CS:GO DFS Showdown Playbook – Vulkan Fight Series Grand Final (1.16.2021)
Gambit (Ranked 13th in World) @ Sinners (Ranked 65th in World)
Betting Odds: Gambit -625/Sinners +380
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +165/Under -225
*This is a Best of Three Grand Final match for this Event.
*Both of these teams have played extremely well in this Event, and both come into this match on five-match winning streaks to get where they are at here in this Grand Final.
*Gambit For the Event: Ax1Le 1.42 Rating, nafany 1.30, Hobbit 1.28, Sh1ro 1.26, inters 0.95.
*Sinners For the Event: oskar 1.37 Rating, NEOFRAG 1.25, Zedko 1.18, SHOCK 1.11, beastik 1.00.
*Gambit Over the Last Month of Play (10 Maps): Ax1Le 1.36 Rating, sh1ro 1.28, Hobbit 1.25, nafany 1.20, inters 1.02.
*Sinners Over the Last Month of Play (12 Maps): oskar 1.35 Rating, NEOFRAG 1.27, SHOCK 1.17, Zedko 1.15, beastik 0.99.
H2H Data:
*These two played once in 2020 back in November, BUT oskar was not a part of this Sinners team and Gambit absolutely destroyed them with results of 16-1 on Vertigo (Sinners map pick), and 16-5 on Dust2 (Gambit map pick). So, as you can see by the numbers of oskar above, he does make a big difference in this Sinners roster.
*Notable Player Performances: Hobbit 40 Kills, 11 Assists, 19 Deaths – 1.76 Rating/108.1 ADR. Nafany 38 Kills, 8 Assists, 19 Deaths – 1.63 Rating/99.8 ADR. Sh1ro 31 Kills, 11 Assists, 11 Deaths – 1.56 Rating/85.2 ADR. Ax1Le 35 Kills, 6 Assists, 18 Deaths, 1.52 Rating, 86.0 ADR.
MAPS:
*The first two ban maps for this match should include Overpass for Sinners and Nuke for Gambit. The typical first picks lately for these two include Dust2 for Gambit and Vertigo for Sinners.
*Gambit on Dust2 (8 Maps): Hobbit 1.24 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.31 IMP, 85.3 ADR. Sh1ro 1.19, Ax1Le 1.13, nafany 1.02, interz 0.98. On Vertigo (14 Maps): Hobbit 1.33 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 86.4 ADR. Ax1Le 1.26, nafany 1.26, sh1ro 1.24, interz 1.03.
*Sinners on Vertigo (5 Maps): oskar (1 map sample) – 1.67 Rating, 1.17 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 114.3 ADR. SHOCK 1.16, NEOFRAG 1.15, ZEDKO 1.13, beastik 0.95. On Dust2 (4 Maps): oskar 1.19 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 79.8 ADR. ZEDKO 1.09, beatik 1.09, NEOFRAG 1.05, SHOCK 1.01.
Player Breakdowns:
CPT PLAYS:
1.) Oskar (SIN) $15,900 –
This guy has played lights out so far since joining Sinners and continues to carry for them. He has put up 78.5, 64, 79.5, and 97.5 DraftKings fantasy points in his last four games, with at least 10 or more assists, 7, 12, 14 First Kills in three of the four played, with four 1v2 Clutches and a 4K Kill Round, also.
2.) Ax1Le (GAM) $15,300 –
Where everyone likely goes up to Sh1ro for Gambit, I will look at the guy that lead the team in Rating over the last month and for this Event so far, to boot. Ax1Le has put up 61 and 103.5 DraftKings fantasy points so far in the two matches played for this event. He has put up back-to-back 10 assist matches, with an average of 9.0 First Kills, and two 4K Kill Rounds. He has the upside, and likely just as much if not more than sh1ro and he is $1.3K less on the price.
Others To Consider: Hobbit (GAM) $14,400
FLEX PLAYS:
1.) Nafany (GAM) $8,800 –
I shouldn’t have to tell you that Sh1ro is also a good play for this match, because he is…very much so. However, you will need to find some ways to be different and what better way than to play the 3-4th option for Gambit, who has the second-highest rating in this Event for Gambit behind Ax1Le, and who has also put up 61 and 82 DraftKings fantasy points in the two matches played in this Event. He has put up 42 and 46 Kills, with 8 and 9 Assists, while also recording 7 and 10 First Kills, and a 4K Kill Round in both matches played! He is a nice value at his price and could even be really sneaky as a value CPT.
2.) NEOFRAG (SIN) $9,000 –
NEOFRAG has been the second-best player for Sinners not just for this event, but he is second in Rating over the last month of play, as well. He has four 4K Kill rounds out of the four matches played in this Event, while also securing two 5K ace rounds as well. He is averaging 14 assists per match, almost 10 First Kills, and 65 DraftKings fantasy points for the Event. He is a solid play here for Sinners.
DART THROWS:
1.) SHOCK (SIN) $8,400 –
SHOCK has actually scored really well so far in this Event. He has put up 63, 82, 52.5, and 71.5 DraftKings fantasy points, and if Sinners have any chance at winning this match, he will likely have to play well here. His assists numbers have been great putting up 18, 11, 7, and 15 respectively, while clutching out three 1v2’s, and adding two 4K Kill rounds in that span, as well. I think he has really nice value at his price here in this match for how good his fantasy scoring has been for the Event.