Fantasy Football Stock Watch: Week 7
Justin Vreeland surveys the fantasy football world and examines whose stock is rising and whose is falling after Week 7.
What’s up FANation?! Welcome back to another edition of the Stock Watch! Week 7 was a wacky one with a lot of strong performances from fringe players who were probably on your bench. We had a four touchdown game from Marvin Jones Jr. and a three touchdown game from a “non-starter” in Chase Edmonds . You will find one of those two in this week’s report along with plenty of other names. Feel free to shoot me feedback or anything else in the live chats or on Twitter @JustinVreeland. Without further adieu, let’s dive in!
Ryan Tannehill , QB TEN – Tannehill played very well in his first start as a Titan, completing 23-of-29 passes for 312 yards and a pair of touchdowns while throwing one interception. His outing was enough to top 20 fantasy points in his first start. For comparison, Mariota only topped 16 fantasy points twice through six games and only had one 300 yard game (304 yards on 40 pass attempts in a blowout loss to the Jags with the majority of the yards coming in garbage time). All that being said, what the Titans loved most about this outing is the fact that he was able to lead them to a win. Yes, it’s only one game but Tannehill looked like a massive upgrade over Mariota and everyone in this offense looks like they are getting a big bump in fantasy value. As much as we love Tannehill being the new quarterback for the weapons around him, he is still only someone to consider in two quarterback leagues or in SuperFlex leagues (More than we could say for Mariota though).
Corey Davis , WR TEN – As I stated, Tannehill looks like a big upgrade for the Titans and Davis benefitted greatly in the first game with him under center. Davis hauled in six-of-seven targets and racked up 80 yards and a touchdown, good for 20 fantasy points. It was just his second game of the year with double-digit fantasy points. Davis has potential and many of us have long said that he is a talented kid that just needs a competent quarterback throwing the football. Now this isn’t to say Tannehill is Mahomes, but it would be very difficult for him to be any worse than Mariota and through one game he looks like a big improvement. Usually I wouldn’t suggest tossing a guy like this into your starting lineup after just one game, but with the Bucs on tap next week it will be a solid play, as the Titans should be able to move the ball against their poor defense.
Darren Waller , TE OAK – Waller’s value just continues to grow as the rookie tight end hauled in seven receptions (eight targets) for 126 yards and a pair of touchdowns. It was his first two touchdowns of the season; however, it was his second time topping 100 receiving yards and it was his fourth game with at least seven receptions. He has scored over 12 fantasy points in five out of six games and this was his second time topping 27, as he scored a season high 31.6 points this week. He has been very efficient this season, hauling in 44-of-50 targets on the season (88-percent catch rate). He should be viewed as a top-five fantasy tight end (currently second) and he is the best pass-catcher in Oakland. He isn’t really a buy or sell right now in redraft as his value seems pretty firm, but this is someone I would do what I can to try and buy in dynasty leagues, even though it’s going to cost you a pretty penny.
Chase Edmonds , RB ARI – What on earth happened with Arizona this week? They deemed David Johnson healthy enough to start the game but, after taking the first carry of the game, he wasn’t heard from the rest of the day. They leaned on Edmonds all day long, as the second year running back finished with 27 carries for 126 yards and three touchdowns while hauling in two-of-four targets for 24 yards in the passing game. He looked great in this game and he has played great all year long. Of course not many people benefitted from this game as he was left on most people’s benches since DJ was deemed “active.” Keep a close on the status of Johnson this week, but it may not even mean much, considering we were just lied to about the situation this week. Regardless, it appears that Edmonds will have weekly flex standalone value even when Johnson is getting his regular workload. He’s a pretty strong sell-high option right now, especially to a DJ owner.
Tyler Boyd , WR CIN – Boyd racked up 14 targets against the Jags but managed a whopping 8.5 fantasy points with them as he hauled in just five receptions for 55 yards (lost a fumble). It was his third game with fewer than 9.0 fantasy points in his last four games. Having Dalton as his QB isn’t ideal, but he also hasn’t played well with three drops in the last two games and just eight receptions on 21 targets while also losing a fumble. He also only has one touchdown on the season, so his upside is very limited, especially in leagues that are not full PPR. This isn’t all that surprising either, as he struggled last year without A.J. Green , and Green has still not made his return to action this season. He is a rock solid number two wide receiver, but having to operate as the top guy for the Bengals hasn’t gone well. He would be a solid buy-low option if we ever got good news on Green making a return.
Brandin Cooks , WR LAR – Another week, another dud fantasy performance for Cooks. He finished with 9.9 points, his third straight game in single-digits. He hauled in four passes for 59 yards on seven targets and still only has one touchdown through seven games. He has just 13 total targets over the last three weeks and hasn’t topped 60 yards in any of those games. His season high fantasy output is only 20.0 points and he has only crossed the 75 yard mark in ONE game. This Rams offense just isn’t as explosive or efficient as it was last season and now Goff is involving his tight ends a lot. This is leading to even less work for the trio of receivers, who already take turns on who performs. It’s even more alarming that this was a game against the Falcons wet paper pass defense and he still posted a dud. You probably have to play him against the Bengals next week, but he’s far from a sure thing.
Joe Mixon , RB CIN – Oof, Mixon continues to look like a “bust of the year” candidate. He was a second round pick in fantasy drafts this year, but he’s looking like someone that shouldn’t have been drafted at all. Yes, the Bengals have a horrid O-line, but regardless of how bad your line is, a talented back has to do better than this. He finished with 10 carries for two yards. TWO. A two-yard touchdown reception led to a 7.4 fantasy point day. Over the last two weeks he has 18 carries for 12 yards. It was his fourth game being held under 20 rushing yards… they’ve only played seven games! He hasn’t topped 100 yards in any game this season and he is still sitting on zero rushing touchdowns. He has zero games with over 20 fantasy points and he has four games with fewer than eight. You can’t cut him, but you certainly can’t put him in your starting lineup either. I wouldn’t even call him a buy-low candidate because we have no reason to believe this is going to change anytime soon.
Mark Andrews , TE BAL – Andrews still ranks as the fourth tight end in the fantasy game with 96.9 points, but he hasn’t been that great over the last month. He started the year with back-to-back 25 point fantasy games, but has just 47 points total in the last five games. Of those five games, none were over 15 points and three of them were single-digit point totals, including this week’s 5.9 point performance. He still saw a hefty amount of targets with eight, but only managed to haul in two of them for 39 yards. He is still looked at as an elite option at the position (by the public), and to me that makes him a nice sell-high option, considering he is averaging fewer than 10 points per game over the last five weeks. The Ravens are still a run-first offense and Jackson has multiple games where he is off the mark with his throws. Hooper, Waller, Kelce, Engram, Ertz, Kittle, and Henry are all tight ends I would rather own.
Stocks to Watch
Alex Erickson , WR CIN – While Boyd had a rough game, Erickson was on the opposite end of the spectrum, as he hauled in 8-of-14 targets for 137 yards for a strong 21.5 point fantasy day. The 14 targets were a new season high and it marked his second straight game with double-digit fantasy points. That being said, this is someone you can completely leave off your radar in leagues that are not full PPR, but in full PPR leagues he is worth keeping an eye on. If he has another solid game next week it may be time to start taking it a bit more seriously, but this offense is still a mess and it would be far from surprising if he posts a dud next week. This is his fourth season in the NFL, and he has never been fantasy relevant, though his targets have increased each year and he is just one target away from setting a new career high.