CS:GO DFS Playbook: FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final Event – 4.21.2021 (2-Match)

forZe (Ranked 40th in World) @ Complexity (Ranked 9th in World)

Betting Odds: Complexity -345/forZe +245

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +115/Under -155

*This is an upper-bracket semi-final match for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final Event.

*forZe For Event (2 Maps): FL1T 1.43 Rating, zorte 1.21, KENSI 1.17, Jerry 0.86, almazer 0.78.

*forZe For the Last Month of Play (16 Maps): FL1T 1.19 Rating, zorte 1.15, KENSI 1.06, Jerry 0.99. almazer 0.93.

*Complexity For Event (2 Maps): k0nfig 1.46 Rating, Rush 1.30, blameF 1.23, poizon 1.22, jks 0.96.

*Complexity For the Last Month of Play (10 Maps): poizon 1.11 Rating, blameF 1.10, k0nfig 1.07, RUSH 1.01, jks 0.99.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches with the cores that they have now. The last match was in September of 2020 and there were more than two new faces for the match.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for Complexity and Vertigo for forZe. I believe we see Complexity go with Mirage and forZe go with Inferno.

*forZe on Inferno (10 Maps): Jerry 1.18 Rating, 0.73 KPR, 1.23 IMP, 85.0 ADR. KENSI 1.07, FL1T 1.06, zorte 1.06, almazer 0.99. On Mirage (20 Maps): FL1T 1.39 Rating, 0.89 KPR, 1.43 IMP, 99.2 ADR. zorte 1.17, KENSI 1.15, Jerry 1.06, almazer 1.05.

*Complexity on Mirage (17 Maps): blameF 1.25 Rating, 0.77 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 81.6 ADR. k0nfig 1.16, poizon 1.16, jks 1.06, RUSH 0.92. On Inferno (7 Maps): blameF 1.23 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.18 IMP, 77.4 ADR. jks 1.07, k0nfig 1.04, poizon 1.02, RUSH 1.00.

Analysis: Seeing as how both of these teams are choosing Mirage as their first map choice and over 50+% of the time, I believe that Mirage is going to be a very pivotal map for this match. Both teams are also winning Mirage at roughly 70%, as well, so it will really boil down to individual talent in my opinion. I do think that Complexity is the chalk here, as usual, but I do think they get the win here.

 

Extra Salt (Ranked 23rd in World) @ Dignitas (Ranked 25th in World)

Betting Odds: Dignitas -235/Extra Salt +175

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +105/Under -140

*This is an upper-bracket semi-final match for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final Event.

*Extra Salt For Event (3 Maps): Sonic 1.28 Rating, FaNg 1.26, oSee 1.15, MarKe 0.97, JT 0.90.

*Extra Salt For the Last Month of Play (12 Maps): oSee 1.21 Rating, Sonic 1.18, FaNg 1.09, MarKE 1.08, JT 0.88.

*Dignitas For Event (2 Maps): hallzerk 1.75 Rating, HEAP 1.40, f0rest 1.38, Lekr0 1.15, friberg 0.97.

*Dignitas For the Last Month of Play (42 Maps): Lekr0 1.13 Rating, f0rest 1.12, HEAP 1.11, hallzerk 1.05, friberg 0.96.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for Dignitas and Dust2 for Extra Salt. I believe we see Train for Extra Salt and Nuke for Dignitas.

*Dignitas on Nuke (16 Maps): f0rest 1.21 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.16 IMP, 82.9 ADR. Lekr0 1.18, hallzerk 1.13, HEAP 1.09, friberg 0.95. On Train (6 Maps): Lekr0 1.03 Rating, 0.68 KPR, 1.06 IMP, 78.6 ADR. Heap 1.03, f0rest 1.03, hallzerk 0.91, friberg 0.90.

*Extra Salt on Train (14 Maps): oSee 1.38 Rating, 0.90 KPR, 1.41 IMP, 91.8 ADR. FaNg 1.28, Sonic 1.13, MarKE 1.13, JT 0.98. On Nuke (15 Maps): oSee 1.46 Rating, 0.92 KPR, 1.50 IMP, 91.4. Sonic 1.27, FaNg 1.17, MarKE 1.15, JT 1.15.

Analysis: I think everyone is going to be swayed to the side of Extra Salt here after they beat BIG yesterday. Dignitas’ win was way more impressive to me beating an Evil Geniuses team that is actually quite good but are dealing with roster changes and such. I believe I am riding the Dignitas train here. They looked REALLY good yesterday.

 

*TOP STACKS: Complexity, Dignitas

*TOP CPT PLAYS: blameF, Lekr0, poizon, oSee, FL1T, hallzerk

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: k0nfig, HEAP, jks, zorte, KENSI, friberg, Jerry