Esports DFS Playbook: CS:GO November 9
Sean Mitchell brings you all the important stats and map data to build winning lineups for Monday's 2-Match CS:GO DFS Slate!
OGA Counter PIT by AMD and Sapphire Season 8 CS:GO DFS 2-Match Slate Playbook
Fate @ Nexus:
Betting Odds: Nexus -185/FATE +140
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -150
*This is an upper bracket quarter-final match for this Event.
*Neither team has been great lately, FATE and Nexus both on two-match losing skids in their prior two matches. FATE have won two of their last four with best of one wins over AVEZ and Secret before losing their last two, while Nexus beat this same FATE team five matches ago 16-9 on Train and beat OPAA 19-16 for their only two wins over their last five matches. (*note – blocker and mar are not with FATE as a part of their core, as I believe blocker stepped down a while back, and mar may just not be with team at moment. Can tell this affected them lately)
*FATE Over the Last Month (35 Maps): h4rn 1.06 Rating, REDSTAR 0.99 Rating, niki1 0.95 Rating, Patrick 0.95 Rating.
*Nexus Over the Last Month (38 Maps): iM 1.14 Rating, XELLOW 1.11 Rating, ragga 0.92 Rating, SEMINITE 0.90 Rating, BTN 0.81 Rating.
*These two teams have played twice in 2020 so far, with one best of one (won by Nexus 16-9 as mentioned above), and a best of three that went three full maps with Nexus winning 2-1.
*FATE vs Nexus L4 Maps: H4rn +7 K-D Diff, 1.10 K-D, 1.04 Rating.
*Nexus vs FATE L4 Maps: XELLOW +24 K-D Diff, 1.33 K-D, 1.25 Rating. iM +13 K-D Diff, 1.17 K-D, 1.23 Rating. SEMINTE +9 K-D Diff, 1.13 K-D, 1.01 Rating.
*Likely bans are Nuke for sure as both are banning it most lately. Overpass will be ban in Nexus gets second choice to ban, and Vertigo for FATE if they are given second ban choice. FATE is going with Train as their first pick lately, while Nexus is going with Mirage.
*FATE on Train (27 Maps): h4rn 1.16 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.14 Rating, 76.4 ADR. Niki1 0.96 Rating, Patrick 0.94 Rating. (not enough data on REDSTAR or milky). On Mirage (20 Maps): h4rn 1.14 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.06 IMP, 75.3 ADR. Patrick 1.03 Rating, niki1 0.96 Rating. *REDSTAR (6 Maps) 1.05 Rating
*Nexus on Mirage (19 Maps): XELLOW 1.32 Rating, 0.88 KPR, 1.45 IMP, 88.4 ADR. iM 1.19 Rating, ragga 0.98 Rating, SEMINTE 0.95 Rating, BTN 0.89 Rating. On Train (17 Maps): iM 1.24 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.47 IMP, 90.9 ADR. XELLOW 1.06 Rating, SEMINTE 0.89 Rating, BTN 0.86 Rating, ragga 0.85 Rating.
Espada @ AGO:
Betting Odds: Espada -300/AGO +220
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +125/Under -170
*This is also an upper bracket quarter-final match for this Event
*Espada has won four of their last five matches, however they lost their most recent match 0-2 to VPro, but nice wins over GODSENT 2-0, AGF 2-1 and 2-0, and Apeks 2-1 in those four wins prior to the loss. AGO is on a rough skid, only winning one of their last four matches. The win was a 2-0 sweep over HAVU, but losses to PACT, AVEZ, AGF, and Secret are not great looks. (New faces for AGO – leman and DGL)
*Espada Over Last Month (25 Maps): degster 1.28 Rating, Dima 1.15 Rating, Patsi 1.12 Rating, S0tF1k 0.98 Rating, FinigaN 0.96 Rating.
*AGO Over Last Month (19 Maps): F1KU 1.09 Rating, leman 1.03 Rating, GruBy 0.99 Rating, DGL 0.99 Rating, Furlan 0.95 Rating.
*These two squads have no recent head-to-head matches played.
*AGO will have to play a secondary map as their first map choice of Vertigo will be banned be Espada. AGO will ban Overpass. The likely two map choices we see for this one includes Mirage and Dust2.
*Espada on Dust2 (11 Maps): degster 1.48 Rating, 0.90 KPR, 1.50 IMP, 92.8 ADR. FinigaN 1.20 Rating, Patsi 1.17 Rating, Dima 1.16 Rating, S0tF1k 1.03 Rating. On Mirage (16 Maps): degster 1.08 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.14 IMP, 71.2 ADR. Dima 1.05 Rating, Patsi 1.05 Rating, S0tF1k 1.03 Rating, FinigaN 0.96 Rating.
*AGO on Mirage (11 Maps): leman (5 Map sample) 1.22 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.24 IMP, 92.8 ADR. GruBy 1.14 Rating, F1KU 1.12 Rating, Furlan 1.08 Rating, DGL 1.03 Rating. On Dust2 (9 Maps) F1KU 1.24 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.30 IMP, 87.2 ADR. DGL (3 Map Sample) 1.22 Rating, leman 1.08 Rating, Furlan 1.05 Rating, GruBy 0.96 Rating.
*TOP STACKS: Nexus & AGO (Contrarian look is AGO and they will be the leverage also)
*TOP PLAYS: XELLOW, iM, F1KU, leman, degster, Patsi