Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos
Total: 46.5
DEN -2.5
Gameplay Predictions
Baker Mayfield has thrown a touchdown in 10 straight games after not throwing one in his first professional game.
Mayfield has only thrown for 300 yards in a game once this season.
Nick Chubb has a rushing touchdown in five straight games and has one in six of seven games.
Chubb has also been more involved in the passing game catching three passes or more in four consecutive contests.
Jarvis Landry has just one game in which he’s eclipsed 60 receiving yards over his last six.
In three of his last four games, David Njoku has less than 35 yards receiving.
Case Keenum has thrown for less than 200 yards in three straight games.
Keenum has thrown two touchdowns or less in 12 straight contests. Week 1 was the only time this year he’s thrown three.
Philip Lindsay has scored six touchdowns over his last four weeks and has two 100-plus yard rushing performances over his last three.
Lindsay ranks fourth in rushing yards this season.
The Broncos have only one active wide out with more than 200 yards and that’s Courtland Sutton .
Pregame Props
1) The last non-kneeling, offensive play of the 1st Quarter is a passing play (we’ll leave this open until the 2:00 mark) YES 2.6 / NO 2.4
NO. Both teams are middle of the pack in passing attempts and in rushing attempts as well. It’s hard to predict, but both teams have very solid running games and I suspect that’s what dominates this game early and often.
2) The first offensive play of the game gains 7 or more yards YES 3.2 / NO 2.0
NO. That’s a big chunk on the first play of the game. Going with the safe option in no.
3) Both teams score a TD in the 1st Quarter YES 4.2 / NO 1.9
NO. The 42.5 point game total is very low and wouldn’t make sense if they both scored every quarter, especially the first.
4) B.Mayfield(CLE) or C.Keenum(DEN) complete a pass of 41 yards or more in the 1st Quarter YES 5.0 / NO 1.5
NO. It’s been a four question string of no’s. That’s a tall task. Going safe here.
5) N. Chubb(CLE) records at least 10 total rushing yards on the CLE opening drive YES 2.9 / NO 2.2
YES. Chubb is a monster and has been rolling lately. Expecting a HUGE game against a Broncos defense that’s allowed the seventh most passing yards in football.
6) DEN passes for a 1st down on their opening drive YES 2.3 / NO 3.4
NO. Like I mentioned above, Keenum hasn’t thrown more than two touchdowns in a game since Week 1. It’s unlikely here.