CS:GO DFS Playbook: Spring Sweet Spring 1 – 5.3.2021 (2-Match)
Spirit (Ranked 11th in World) @ forZe (Ranked 25th in World)
Betting Odds: Spirit -265/forZe +195
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +120/Under -160
*This is a best of three quarter-final match for the Spring Sweet Spring 1 Event.
*Spirit For the Last Month of Play (14 Maps): degster 1.23 Rating, mir 1.19, sdy 1.17, chopper 1.05, magixx 0.98
*Spirit For the Last Three Months of Play (39 Maps): degster 1.22 Rating, mir 1.21, sdy 1.13, chopper 1.08, magixx 1.04.
*forZe For Event: FL1T 1.17 Rating, Jerry 1.13, zorte 1.11, KENSI 1.06, almazer 0.97.
*forZe For the Last Month of Play (33 Maps): FL1T 1.21 Rating, zorte 1.09, Jerry 1.06, KENSI 1.04, almazer 0.99.
H2H DATA:
*These two teams played back in January of this year with Spirit winning in a 2-1 decision. Spirit won Train 16-6 and Mirage 16-13, with forZe taking home Dust2 16-11. These two teams played nine head-to-head matches in 2020-2021 with only two of those nine being a sweep. Six of the nine went the full three maps. Spirit won eight of those nine matches.
*Top Performers For forZe (15 Maps): FL1T +23 K-D Diff, 1.09 K-D, 1.06 Rating.
*Top Performers For Spirit (15 Maps): mir +49 K-D Diff, 1.18 K-D, 1.19 Rating. degster +43 K-D Diff, 1.19 K-D, 1.17 Rating. sdy +10 K-D Diff, 1.04 K-D, 1.05 Rating.
MAPS:
*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for Spirit and Overpass for forZe. I believe we see Mirage for forze and Dust2 for Spirit.
*forZe on Mirage (19 Maps): FL1T 1.36 Rating, 0.86 KPR, 1.40 IMP, 98.6 ADR. zorte 1.17, Jerry 1.11, KENSI 1.08, almazer 1.02. On Dust2 (19 Maps): FL1T 1.20 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 88.1 ADR. zorte 1.17, Jerry 1.08, KENSI 1.07, almazer 1.04.
*Spirit on Dust2 (7 Maps): mir 1.52 Rating, 0.96 KPR, 1.61 IMP, 98.6 ADR. chopper 1.42, degster 1.25, sdy 1.17, magixx 1.05. On Mirage (6 Maps): mir 1.17 Rating, 0.74 KPR, 1.10 IMP, 80.3 ADR. sdy 1.05, chopper 1.02, degster 0.98, magixx 0.85.
Analysis: Not really sure we can comfortably pick forZe here know that they have literally only won one match out of their last nine meetings with Spirit. Spirit are also fresh off a losing sweep at the hands of Virtus.Pro, So we can assume they will be looking for a major bounce-back here against a familiar foe.
FURIA (Ranked 7th in World) @ Sinners (Ranked 29th in World)
Betting Odds: FURIA -275/Sinners +205
Map Odds: 2.5 Over +125/Under -165
*This is a best of three quarter-final match for the Spring Sweet Spring 1 Event.
*FURIA For the Last Month of Play (22 Maps): KSCERATO 1.12 Rating, yuurih 1.12, arT 1.03, VINI 0.95, junior 0.91.
*FURIA For the Last Three Months of Play (45 Maps): KSCERATO 1.15 Rating, arT 1.08, yuurih 1.08, VINI 1.00, junior 0.94.
*Sinners For the Event: oksar 1.34 Rating, NEOFRAG 1.29, SHOCK 1.08, ZEDKO 1.01, beastik 0.96.
*Sinners For the Last Month of Play (46 Maps): oskar 1.24 Rating, NEOFRAG 1.22, beastik 1.06, SHOCK 1.02, ZEDKO 1.00.
H2H DATA:
*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.
MAPS:
*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Overpass for Sinners and Dust2 for FURIA. I think we see FURIA go with Inferno and Sinners go with Vertigo.
*FURIA on Inferno (5 Maps): KSCERATO 1.24 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 81.6 ADR. arT 1.21, VINI 1.20, yuurih 1.13, junior 0.99. On Vertigo (7 Maps): yuurih 1.35 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.32 IMP, 94.2 ADR. KSCERATO 1.19, VINI 1.12, arT 1.11, junior 0.96.
*Sinners on Vertigo (34 Maps): NEOFRAG 1.37 Rating, 0.85 KPR, 1.47 IMP, 95.8 ADR. oskar 1.24, ZEDKO 1.11, beastik 1.11, SHOCK 1.05. On Inferno (35 Maps): oskar 1.25 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.19 IMP, 78.5 ADR. NEOFRAG 1.24, SHOCK 1.10, ZEDKO 0.96, beastik 0.96.
Analysis: FURIA comes into this one on a 3-match win streak and they beat Complexity and Vitality in two of those three. Sinners have been playing some decent mid-tier 2 teams, but nothing major. I think this match is actually closer than we expect, but I could also see FURIA winning a real close 2-0 also. I think if you pick a dog on this slate it is Sinners.
*TOP STACKS: Spirit, FURIA
*TOP CPT PLAYS: mir, KSCERATO, yuurih, degster, oskar, NEOFRAG, FL1T
*TOP FLEX PLAYS: zorte, chopper, arT, SHOCK, VINI, sdy