THE SLATE

(w/ Implied Team & Game Totals via KenPom)

  • 6:30 pm ET -- Missouri (70) at Florida (75) -- 145 total **DK ONLY**

  • 6:30 pm ET -- Connecticut (68) at Seton Hall (69) -- 137 total **DK ONLY**

  • 7 pm ET -- NC State (73) at Notre Dame (75) -- 148 total **DK ONLY**

  • 7 pm ET -- Providence (75) at St. John’s (77) -- 152 total

  • 7 pm ET -- Minnesota (73) at Penn State (76) -- 149 total

  • 8:30 pm ET -- Creighton (73) at Villanova (75) -- 148 total

  • 9 pm ET -- Maryland (68) at Northwestern (65) -- 133 total

  • 9 pm ET -- UCLA (68) at Oregon (70) -- 138 total

  • 10:30 pm ET -- Stanford (64) at USC (73) -- 137 total

 

Top Guards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
David DukePROVSTJN900035.03780031.87
One of the top guards in the country is in action tonight and David Duke should be popular in all formats. He stuffs the stat sheet on a nightly basis and has put up 40+ DK in two of the last three games with that all-around production. Duke leads Providence in usage rate, shot volume and assist rate during conference play and is shooting 40% from three vs. Big east opponents. He’s always a candidate to break the slate and could easily do it in an uptempo matchup vs. St. John’s - he put up 32 DK in the first meeting.
Julian ChampagnieSTJNPROV870036.67810033.65
While Duke headlines Providence, it’s Champagnie who continues to be the top DFS target for St. John’s in this Big East matchup. The sophomore wing is among the best in the conference in shot volume, usage, defensive rebounding and three-point shooting - all qualities that give him a very high floor and ceiling. He’s averaging 19 PPG and 34 DK over the last ten games and we should expect another big performance tonight. Champagnie had 24 points, 10 boards and 45 DK in the first meeting vs. Providence. That type of stat line would make him well worth paying up for as is usually the case for the Johnnies’ best player.
James BouknightCONNSHU840033  
The DK slate gets started a half-hour earlier with the UConn-Seton Hall matchup as one of two early headliners. For the Huskies, it all begins and ends with Bouknight as the offensive catalyst and DFS stud. In three starts since returning from injury, the sophomore has put up 20 points scored and 30+ DK every time out as he’s back to being one of the best fantasy guards in the country. We should expect Bouknight to be busy again tonight with UConn battling for Tournament seeding and him being back to full strength. The pricing is high, but he’s been worth it.
Collin GillespieVUCRE730028.09650025.93
The marquee game of tonight’s slate is this Villanova-Creighton matchup and all the studs from both sides are firmly in play. Expect Gillespie to be fully engaged as Nova will be motivated to avenge the earlier season loss to the Bluejays and get back on track after Sunday’s setback as well. Although the senior “only” had 22.5 DK in a down effort vs. Creighton in the first matchup, a bounceback performance is surely coming for Gillespie and the Wildcats here. He has the potential to drop 30+ DK tonight as the offense will likely headline him in the backcourt and Robinson-Earl down low.
Johnny JuzangUCLAORE660025.42640023.33
As UCLA gears up for the postseason, it’s clear the offense is revolving around Juzang’s scoring more and more. The sophomore wing now leads the Bruins in shot volume and three-point shooting during conference play and he’s a close second in usage rate to Cody Riley. This increase in offensive role has resulted in some big-time DFS performances for Juzang. He’s scored 18 and 25 points over the last two games with 39 and 32 DK, respectively, in those outings. Plus, he went off for 37, 38 and 49 DK over a three-game stretch earlier in February. Furthermore, Juzang’s home/road splits are drastic right now as he’s averaging 19 PPG and 32 DK on the road compared to just 10 PPG and 19 DK at home. In tonight’s away matchup, expect Juzang to be busy offensively and he could easily break the slate.
        
Value Guards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Tyree ApplebyUFMIZZ540022.49  
On the DK slate, we have a few different Florida value options to consider. Appleby continues to play a key secondary offensive role for the Gators - complimenting Tre Mann and Colin Castleton when defenses key on them. Appleby is averaging 13 PPG and 26 DK over the last ten games and has a very safe DFS floor with his consistent production across multiple stat categories. DK has weirdly kept him at $5400 despite his 29 DK on Saturday - and he’s just too cheap to ignore right now. For cash, you can pencil in 20+ DFS points as a solid bargain.
Mitch BallockCREVU530021.25490019.21
Though Creighton’s offense is usually led by Marcus Zegarowski, Denzel Mahoney and Damien Jefferson, we get a very favorable pricing on Ballock here. The senior shooting guard has the GPP upside to 5x these salaries if he gets hot from three-point range - just as he did in the first meeting vs. Villanova when he scored 20 points and 37 DK with 6-for-8 from deep. He could easily replicate those numbers tonight as the Nova defense struggles on the perimeter. Ballock now has scored in double figures with 22+ DK in three of the last four and is still too cheap in the 5k range.
Darryl MorsellMDNW510019.45480018.02
While the bulk of Maryland’s offensive and DFS production centers around Eric Ayala, Donta Scott and Aaron Wiggins - it’s Morsell who’s the best per-dollar play right now for cash. The senior is the heartbeat for the Terps right now as their best on-ball defender and clutch bucket-getter. He’s scored in double figures with 22+ DK in two straight games is now averaging just under 20 DK over the past ten outings. His locked-in 30 minutes or so makes his cash value even better and he should be a great bargain on this slate in the 5k range.
A.J. ReevesPROVSTJN470019.46460017.58
Although Reeves usually takes a backseat to David Duke, Noah Horchler and Nate Watson in the Providence offense, his DFS salaries are still too cheap to ignore tonight. This is a player who’s been regularly priced above 5k this season and the sites now have him oddly in the value range. The junior will routinely play 30+ minutes in the Friars’ starting rotation and that guaranteed playing time alone gives him enough opportunity to post 20 or so DK points with a small scoring role and ancillary stats. He’s scored in double figures in four of the last five games and put up 24 or more DK in three of these recent outings. One of them came against St. John’s in the first meeting when he had 23.5 DK and 13 points scored. We’ll take that all day at sub 5k.
Braxton BeverlyNCSTND380014.36  
On the DK slate, Beverly is way too cheap to ignore as he’s benefiting from some key NC State injuries. With both Devon Daniels and Thomas Allen out, Beverly is seeing an increase in playing time and offensive role in the Wolfpack backcourt. The senior has scored in double figures in three of the last four games with at least 12 DK each time in this recent four-game stretch with Allen out specifically. Obviously that’s not slate-breaking, but we’ll take a potential 4x return on Beverly’s cheap price tag if it means we fit in another stud somewhere.

Other Guards to Consider

  • Marcus Carr - Minnesota ($9,500 DK / $8,000 FD)

  • Chris Duarte - Oregon ($8,600 DK / $7,300 FD)

  • Marcus Zegarowski - Creighton ($8,300 DK / $6,700 FD)

  • Jamari Wheeler - Penn State ($6,700 DK / $4,800 FD)

  • Denzel Mahoney - Creighton ($6,300 DK / $6,000 FD)

  • Jamal Mashburn Jr. - Minnesota ($5,700 DK / $4,100 FD)

  • Jules Bernard - UCLA ($5,600 DK / $4,700 FD)

  • Will Richardson - Oregon ($5,100 DK / $4,800 FD)

  • Ethan Anderson - USC ($4,600 DK / $4,300 FD)

 

Top Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
Jeremiah Robinson-EarlVUCRE850031.13720029.08
We mentioned above how Villanova should be ready to bounce back with a big performance tonight as it hopes to avenge the previous loss to Creighton. It’ll be Gillespie and Robinson-Early taking on much of the scoring role for the Wildcats and both are firmly in play here. JRH just went off for 42 DK on Saturday when he had 16 points and 16 rebounds - a good example of the DFS ceiling he can provide. We should expect him to do a lot better than his 26 DK in the first meeting vs. Creighton as Nova feeds him down low. He's a much better FD option with the salary differential.
Evan MobleyUSCSTAN820037.42820035.00
If you paid up for Mobley on recent DFS slates, you likely were disappointed by his performances. The Trojans’ freshman center had 20, 19 and then 29 DK in his last three games - which is a lot worse than what we’ve come to expect from the eventual NBA lottery pick. Case in point: Mobley had a 23-point double-double and 44 DK in the first meeting vs. Stanford and is always a threat to drop 50 DFS points in any game. We should expect a bounceback from him tonight as he dominated this matchup already and USC will likely feed him more after a recent two-game losing streak. His salaries on both sites are very attractive and will likely make him popular as he’s usually priced above 9k.
Eugene OmoruyiOREUCLA780030690027.55
Oregon’s DFS production continues to be very top-heavy with Chris Duarte, LJ Figueroa and Eugene Omoruyi dominating for the Ducks. It’s the latter of the three we’re targeting tonight, though. Omoruyi leads the team in usage rate and shot volume over conference play as the offense continues to run through him more often than not. He’s now scored 21 points in back-to-back games and is averaging 32 DK over the last ten outings. That consistency is what we love from our DFS studs and Omoruyi’s expensive price tags are certainly warranted. Expect him to be busy once again as Oregon will need his versatile offensive game in this matchup vs. UCLA.
Noah HorchlerPROVSTJN670015.67420014.65
Before we get into the specifics on Horchler - you should probably just lock him into FD lineups with the severe price discount compared to DK. Although the senior big man is very inconsistent offensively on a game-to-game basis, he usually does enough in multiple categories to post solid DFS stat lines. Horchler went off for 20 points and 37 DK last time out vs. Xavier and has now put up 30+ DK in three of the past five games. One of those came against St. John’s in the first meeting where he took full advantage of the uptempo matchup and favorable rebounding situation. Horchler has 19 points and 36 DK in that game - and it’s not out of the question to get a repeat tonight.
Value Forwards
PlayerTeamOpp.DK $DK FPPGFD $FD FPPG
John HarrarPSUMINN610023.18550021.80
Penn State’s roster continues to be a DFS headache as it’s tough to predict which players to target in lineups game-to-game. Tonight, though, it should be Harrar who posts good enough numbers to return value at bargain pricing. The PSU center is only a week removed from dropping 36 DK and a double-double vs. Nebraska and he has the upside to do the same here. Minnesota’s frontcourt is one of the worst in the Big Ten with Liam Robbins still hurt and a lack of size to compete on the boards. Harrar is worth the gamble in GPP’s if he can put up 30+ DFS points once again - which is a legit proven ceiling for him.
Eric CurryMINNPSU50009.5734009.02
One of the key injuries to monitor is that of Minnesota center Liam Robbins, who’s missed the last two games and will be a game-time decision tonight with his bad ankle. It seems likely that Robbins is out again, though. In his absence, Curry has started the last two games and put up 25 DK points with 30+ minutes in both. The DFS floor is a lot higher for Curry when Robbins is out and we can pencil him in for 20+ DK once again if that’s the case tonight. His FD salary is way too cheap and would be an easy cash lock on that site - but he’s still a strong value on DK.
Cody RileyUCLAORE510019.72470018.18
With Jalen Hill still out for UCLA, expect Riley to be a solid salary-saver as the team’s best big man and go-to scorer at times. Before a down effort on Saturday vs. Colorado’s tough defense, Riley scored in double figures with 20 or more DK in the previous three games. If he can stay out of foul trouble - which is a big ask - the ceiling is high for him to 4x or 5x these salaries when he’s active in the paint on both ends. Riley can easily provide 20+ DK once again and that would be a bargain for GPP’s tonight.
Anthony DurujiUFMIZZ440014.2  
On the DK slate, Florida has a few different values worth targeting - and Duruji is one who can easily 4x or 5x his cheap salary. The junior has returned to the starting lineup for the past four games and his DFS value is much safer with the more-guaranteed playing time. Duruji has 25 and 18 DK in two of the last three games and is doing just enough with ancillary stats to return value. The Gators will surely need his defensive versatility in this matchup vs. Missouri and that should keep his minutes safe enough at sub 5k.
Ziaire WilliamsSTANUSC460022.65540020.07
A key injury situation to monitor is the status of Stanford’s Oscar da Silva, who’s missed the last two games with a foot injury and could be out again tonight. In his absence, Williams has stepped up with double-digit scoring in these last two games as he’s seen an uptick in playing time and offensive role. It’s been a weird season for Williams, who was at one point the Cardinal’s top scoring option before extended time out in January and February. The talented freshman has struggled to get re-acclimated since returning - but da Silva’s absences have opened the door for Williams. He’s an interesting GPP flier on this slate as he’s priced way cheaper than his pure talent indicates.

Other Forwards to Consider

  • Sandro Mamukelashvili - Seton Hall ($8,800 DK Only)

  • Donta Scott - Maryland ($7,000 DK / $6,300 FD)

  • Colin Castleton - Florida ($6,500 DK Only)

  • Isaiah Mobley - USC ($5,600 DK / $5,800 FD)

  • Kobe Brown - Missouri ($5,300 DK Only)

  • Brandon Johnson - Minnesota ($5,200 DK / $4,900 FD)

  • Spencer Jones - Stanford ($4,900 DK / $4,700 FD)

  • Ryan Kalkbrenner - Creighton ($4,500 DK / $4,400 FD)

Example Lineups

The Example Lineups are meant to show lineup construction based on players mentioned in the Playbook. They are not meant to be plugged and played.

 

DK Cash FD Cash
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GJames BouknightCONNSHU33$8,400 GDavid DukePROVSJU31.86$7,800
Pivot     $8,400PivotChris DuarteOREUCLA29.97$7,300
GDarryl MorsellMDNW19.45$5,100 GJulian ChampagnieSJUPROV33.64$8,100
Pivot     $5,100Pivot     
GJulian ChampagnieSTJNPROV36.67$8,700 GCollin GillespieNOVACRE25.92$6,500
PivotDavid DukePROVSTJN35.03$9,000$9,000PivotJohnny JuzangUCLAORE23.33$6,400
FEvan MobleyUSCSTAN37.42$8,200 GDarryl MorsellMDNW18.02$4,800
Pivot     $8,200Pivot     
FEric CurryMINNPSU9.6$5,000 FEvan MobleyUSCSTAN34.99$8,200
Pivot     $5,000Pivot     
FAnthony DurujiUFMIZZ14.2$4,400 FEugene OmoruyiOREUCLA27.54$6,900
Pivot     $4,400PivotJeremiah Robinson-EarlNOVACRE29.07$7,200
UtilTyree ApplebyUFMIZZ22.49$5,400 FNoah HorchlerPROVSJU14.65$4,200
PivotKobe BrownMIZZUF17.98$5,300$5,300Pivot     
UtilA.J. ReevesPROVSTJN19.46$4,700 UtilEric CurryMINNPSU9.02$3,400
PivotEthan AndersonUSCSTAN14.38$4,600$4,600Pivot     
    Total$49,900     Total$49,900
   Pivot Total$50,000    Pivot Total$49,600
             
DK GPP FD GPP
Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary Pos.PlayerTeamOppFPPGSalary
GJohnny JuzangUCLAORE25.42$6,600 GMarcus ZegarowskiCRENOVA26.89$6,700
Pivot     $6,600PivotDenzel MahoneyCRENOVA23.39$6,000
GMarcus ZegarowskiCREVU29.61$8,300 GMarcus CarrMINNPSU32.87$8,000
PivotMarcus CarrMINNPSU35.23$9,500$9,500Pivot     
GBraxton BeverlyNCSTND14.36$3,800 GMitch BallockCRENOVA19.2$4,900
Pivot     $3,800PivotJamari WheelerPSUMINN18.7$4,800
FJeremiah Robinson-EarlVUCRE31.13$8,500 GChris DuarteOREUCLA29.97$7,300
PivotEugene OmoruyiOREUCLA30$7,800$7,800Pivot     
FJohn HarrarPSUMINN23.18$6,100 FJohn HarrarPSUMINN21.79$5,500
Pivot     $6,100Pivot     
FZiaire WilliamsSTANUSC22.65$4,600 FCody RileyUCLAORE18.17$4,700
Pivot     $4,600PivotIsaiah MobleyUSCSTAN22.12$5,800
UtilNoah HorchlerPROVSTJN15.67$6,700 FJeremiah Robinson-EarlNOVACRE29.07$7,200
Pivot     $6,700Pivot     
UtilCody RileyUCLAORE19.72$5,100 UtilZiaire WilliamsSTANUSC20.06$5,400
PivotA.J. ReevesPROVSTJN19.46$4,700$4,700Pivot     
    Total$49,700     Total$49,700
   Pivot Total$49,800    Pivot Total$50,000