (Ranked 3rd in World) @ Evil Geniuses (Ranked 16th in World)

Betting Odds: Vitality -385/EG +265

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +125/Under -165

*This is a best of three Group B lower-bracket finals match for the BLAST Premier Spring Groups Event.

*Vitality For Event: ZywOo 0.87 Rating, shox 0.85, apEX 0.73, misutaaa 0.69, RpK 0.59.

*Evil Geniuses For Event: Tarik 1.08 Rating, Ethan 1.08, Brehze 1.04, Stanislaw 0.98, CeRq 0.90.

*Vitality Over the Last Three Months of Play: ZywOo 1.31 Rating, shox 1.12, Nivera 1.09, RpK 1.04, misutaaa 1.03, apEX 1.01.

*Evil Geniuses Over the Last Three Months of Play: Ethan 1.07, Brehze 1.04, Tarik 1.04, CeRq 0.96, Stanislaw 0.96.

H2H Data:

*These two teams have not played any matches in the last 12 months head-to-head.

MAPS:

*The first two ban maps for this match should include Train for Vitality and Mirage for EG. Vitality will likely go with Dust2, with EG going back to Inferno.

*Vitality on Dust2 (10 Maps): ZywOo 1.49 Rating, 0.96 KPR, 1.59 IMP, 96.5 ADR. Shox 1.02, apEX 1.02, RpK 0.89, misutaaa 0.00 (swapped for Nivera – 1.03). On Inferno (9 Maps): ZywOo 1.24 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.29 IMP, 81.1 ADR. Misutaaa 1.21, RpK 1.13, apEX 1.07, shox 0.00 (swapped for Nivera – 1.23)

*EG on Inferno (8 Maps): Ethan 1.13 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.19 IMP, 77.3 ADR. Tarik 1.08, CeRq 1.08, Brehze 1.04, Stanislaw 0.97. On Dust2 (3 Maps): Ethan 1.12 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.25 IMP, 75.3 ADR. Stanislaw 1.02, Tarik 0.87, Brehze 0.82, CeRq 0.82.

Analysis: I am going to be expecting quite a bounce-back here for Vitality after their embarrassing loss yesterday and I hate to say it but EG is not good. They looked scattered yesterday against G2 and were not sharp at all. Both maps are in favor to Vitality in my opinion here, and I think we see a record-breaker from ZywOo after his performance yesterday. VIT 2-0.


*TOP STACKS: Vitality, Complexity, G2

*TOP CPT PLAYS: ZywOo, huNter, k0nfig, blameF, NiKo

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: AmaNEk, Nivera, RpK, poizon, apEX