New York Yankees @ Miami Marlins

Total: 7.5

New York Yankees -174

Game Play Predictions

New York Yankees

  • Lance Lynn has a 2.61 ERA since joining the Yankees across 20.2 innings.

  • After posting an 8.80 K/9 in Minnesota, he’s raised that number to 11.76 during his time in New York, which has helped him raise his season long number to 9.29.

  • The Yankees currently have hit the most home runs against right-handed pitching this year, leading the Red Sox by two.

  • Miguel Andujar leads the Yankees in batting average against right-handed pitching at .296. He also has a .375 wOBA against them.

  • Over his last 10 games, Giancarlo Stanton has slashed .385/.467/.821 with a five doubles and four home runs.

  • Aaron Hicks has one hit over his last 13 at-bats and is just eight for his last 34 overall.

  • Gleyber Torres has begun to heat up once again riding a five-game hit streak, with three consecutive multi-hit contests.

  • Brett Gardner has actually been active on the base paths lately swiping two bags over his last three games. He hasn’t been able to run more because he’s hitting below .200 over his last 10 outings.


Miami Marlins

  • Trevor Richards has allowed four runs over his last two games.

  • Richards has allowed a 42.5-percent hard-hit rate this season, along with a 25.7-percent line drive rate.

  • Starlin Castro is 15-for-39 (.385 AVG) over his career against Lance Lynn .

  • J.T. Realmuto has hit .314 with 13 home runs and 54 runs batted in and a .391 wOBA versus right-handed pitching on the year.

  • Rafael Ortega is hitting .310 in the leadoff spot and .250 in every other spot in the lineup this season.

  • The Marlins rank 27th or worse in OPS, wOBA and wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.

  • Brian Anderson is hitting just .214 with a .519 OPS during the month of August.

  • Nobody on the Marlins has hit more than two home runs during August except for Justin Bour ...who is no longer a Marlin.

 

Gameplay Props

1. Both teams record a strikeout in the 1st Inning 3.5 2

I mentioned up above that Lance Lynn has been striking people out at a really high clip since joining the Yankees and Trevor Richards actually has an 8.77 K/9 himself. Both teams are very prone to fall by the strikeout, so I’m going YES here. Plus we get the bigger point bonus if we go with yes.

2. Either team commits an error or records a double play in the 1st Inning 4.5 1.7

The likeliness of this happening isn’t high, so I’m going to go with NO here.

3. Either team has a batter reach a full count in the 1st Inning 3 2

The Yankees have a bunch of batters at the top of their order that work counts fairly often and Trevor Richards walks nearly four people per nine innings, so getting deep into counts is likely here. I’m going YES for this one.

4. MIA records the first 2 outs of the inning 10 pitches or fewer 2.8 2.3

I think the last question translates pretty much to this one as well. Because I think a full count happens in this one, I don’t think he gets the first two under 10 pitches. Going with NO.

5. NYY Batters combine to swing and miss 2 or more times in the 1st Inning 3.4 2.1

Trevor Richards has a 9.9-percent swinging strike rate and the Yankees have a 22.4-percent K-rate against right-handed pitching. I think this is actually going happen because Yanks propensity to swing and miss.

6. A NYY batter is walked in the 1st inning 4.7 1.7

I mentioned Richards has a high walk rate, but it’s hard to just predict someone walking. I’m going NO here.

7. NYY leadoff batter reaches base safely 4.7 1.7

Brett Gardner is hitting .189 over his last 10 games and Aaron Hicks is at .235, both are the two options for the Yankees at the top. I’m going NO here.