CS:GO DFS Playbook: ESL Pro League Season 13 – 4.2.2021 (2-Match)

FURIA (Ranked 10th in World) @ FunPlusPhoenix (Ranked 16th in World)

Betting Odds: FURIA -250/FPX +185

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +105/Under -140

*This is a best of three match for the ESL Pro League First Round of Playoffs.

*FURIA For Event (11 Maps): arT 1.12 Rating, KSCERATO 1.12, yuurih 1.05, VINI 1.02, junior 0.90.

*FURIA For the Last Three Months of Play (36 Maps): KSCERATO 1.12 Rating, yuurih 1.09, arT 1.07, VINI 0.99, junior 0.96.

*FPX For Event (12 Maps): Maden 1.03 Rating, Farlig 1.02, STYKO 1.01, suNny 0.98, zehN 0.93.

*FPX For the Last Three Months of Play (35 Maps): Farlig 1.05 Rating, Maden 1.05, zehN 1.01, STYKO 1.00, suNny 0.96.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have not played any recent head-to-head matches.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for FPX and Dust2 for FURIA. I believe we see Nuke for FPX and Inferno for FURIA.

*FPX on Nuke (6 Maps): STYKO 1.11 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.01 IMP, 81.2 ADR. Maden 1.02, suNny 0.95, zehN 0.94, Farlig 0.94. On Inferno (4 Maps): Maden 1.11 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.35 IMP, 85.6 ADR. suNny 1.00, Farlig 0.93, zehN 0.91, STYKO 0.89.

*FURIA on Inferno (2 Maps): KSCERATO 1.40 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.43 IMP, 88.8 ADR. junior 1.13, arT 1.11, VINI 1.11, yuurih 1.06. On Nuke (2 Maps): yuurih 1.31 Rating, 0.87 KPR, 1.30 IMP, 96.6 ADR. arT 0.90, KSCERATO 0.85, junior 0.74, VINI 0.70.

Analysis: FURIA looked really strong throughout group play except for their throw against Cloud9 to try go get NaVi out of the playoffs. I think they have a much stronger team than FPX, and I feel they have more individual talent than FPX. The maps are good for FURIA and I will be backing them here in this match.

 

G2 (Ranked 13th in World) @ Liquid (Ranked 5th in World)

Betting Odds: Liquid -200/G2 +150

Map Odds: Over 2.5 -115/Under -115

*This is a best of three match for the ESL Pro League First Round of Playoffs.

*G2 For Event (11 Maps): huNter 1.17 Rating, NiKo 1.10, nexa 1.02, AmaNEk 1.01, JaCkz 1.00.

*G2 For the Last Three Months of Play (36 Maps): NiKo 1.12 Rating, huNter 1.08, nexa 1.00, KennyS 0.98, AmaNEk 0.96.

*Liquid For Event (10 Maps): EliGE 1.29, Fallen 1.12, NAF 1.11, Stewie2K 1.08, Grim 0.96.

*Liquid For the Last Three Months of Play (45 Maps): EliGE 1.21 Rating, NAF 1.15, FalleN 1.01, Stewie2K 0.99, Grim 0.97

H2H DATA:

*These two teams played once back at the IEM Katowice 202 Event, but both teams have new faces. Not going to list skewed data from over a year ago.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Train for Liquid and Overpass for G2. Believe we see Dust2 for G2 and Vertigo for Liquid.

*G2 on Dust2 (4 Maps): NiKo 1.28 Rating, 0.83 KPR, 1.36 IMP, 85.5 ADR. huNter 0.98, AmaNEk 0.97, nexa 0.87. On Vertigo (6 Maps): JaCkz (4 Maps) 1.22 Rating, 0.82 KPR, 1.27 IMP, 88.7 ADR. huNter 1.07, NiKo 1.06, nexa 1.05, AmaNEk 0.93.

*Liquid on Vertigo (7 Maps): EliGE 1.41 Rating, 0.89 KPR, 1.71 IMP, 93.5 ADR. NAF 1.19, Stewie2k 1.14, FalleN 1.06, Grim 1.02. On Dust2 (7 Maps): EliGE 1.18 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.24 IMP, 91.1 ADR. NAF 0.98, FalleN 0.85, Stewie2K 0.81, Grim 0.78.

Analysis: I hate to say this, but I like both favorites on this slate. I think that Liquid rounded out their Group Play better than just about any team other than Gambit in the whole Pro League. Liquid have looked damn good over the last couple of weeks and their confidence is at all all-time high. I think they win easily here.

 

*TOP STACKS: Liquid, FURIA

*TOP CPT PLAYS: ELiGE, NAF, KSCERATO, arT, NiKo, huNter

*TOP VALUES: Maden, FalleN, VINI, junior, Grim, STYKO