Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Clippers

Spread: LAC -13

O/U: 221.5

Injuries

Thunder

Al Horford - OUT

Trevor Ariza - OUT

Josh Hall - OUT

Ty Jerome - OUT

Clippers

Jay Scrubb - OUT

Defense vs. Position (DvP)

Thunder - 7th vs. PG / 13th vs. SG / 30th vs. SF / 22nd vs. PF / 22nd vs. C

Clippers - 17th vs. PG / 17th vs. SG / 2nd vs. SF / 1st vs. PF 

MVP/CPT

Kawhi Leonard , SF LAC

If OKC can keep this close, Leonard is going to put up another 50 spot like we saw last time out. Actually, he put up 50+ in two straight and has done that five times over his last nine games. Leonard leads the team in usage at 29.7% and FP/min at 1.35. The Thunder are dead last against the small-forward in terms of DvP. We just need this game to stay close.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander , PG OKC

We’ve seen some very high high’s and some very low low’s out of SGA this year but the upside can win us a GPP. He’s put up 49.25 DKP or more in five of his last eight games including 49 against the Clips last time out. The Clippers are below league average in terms of DvP versus point-guard ranking 17th and SGA can take advantage of that.

Paul George , SG LAC

We have a revenge narrative here for George that he took advantage of last time out as he put up 46.3 DKP across 34 minutes. George has averaged 43 DKP/game over his last five contests. In blowouts we’re still getting 30 minutes from George, but we’re seeing 36+ in close, competitive games. George is cheaper than Leonard if you need the salary savings.

Mid-Tier

Serge Ibaka , C LAC

We saw what Ibaka can do his last time out when he’s given the run. He played 28 minutes and put up a 17 point double-double, going for 33.75 DKP. Each of the last three times he’s played 28+ minutes he’s put up 30+ DKP, which is what makes him interesting in showdown. Ibaka is averaging 1.0 FP/min this year as well.

Luguentz Dort , SG/SF OKC

The shots have been falling recently for Dort as he’s scored 19+ actual points in three straight games and he’s put up 24.75+ DK points in each. It’s a difficult match-up going up against Paul George , but the Thunder’s lack of offensive options thrusts Dort into a prominent role. Dort givith and Dort takith away.

Isaiah Roby , PF/C OKC

As Al Horford continues to miss time, Roby continues to start and play 24-28 minutes a night. His fantasy production has ranged from 18 to 32 DKP a night without Al Horford . Also, Roby’s averaged .95 FP/min with Horford off the floor this season, which is perfect at his price tag. He should still play in the mid-20’s in minutes if this game blows out.

Value Tier

Lou Williams , PG/SG LAC

We’re not getting more than 20 minutes a night out of Williams and we haven’t really been given any reason why. That said, he’s still carried a 21.8% USG rate during his time on the floor and we know he doesn’t need much run to get a LOT of buckets. He’s a FLEX play only, don’t even think about the CPT spot.

Hamidou Diallo , SG/SF OKC

Diallo had a few games earlier this year in which he absolutely exploded and looked like he was going to be a guy who would play mid-20’s minutes off the bench, but that hasn’t come into play. He’s barely getting 20, but he’s producing when on the floor and we know he has the upside to do more as well. Diallo has averaged a 22.6% USG and has 1.06 FP/min.