CS:GO DFS Playbook: FunSpark ULTI 2021 – 3.30.2021 (2-Match)

Sprout (Ranked 24th in World) @ MAD Lions (Ranked 97th in World)

Betting Odds: Sprout -215/MAD +160

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +115/Under -155

*This is a best of three opening match for Group B in the FunSpark ULTI 2021 Event. (*Note – This is a brand-new MAD Lions roster without a single existing member, and sausol is a stand-in for keen)

*Sprout Over the Last Month of Play (25 Maps): slaxz- 1.20 Rating, faveN 1.18, kressy 1.03, denis 1.02, Spiidi 0.97.

*Sprout Over the Last Three Months of Play (83 Maps): faveN 1.19 Rating, slaxz- 1.14, kressy 1.02, Spiidi 1.02, denis 1.01.

*MAD Lions For the Last Month of Play (3 Maps): Woro2k 1.17 Rating, tudsoN 1.13, sausol 1.09, TMB 1.06, jL 0.81.

H2H DATA:

*This MAD Lions team has only played 3 matches for the new squad, so there have been no recent head-to-heads played between these two.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Dust2 for MAD Lions and Overpass for Sprout. MAD Lions are going with Train, while Sprout have been going with Nuke behind Dust2, which will be banned.

*MAD Lions on Train (2 Maps): tudsoN 1.13 Rating, 0.70 KPR, 1.21 IMP, 67.0 ADR. TMB 1.12, sausol 1.10, Woro2K 1.06, jL 0.84. On Nuke (1 Map): Woro2k 1.14 Rating, 0.81 KPR, 1.17 IMP, 79.5 ADR. sausol 0.91, tudsoN 0.71.

*Sprout on Nuke (4 Maps): faveN 1.12 Rating, 0.71 KPR, 1.14 IMP, 84.9 ADR. Spiidi 1.05, slaxz- 1.01, denis 0.99, kressy 0.97. On Train (3 Maps): slaxz- 1.25 Rating, 0.78 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 80.5 ADR. faveN 1.14, Spiidi 1.13, denis 1.06, kressy 0.98.

Analysis: This MAD Lions team has played three best of one matches. That is all. They took ENCE to double-OT in their last match in a 22-19 loss, lost 16-12 on Inferno match before, and beat ENCE on Train 16-7. Spirit have not exactly been crushing it lately as they have won three of their last five, but their losses came from EndPoint and DBL Poney. This should be a good starting match up for this new MAD team and I think they could push this one for three maps. The odds aren’t exactly heavily in Sprouts favor here either. Weird line on this match.

 

AGO (Ranked 23rd in World) @ Dignitas (Ranked 42nd in World)

Betting Odds: DIG -140/AGO +105

Map Odds: 2.5 Over +110/Under -145

*This is a best of three opening match for Group B in the FunSpark ULTI 2021 Event.

*AGO For the Last Month of Play (28 Maps): snatchie 1.22 Rating, F1KU 1.11, rallen 1.09, Furlan 0.99, reatz 0.98.

*AGO For the Last Three Months of Play (63 Maps): snatchie 1.19 Rating, rallen 1.13, F1KU 1.12, Furlan 0.98, reatz 0.96.

*Dignitas For the Last Month of Play (17 Maps): Lekr0 1.17, f0rest 1.16 Rating, 0.75 KPR, 1.15 IMP, 78.5 ADR. HEAP 1.09, hallzerk 1.07, friberg 0.92.

*Dignitas For the Last Three Months of Play (44 Maps): Lekr0 1.17, f0rest 1.09, HEAP 1.08, hallzerk 1.07, friberg 0.90.

H2H DATA:

*These two teams have no prior head-to-head matches played recently.

MAPS:

*The first likely two banned maps for this match should include Mirage for Dignitas and Overpass for AGO. Believe we see Dust2 for AGO and Nuke for Dignitas.

*Dignitas on Nuke (8 Maps): f0rest 1.24 Rating, 0.79 KPR, 1.22 IMP, 86.4 ADR. Lerk0 1.11, hallzerk 1.06, HEAP 1.02, friberg 0.84. On Dust2 (11 Maps): Lekr0 (5 Maps): 1.22 Rating, 0.76 KPR, 1.12 IMP, 90.2 ADR. f0rest 1.10, hallzerk 1.04, HEAP 0.99, friberg 0.81.

*AGO on Dust2 (4 Maps): snatchie 1.38 Rating, 0.85 KPR, 1.69 IMP, 89.4 ADR. F1KU 1.32, rallen 1.21, reatz 0.96, Furlan 0.96. On Nuke (2 Maps): Furlan 1.08 Rating, 0.69 KPR, 1.17 IMP, 78.0 ADR. rallen 1.03, reatz 1.00, F1KU 0.91, snatchie 0.80.

Analysis: Dignitas have won five in a row out of their last five matches played and have beaten Wisla Krakow, HAVU, Galaxy Racers, and Singularity in that span. AGO have been a bit rocky lately and haven’t played a major Event match in 2 weeks. However, I don’t feel that DIG is that much better than AGO and I think this match is close. I could easily see AGO winning it however, and I don’t believe DIG should be a -140 favorite here, and I think DIG is the chalk of this slate other than Sprout.


*TOP STACKS: AGO, Sprout, DIG

*TOP CONTRARIAN STACKS: AGO, MAD Lions

*TOP CPT PLAYS: slaxz-, snatchie, f0rest, Lekr0, Woro2K,

*TOP FLEX PLAYS: rallen, F1KU, Spiidi, tudsoN, sausol, friberg, reatz