Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

Total: 8.5

Yankees -145

Gameplay Predictions

Boston Red Sox

  • David Price has not pitched well against the Yankees this year allowing 14 earned runs over 10.2 innings pitched which translates to a 12.19 ERA.

  • Price has been on fire lately, however, notching 10 starts in a row in which he’s allowed three earned runs or less.

  • Since the All-Star break, Price has is 5-0 with a 1.56 ERA in nine starts.

  • Andrew Benintendi is 11-for-24 with two home runs with 10 runs batted in off of Luis Severino .

  • Mitch Moreland is 7-for-17 off of Luis Severino which is a .412 AVG and has four runs batted in.

  • Three active Red Sox players have taken Severino deep in the past; Andrew Benintendi , Ian Kinsler and Steve Pearce .

  • Over the last 10 games, Xander Bogaerts has slashed .382/.432/.618. He’s Boston’s hottest hitter right now.

New York Yankees

  • Luis Severino has gone six straight starts in which he hasn’t gone more than six innings.

  • He’s been average at best against the Red Sox this season. He’s 1-2 over four starts with a 4.24 ERA while striking out 25 batters in 23.1 innings.

  • Gary Sánchez owns David Price going 6-for-12 with five home runs.

  • The Yankees have seven players that have homered off Price, only Sanchez and Didi Gregorius have done it more than once.

  • Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .3244 with a .445 wOBA vs. LHP. He’s 6-for-16 off of Price in his career.

  • Andrew McCutchen has homered four times over his last 10 games which has been the main contributor to his OPS being north of 1.000.

  • Six of Didi Gregorius ’ last seven hits have been for extra-bases.

Pregame Props

Which team records more plate appearances in the 1st Inning? 2.5 / 2.5

Boston’s offense is the best in the business and there is no denying that, but with the way the Yanks have hit David Price this year, it seems like they could have a big first inning.

Both teams record a strikeout in the 1st Inning? YES 4.8x / NO 1.6x

With two strikeout oriented pitchers, this is definitely possible. I’d be willing to take the risk here and go with YES seeing how big the payout would be.

L. Severino (NYY) throws 15 or fewer pitches in the 1st Inning? YES 3.4x / NO 2.1x

Boston grinds out at-bats and Severino hasn’t had the best second half of the year. I’m going NO confidently here.

(BOS) fouls off either of the first 2 pitches? YES 3.8x / NO 1.9x

I’m going NO here because of how hard something like this is to predict so playing it safe seems like the logical way to go.