It is Monday, and we have a 9-game NBA slate on tap! Welcome back for another edition of the Fantasy Alarm NBA DFS Value Vault! There are quite a few openings for some value already, with presumably more to come. With that said, let’s see where we are at currently!
DRAFTKINGS
1.) Domantas Sabonis ($7,800)- The main focus of this article is to identify value spots, or identify price-points that are irregular in terms of underpriced, leaving lots of potential for a play to exceed his fantasy production value at the current price. Sabonis fits this bill quite nicely today. He gets a Clippers team, in a fast-paced game, who just ruled out Kawhi Leonard for tonight, as well as, struggles mightily against opposing bigs. Sabonis is a complete monster, and should be a nightmare for this Clippers front-court tonight at home as well. Sabonis has topped 40 fantasy points in seven of his last ten contests, while earning double-doubles in his last eight in a row!
2.) Lonzo Ball ($5,200)- If anyone else has a logical explanation as to why Lonzo is $5.2K here tonight on DK, please tell me. This price is absurd. I am thinking that because of the blow-out on Saturday, the algo over at DraftKings said, “Hey, this guy sucked last time out, so let’s bump him down.” Terrible conclusion. In Ball’s last time out at home, he amassed a hefty 54-point fantasy performance against the Suns. Tonight, he gets a similar match up, maybe not in terms of PACE, however, the Pistons struggle against the PG spot, and I will expect a MUCH better game out of Lonzo tonight compared to his 10.5 fantasy performance on Saturday.
3.) Bogdan Bogdanovic ($4,800)- This is the absolutely nut buy-low situation on Bogdanovic here. Bogdan sat out a couple games, has had a couple poor shooting nights on the road against some decent defending teams such as in Dallas (3-for-9 from field, 1-for-4 from 3-PT), and in San Antonio (4-for-12 from field, 1-for-6 from 3-PT), over his last two, and therefore his price is where it is at. Still yet, he played 28 minutes last game, and I suspect him to play that much or more tonight, as the Kings travel into Houston to take on the 3rd fastest team in the league in the Rockets. This is a beauty of a spot, as we know the Rockets don’t defend the guard spot well, and I am banking on Bogdan to shoot right out of his slump tonight against the Rockets.
FANDUEL
1.) Myles Turner ($6,600)- Turner is priced about $600 more on FanDuel than on DraftKings and that’s for a reason. He has Dikembe Mutumbo’ed 14 total shots in his last six contests (that’s blocks for those who don’t get the analogy), to go along with seven steals as well in that span. As we know, FanDuel awards the extra point per steal and block, so this plays well into Turner’s value over on FD. As mentioned above, the Clippers are already going to be without Kawhi Leonard down-low, and as bad as the Clippers have been against Bigs, I love both Sabonis and Turner on the respective major sites tonight. Turner has also notched out 30 or more fantasy points in three of his last five over on FD.
2.) Kris Dunn ($5,000)- PG spot over on FD is not exactly all that rich once you move down past RWB, Kemba, and Lowry, so if you feel like paying down for one PG spot, and paying up for RWB (I recommend), I would look at Dunn. Listed still as a PG over on FD, but has been starting at the SF spot for the Bulls over the last 3 games. Dunn has now seen 24 or more minutes in his last four games, while putting up 22, 26.3, and 33 FanDuel points over his last three since joining the starting rotation. Dunn’s biggest attributes are his defensive skills, in which has allowed him to earn the extra value on FD for his 12 total steals over his last six contests! Not only that, he has scored at least nine real points in four of his last five, to go with at least four rebounds or more in his last four of five as well, and at least two or more assists in that same span.
3.) Joe Ingles ($4,300)- Ingles is just way too cheap over on FD tonight. If you want to get up to Giannis at the SF spot, you are going to have to pay down, and why not look at Ingles? Ingles has played at least 25 or more minutes in his last 11 games, while scoring 37 or more fantasy points in his last two of three. Ingles fresh off a four-steal game as well against the Grizzlies, and now has multiple steal games in two of his last three as well. Ingles has lots of value at this price on FD, as the minutes are there and starting PG Mike Conley has already been ruled out once again. Take the small price on Ingles to help fit the studs tonight on FD.