CS:GO DFS Playbook: BLAST Premier Spring Showdown – 4.15.2021 (2-Match)

Heroic (Ranked 3rd in World) @ SAW (Ranked 37th in World)

Betting Odds: Heroic -555/SAW +360

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +190/Under -265

*This is a best of three match for the round of 16 for the BLAST Premier Spring Showdown Event.

*Heroic For the Last Month of Play (9 Maps): cadiaN 1.15 Rating, stavn 1.10, TeSeS 1.07, refrezh 1.05, sjuush 0.95.

*Heroic For the Last Three Months of Play (44 Maps): cadiaN 1.15 Rating, stavn 1.09, TeSeS 1.08, sjuush 1.04, refrezh 1.03

*SAW For the Last Month of Play (24 Maps): JUST 1.17 Rating, rmn 1.12, MuTiRiS 1.11, stadodo 1.06, arki 0.96.

*SAW For the Last Three Months of Play (91 Maps): stadodo 1.11 Rating, JUST 1.09, MUTiRiS 1.07, rmn 1.00, arki 0.95.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent H2H matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for Heroic and Mirage for SAW. I think we see SAW go with Nuke and Heroic go with Overpass.

*Heroic on Overpass (5 Maps): TeSeS 1.18 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.28 IMP, 87.0 ADR. sjuush 1.08, cadiaN 1.01, refreh 1.00, stavn 0.94. On Nuke (6 Maps): refrezh 1.35 Rating, 0.92 KPR, 1.34 IMP, 86.5 ADR. TeSeS 1.17, cadiaN 1.17, stavn 1.04, sjuush 0.91.

*SAW on Nuke (21 Maps): stadodo 1.11 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.13 IMP, 75.5 ADR. MUTiRiS 1.10, JUST 1.05, rmn 1.03, arki 0.92. On Overpass (13 Maps): JUST 1.02 Rating, 0.67 KPR, 0.98 IMP, 73.5 ADR. MUTiRiS 1.02, stadodo 0.98, arki 0.93, rmn 0.81.

Analysis: Easily on paper this match should go fairly quickly in the favor of Heroic. They just shipped the ESL Pro League a few days ago and they will be hungry for more as they have yet to lose a match since signing sjuush and refrezh. This team is so strong right now that I couldn’t tell you when they will lose again. Heroic should take care of business.

 

Vitality (Ranked 8th in World) @ 9z (Ranked 88th in World)

Betting Odds: Vitality -3330/9z +685

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +335/Under -525

*This is a best of three round of 16 match for the BLAST Premier Spring Showdown Event.

*Vitality For the Last Month of Play (7 Maps): ZywOo 1.29 Rating, shox 1.05, apEX 0.97, RpK 0.88, misutaaa 0.85.

*Vitality For the Last Three Months of Play (34 Maps): ZywOo 1.26 Rating, shox 1.00, apEX 0.93, RpK 0.91, misutaaa 0.91.

*9z For the Last Month of Play (7 Maps): max 1.29 Rating, try 1.27, dgt 1.06, bit 1.03, EasTor 0.93.

*9z For the Last Three Months of Play (22 Maps): max 1.20 Rating, try 1.17, dgt 1.08, EasTor 1.06, bit 1.04.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent H2H matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Vertigo for 9z and Train for Vitality. I think we see dust2 for Vitality and Mirage for 9z.

*Vitality on Dust2 (7 Maps): ZywOo 1.49 Rating, 0.97 KPR, 1.56 IMP, 95.0 ADR. shox 1.01, RpK 0.97, apEX 0.96, misutaaa 0.92. On Mirage (6 Maps): ZywOo 1.21 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.32 IMP, 77.6 ADR. misutaaa 1.01, shox 0.94, apEX 0.94, RpK 0.89.

*9z on Mirage (6 Maps): try 1.35 Rating, 0.88 KPR, 1.27 IMP, 92.3 ADR. dgt 1.31, bit 1.09, max 0.87. On Dust2 (7 Maps): try 1.25 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 85.1 ADR. max 1.19, dgt 1.07, bit 1.03, EasTor 0.82.

Analysis: Obviously the books think that 9z shouldn’t even have a shot at this match and in theory and on paper this is true. Vitality hasn’t looked good lately and they have dealt with some roster issues. This is RpK’s final run, so expect them to come out firing.

 

*TOP STACKS: Vitality, Heroic

*TOP CPT PLAYS: ZywOo, cadiaN, stavn, shox, TeSeS

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: refrezh, misutaaa, RpK, JUST, try, max