Happy Friday everyone!
We have a very nice slate on tap with a bunch of imports on the hill. All in pretty good spots with two standing out. In terms of weather everything looks like it should run smoothly.
We have three games with an O/U of at least 10 & a few teams that are HEAVY favorites. Those are the games offenses / cash pitching should be exploited in.
You can find me on Twitter prior to lock if you have any questions --> @The_Real_Grande
| Pitchers | ||||
| Pos | Player | Team | Opp. Pitcher | DK Sal. |
| SP | Drew Rucinski | NCD | D. Kim (R) | $9,300 |
| The -270 that the NC Dinos are favored by tonight may just be the biggest margin we have seen all season long. It’s for good reason, however, as the Dinos roll Rucinski out to the mound and he has been dynamite this season. In his four starts, he’s 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA and is coming off an eight inning, four-hit shutout while striking out nine against the Hanwha Eagles. This isn’t a match-up that is going to have us shaking in our boots either as Samsung is second to last in the league in batting average. Rucinski is a lock for cash games here. | ||||
| SP | Eric Jokisch | KIW | M. Kim (R) | $9,000 |
| If you’re going to pivot off of Rucinski, the clear move is only $300 cheaper in Jokisch. He’s also a massive favorite in Vegas (-215) and he actually might be pitching slightly better than Rucinski. He doesn’t have the strikeout upside and definitely faces a tougher offense than the Dinos starter, but he has a sparkling 1.17 ERA and .87 WHIP in four starts. I’d use Jokisch more in tournaments considering how potent KT Wiz’s lineup has shown to be. | ||||
| SP | Aaron Brooks | KIA | W. Cha (L) | $8,100 |
| By no stretch is this an easy match-up for Brooks and the Tigers considering LG are winners of four straight and six-of-seven. That being said KIA are -152 favorites here and Brooks has pitched well and could have even better numbers with some more luck on his side. He has a 3.28 ERA but a 2.75 FIP. Opponents are also batting a robust .397 on balls in play, which is way above league average. Hard not to like Brooks at his price considering the potential production we could get. | ||||
| SP | Raul Alcantara | DOO | K. Noh (R) | $7,700 |
| Another big favorite and someone we probably should consider in cash games. First we’re considering him because of his price -- rare we get an import on an elite team at this price. Secondly, Doosan is -210 favorites and he should have SO much run support in this match-up. We’ve seen the upside from Alcantara notching a 33 DK point game two starts ago. He has already pitched against Lotte this year and didn’t fare too well, but Lotte is falling apart winning just three of their last 10 games. | ||||
| SP | Min Woo Kim | HAN | T. Kim (L) | $6,900 |
| I actually really like both pitchers in this game. Hanwha’s Kim will likely be the chalkier of the two and it’s because allllll the strikeouts. Min Woo Kim has 5+ strikeouts in all four outings this year, including an eight punch out game against the KIA Tigers. Kim has had a TON of luck with his opponents batting .175 on balls in play. Kim does have a 9.4 K/9 and SK has struck out the fourth most times this year. Recipe for success. | ||||
| Hitters | ||||
| Pos | Player | Team | Opp. Pitcher | DK Sal. |
| C | Jin Sung Kang | NCD | D. Kim (R) | $3,400 |
| I mean, this is the BACKUP catcher?! He’s hitting .478 with five homers and 18 RBI and he started the campaign as the BACKUP. He basically plays everyday in some capacity now and how do you even think about sitting him. If he’s in the lineup, fire him up! | ||||
| C | Eui Ji Yang | NCD | D. Kim (R) | $5,400 |
| Yeah, he’s back. Yang has homered in back-to-back games driving in six runs. Over his last 10 games Yang has slashed .357/.500/.750 with 3 HR, 11 RBI and a SB. Last year’s league leader in hitting is worth the price of admission. | ||||
| C | Dong Won Park | KIW | M. Kim (R) | $4,600 |
| The hit train keeps on rollin’. Park had three more hits on Thursday, including a home run, which is his team leading fifth of the year. He’s posted a robust 1.017 OPS this season and already has 11 XBH in 20 games. No reason to avoid him in this juicy spot against a pitcher that pitches to a lot of contact when he’s actually in the zone. If Ji Young Lee is starting he’s very viable as well batting .405 his last 10 games. | ||||
| 1B/2B | Jose Miguel Fernandez | DOO | K. Noh (R) | $6,000 |
| When you’re hitting .470 for the entire season, is .450 over a 10-game span considered slumping? Kidding. Fernandez has the split advantage here, is hitting .469 with three bombs and 14 RBI against RHP. Hard to pass up on that upside. This game also features a 10.5 O/U, the highest of the slate. | ||||
| 1B | Roberto Ramos | LG | A. Brooks (R) | $3,700 |
| Although I like Brooks quite a bit on the opposite side of this game, but how could we justify excluding Ramos’ from this playbook? He’s the league leader in homers and has hit five just in his last nine games. He has the platoon advantage here as well. | ||||
| 1B/2B | Keon Chang Seo | KIW | M. Kim (R) | $3,800 |
| Seo has hits in 9-of-10 games and over that span he’s hitting .405 with an OPS over 1.000. He’s shown his ability to drive the ball out of the park (3 HR) and swipe a bag (4 SB). He gets the split advantage here and is under 4K somehow. Seo will likely find a way into ALL of my lineups for Friday’s contests. | ||||
| 2B | Min Woo Park | NCD | D. Kim (R) | $4,600 |
| We love Park against right-handed pitching and that’s what he gets here. Park is hitting .373 with 7 XBH against RHP this season. The Dinos leadoff hitter has only attempted two steals but has 11+ in six straight seasons and also has a 50 SB campaign on his ledger. | ||||
| 3B/SS | Jeong Choi | SK | M. Kim (R) | $4,500 |
| Choi has had an awful season but he is showing signs of life. He had a big series against Doosan reaching base nine times. For an idea of what kind of player Choi is, he’s had a .900 OPS or better in every season since 2010 and has 29+ homers in four straight seasons and has 20+ in 8-of-10 campaigns. | ||||
| Pos | Player | Team | Opp. Pitcher | DK Sal. |
| SS | Ha Seong Kim | KIW | M. Kim (R) | $6,200 |
| I mean, this is a crazy price tag to pay, but look at his slash line over the last 10 games. He’s slashed .353/.511/676 with 2 HR, 5 2B, 8 RBI, 10 BB and a SB. Kim was one of the best players in the KBO -- especially in DFS -- hitting 19 HR, driving in 104 RBI, scoring 112 R and stealing 33 bases. | ||||
| SS | Jae Ho Kim | DOO | K. Noh (R) | $2,200 |
| I mean, how do we not at least entertain this? He’s $200 off minimum salary and he’s hitting .375 with an .891 OPS this season. Does he have power? No. Has he only swiped one bag? Yeah. But at least we know he can rake and even swipe us a bag here and there. | ||||
| 3B/SS | Chan Ho Park | KIA | W. Cha (L) | $4,600 |
| We haven’t seen the speed from Park that we saw last season considering he has just three stolen bases after a year of 39 and leading the league. Park has been a hitting machine, however, posting hits in 11-of-12 games. Park is at his best when he’s running, which is something of a possibility considering Woo Chan’s Cha’s 1.52 WHIP. | ||||
| OF | Sung Bum Na | NCD | D. Kim (R) | $4,900 |
| Na homered twice on Thursday and now has multi-hits in five straight games and has accomplished that feat in 8-of-10. Na strikes out a lot, but nobody can deny how quality a hitter he really is. He has a 1.225 OPS over his last 10 games which has ballooned his OPS over 1.000 for the year. | ||||
| OF | Preston Tucker | KIA | W. Cha (L) | $6,100 |
| Just because Tucker is in a southpaw vs. southpaw match-up shouldn’t scare you away. He’s hitting .348 against LHP and has belted 3-of-6 HR too. Tucker is amongst the league leaders in almost every offensive category and KIA is a sneaky offense in this spot. | ||||
| OF | Ji Wan Na | KIA | W. Cha (L) | $3,400 |
| We get the split advantage in Na’s favor here and we also have a price point that cannot be ignored. Na had a tough time last season but was a 20+ HR guy for three straight seasons before that. He’s hitting fourth in an exploitable match-up against a guy who’s given up a LOT of power throughout the years. Cha has given up 30+ 2B & 16+ HR for five straight seasons for reference. | ||||
| OF | Jung Hoo Lee | KIW | M. Kim (R) | $5,400 |
| It’s hard to ignore Lee’s production but it’s hard to ignore his keen eye at the dish. He’s walked 10 times which has helped boost his OBP to .424 on the year. The significance is that Min Kim has an outlandish 6.3 BB/9 this season. Lee could reach base four times and score four runs here if Kim is wild like he normally is. He could also deposit one into the stands as he has four bombs this season. | ||||
| OF | Soo Bin Jung | DOO | K. Noh (R) | $2,000 |
| The Bears have moved Jung to the top of the order and guess what, he’s still MIN salary on DK! He’s hit .343 over his last 10 games and has at least one hit in 6-of-7. Jung has a ton of speed notching five 20+ SB seasons during his career, including just last season. | ||||
| Team Stacks | |||||
| 1 | KIW | Heroes | Opp. Pitcher | Min Kim | |
| Stack | Ha Seong Kim | Jung Hoo Lee | Dong Won Park | Keon Chang Seo | ByungHo Park |
| Kiwoom is in such an ideal spot on Friday and it's making me all warm and fuzzy inside. First off, they're in a 9.5 O/U -- second highest of the slate -- and they're -240 favorites and there have been a LOT of bets on the over in this spot. Min Kim, KT's starter, has a 6.32 ERA, 1.72 WHIP and has walked more (11) than he's struck out (9). It's really hard to ignore the potential for a HUGE night for the Heroes. | |||||
| 2 | NCD | Dinos | Opp. Pitcher | Dae Woo Kim | |
| Stack | Min Woo Park | Jin Sung Kang | Sung Bum Na | Eui Yi Yang | Suk Min Park |