CS:GO DFS Playbook: FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final – 4.19.2021 (2-Match)

Virtus.Pro (Ranked 5th in World) @ forZe (Ranked 46th in World)

Betting Odds: Virtus.Pro -500/forZe +330

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +135/Under -180

*This is a best of three upper bracket quarter-final match for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final Event.

*V.Pro For the Last Month of Play (18 Maps): YEKINDAR 1.24 Rating, Jame 1.19, buster 1.09, Qikert 1.00, SANJI 0.95.

*V.Pro For the Last Three Months of Play (55 Maps): YEKINDAR 1.26 Rating, Jame 1.23, buster 1.07, Qikert 1.01, SANJI 0.96.

*forZe For the Last Month of Play (17 Maps): FL1T 1.16 Rating, zorte 1.15, Jerry 1.03, KENSI 1.02, almazer 0.96.

*forZe For the Last Three Months of Play (77 Maps): FL1T 1.19 Rating, zorte 1.13, Jerry 1.08, KENSI 1.05, almazer 1.01.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have played four teams over the last calendar year with forZe taking the last meeting between the two with winning results of 16-12 on Train and 16-12 on Mirage. Virtus.Pro did win Dust2 16-13, and Virtus.Pro had won the prior three matches, as well. Three of the four matches did see three maps in play.

*Top Performers for Virtus.Pro vs forZe (14 Maps): Jame +53 K-D Diff, 1.24 K-D, 1.10 Rating. buster +37 K-D Diff, 1.20 K-D, 1.16 Rating. YEKINDAR +3 K-D Diff, 1.01 K-D, 1.13 Rating.  

*Top Performers for forZe vs Virtus.Pro (14 Maps): Fl1T +40 K-D Diff, 1.16 K-D, 1.12 Rating.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for forZe and Nuke for Virtus.Pro. I believe we see Dust2 for Virtus.Pro and Mirage for forZe in this one.

*Virtus.Pro on Dust2 (12 Maps): 1.25 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 88.0 ADR. Jame 1.21, Qikert 1.06, SANJI 1.04, buster 1.00. On Mirage (6 Maps): Jame 1.42 Rating, 0.84 KPR, 1.44 IMP, 84.7 ADR. YEKINDAR 1.30, buster 1.06, SANJI 1.00, Qikert 1.00.

*forZe on Mirage (19 Maps) FL1T 1.37 Rating, 0.88 KPR, 1.40 IMP, 97.8 ADR. zorte 1.17, KENSI 1.15, almazer 1.07, Jerry 1.07. On Dust2 (17 Maps): FL1T 1.26 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 90.8 ADR. zorte 1.20, Jerry 1.08, KENSI 1.06, almazer 1.05.

Analysis: Like all of us, we think Virtus.Pro will get the win here, and on paper they should as they are quite a hefty favorite and are ranked the 5th best team in the World currently. However, I do think that forZe can easily make this match competitive, as the last four meetings between these two teams saw the loser in all 11 maps played win at least 9+ rounds. Nine of the 11 maps saw at least 11 or more rounds won by the losing team. These two teams have just played each other very closely in their past meetings and although this forZe team has some new faces, they have a pretty nasty 1-2 punch combo with FL1T and zorte. I will have quite a bit of both of these teams, although I never recommend same-game stacks, this one has it written all over it.

 

Complexity (Ranked 10th in World) @ HAVU (Ranked 18th in World)

Betting Odds: Complexity -170/HAVU +130

Map Odds: 2.5 Over -105/Under -130

*This is a best of three upper bracket quarter-final for the FunSpark ULTI 2020 Europe Final Event.

*Complexity For the Last Month of Play (8 Maps): poizon 1.09 Rating, blameF 1.08, jks 1.00, k0nfig 1.00, RUSH 0.95.

*Complexity For the Last Three Months of Play (37 Maps): blameF 1.18 Rating, poizon 1.12. k0nfig 1.07, jks 0.98, RUSH 0.95.

*HAVU For the Last Three Months of Play (41 Maps): Aerial 1.24 Rating, ZOREE 1.12, xseveN 1.07, sLowi 1.07, Jemi 0.91.

*HAVU For the Last Month of Play (89 Maps): Aerial 1.24 Rating, xseveN 1.18, ZOREE 1.14, sLowi 1.10, Jemi 0.99.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for Complexity and Vertigo for HAVU. I think we see Complexity go with Mirage and HAVU roll with Dust2.

*HAVU on Dust2 (18 Maps): xseveN 1.23 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.26 IMP, 87.4 ADR. ZOREE 1.19, sLowi 1.18, Aerial 1.12, Jemi 0.96. On Mirage (16 Maps): xseveN 1.25 Rating, 0.80 KPR, 1.30 IMP, 90.5 ADR. Aerial 1.23, ZOREE 1.08, sLowi 1.03, jemi 0.90.

*Complexity on Mirage (17 Maps): blameF 1.21 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 79.9 ADR. k0nfig 1.14, poizon 1.14, jks 1.03, RUSH 0.91. On Dust2 (7 Maps): blameF 1.21 Rating, 0.72 KPR, 1.11 IMP, 84.8 ADR. poizon 1.13, k0nfig 1.04, RUSH 1.03, jks 0.89.

Analysis: This slate is so close man, and this match is even closer on paper than the first match above. I think the majority will be on Complexity, but HAVU has been super strong as a team lately and have made some nice runs in Events. Again, the “favorite” is Complexity, and I do expect them to garner the ownership in this match. I think we see at three-mapper no doubt here. I think they are all close maps also.

 

*TOP STACKS: Virtus.Pro, HAVU

*TOP CPT PLAYS: Jame, xseveN, blameF, FL1T, poizon

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: YEKINDAR, Aerial, buster, ZOREE, sLowi, k0nfig, zorte