Oklahoma (-10.5) @ Baylor - 68

LSU (-21) @ Ole Miss - 66

Appalachian State (-17) @ Georgia State - 61

Arizona State (-2.5) @ Oregon State - 57

UCLA @ Utah (-21.5) - 52

South Carolina @ Texas A&M (-11) - 49.5

Cincinnati (-14) @ USF - 47
 

QUARTERBACKS

Jalen Hurts - Oklahoma - FD $12,000 DK $9,100

Jalen Hurts has now been over 40 DraftKings points for four weeks in a row. He did it last week with five combined touchdowns and 330 yards against Iowa State. They squeezed out a 42-41 win and will now travel to Baylor as a 10.5 point favorite in a game with a 68 over/under. That puts Oklahoma at an implied total around 40 again. Hurts hasn’t done us wrong yet and his price isn’t high enough to fade him. In cash games, you play Jalen Hurts. His safety is invaluable and this slate allows you to do it. In tournaments, you can consider fading him if you’re running multiple lineups. I will have 50% exposure in tournaments. At his price, it’s almost impossible for him to break the slate. This is college football and there are going to be huge performances elsewhere. In a tournament, you can stack running back and wide receiver and have a contrarian, yet still very solid lineup. Baylor is a tough defense and they’ve been even tougher at home. Like I said, Hurts is a lock in cash games and I expect another 40 fantasy points. 

Charlie Brewer - Baylor - FD $9,900 DK $8,000

I expect Charlie Brewer to have a lot of success through the air in this game. The Oklahoma pass defense doesn’t rank so bad when you look at yards allowed per game, but they’ve faced a terrible set of QB’s and the injuries seem to be getting to them. Brock Purdy and Iowa State put up 41 points last week with five touchdowns through the air. Brewer has been over 300 yards in two of his last three home games and four of his last six. Baylor is a 10.5-point underdog in this game as well, so they’ll have to throw the ball more than they have all season long. This is a team who has led most games, and in turn, been able to control the clock. That likely won’t be the case in this one, and it should lead to Brewer throwing more passes than he has all year. If you can fit both Hurts and Brewer, go for it. In tournaments, I have a lot of exposure to Charlie Brewer. 

Jayden Daniels - Arizona State - FD $9,000 DK $6,100

Daniel is too expensive on FanDuel. I would much rather find a way to pay up for one of the top guns. I want to be clear in the fact that I don’t expect another huge performance out of Daniels here. I actually wish there was better value at QB, as I’m not in love with any of our options here. Daniels is safe, though, and he’s simply too cheap on DraftKings. He’s been over 20 fantasy points in every plus match-up and he’s a drastically better QB now than he was in game one. He isn’t talked about much, but the freshman is one of the more impressive players in college football this season. The match-up with Oregon State is an average one, and both teams are expected to put up close to 30 points. I like the Arizona State running game most, but Daniels will still throw for 200 yards and a couple touchdowns. He will run the ball 10-15 times and his upside is there. If he can run in two scores, you’re looking at another 25+ fantasy points. He has a solid option in Brandon Aiyuk to pair him with and you can play Daniel in all formats over on DK. On FanDuel, it’s a full fade for me. 

Consider - Joe Burrow, John Rhys Plumlee, Tyler Huntley


RUNNING BACKS

Darrynton Evans - Appalachian State - FD $8,600 DK $7,000

I’m very curious to see the ownership of Darrynton Evans when 12:01 rolls around. He’s my favorite running back play of the day and I’ll personally have 100%. Appalachian State is a 17-point favorite over Georgia State with an implied total over 35 points. Georgia State is also one of the worst teams in the entire country against the run. Through nine games, Georgia State has allowed 208 yards per game and 23 touchdowns. My lord. Evans is guaranteed the volume and I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s fed 25 carries in this game. Appalchian wants to win this game handedly and their best bet is to do so with Evans on the ground. If Evans is anything under 25% owned, I’d say we’re off to a good start fellas!

Zack Moss - Utah - FD $9,800 DK $7,400

I suspect Moss will be the popular pay-up option at running back, and he’s certainly not a bad one. Utah is a 21-point favorite at home over a UCLA defense that can’t stop anything. Moss has eight touchdowns in his last four games and it’s hard to see him having anything under 25 fantasy points in this match-up. With that being said, if you’re choosing between Moss and Evans, I heavily lean Evans. UCLA is a lot worse against the pass and they actually rank 44th out of 150 against the run with 137 yards allowed per game. Utah is going to likely blow that number out of the water, but I still lean Evans in both formats with the price and ownership differences. 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire - LSU - FD $9,200 DK $6,300

Edwards-Helaire has been an animal these past few weeks. He’s too cheap on DraftKings, but in play on both sites. LSU is going to continue feeding the workhorse and he’s also been involved heavily in the passing game. The Alabama defense isn’t what it was in past years, but Edwards-Helaire made them look like a college team. That doesn’t happen. He now faces off with an Ole Miss defense that’s given up 100+ yard games to far inferior backs. LSU is heavily favored and I doubt they overextend Burrow with their spot locked up in the playoffs if they win out. 

Isaiah Spiller - Texas A&M - FD $8,200 DK $5,400

Spiller broke out last week, totaling 217 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. We won’t likely ever see another game like that out of him, but he’s a talented back and the backfield belongs to him. South Carolina is one of the weaker SEC defenses against the run and the A&M offensive line is going to move them a bit. Texas A&M is a healthy 11-point favorite, so I’d expect another 15 carries out of Spiller at a minimum. His price is still too low and we need value somewhere on this slate. 

Rico Dowdle - South Carolina - FD $7,000 DK $5,100

Dowdle wasn’t very effective on the ground last week, but that’s not where most of his value comes. If he scores on the ground, it’s likely a short touchdown. His upside is through the air, where he caught five balls last week for 67 yards. Dowdle is a great pass-catcher and I could see him getting another seven-plus targets if South Carolina is playing from behind. This Texas A&M defense is good and I’d expect plenty of forced checkdowns. I prefer Spiller, but Dowdle does have a ton of upside and he won’t be popular. 

Consider - Eno Benjamin, Michael Warren III, Kennedy Brooks


WIDE RECEIVERS

Denzel Mims - Baylor - FD $8,600 DK $6,600

I don’t think you have to pay up for any of the super expensive receivers on this slate. We’ll get to Isaiah Hodgins in a minute, who’s certainly in play, but this slate isn’t set up to pay up at receiver. Mims is my favorite guy who’s somewhat expensive, sitting right below that upper tier on both sites. I’m expecting Brewer to throw the ball a ton in this game and he’s relied on Mims all year long when it matters. He’s caught five-plus balls in seven of nine games this season and he asserted himself last week with six catches for 57 yards and two touchdowns. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mims catch 10 balls in this game and score a touchdown. Oklahoma is going to force Baylor to pass the ball and you can also target Josh Fleeks. He’s cheaper and caught six balls last week. 

Brandon Aiyuk - Arizona State - FD $8,200 DK $5,700

Aiyuk is a completely different animal when Jayden Daniels is playing. He’s quietly been one of the best wide receivers in all of college football, and a lot of it has to do with the unsteadiness at QB. When Daniels is locked in there, you can rely on 100+ and a touchdown weekly out of Aiyuk. Oregon State is a middle of the road team against the pass and I’m expecting 200-250 passing yards out of Daniels. Aiyuk will see seven to ten targets and his price isn’t nearly high enough. He helps you fit others and obviously has insane 30+ point upside at the same time.

Isaiah Hodgins - Oregon State - FD $9,600 DK $7,700

If you’re going with a different roster construction and can pay up at receiver, Isaiah Hodgins is more than in play. On the right slate, I would have a ton of him. I expect Oregon State to be playing from behind and Luton has been a lot better at home. Hodgins has been predictable this season, dominating terrible defenses and “struggling” against good ones. His struggle is still 15 fantasy points, which won’t kill you. I expect Hodgins to be around 25-30 this week, with Luton targeting him 10+ times. Arizona State is weak against the pass and they don’t have a feature cornerback to line up against Hodgins. It’s going to be a free for all and Hodgins will want to get back to those huge games he’s gotten used to. You likely can’t fit him with Hurts and expensive RB’s, but in a tournament, there’s always value in going contrarian and Hodgins is certainly one of those guys that can break the slate. 

Shi Smith - South Carolina - FD $6,800 DK $5,100

Smith caught 11 balls for 150 yards and a touchdown against Tennessee before missing two weeks with a hamstring injury. His price is way too low and if he sees anything like that target share, it’ll be a fun day. It’s certainly possible, with South Carolina being an 11-point underdog and likley being forced to throw. This is a must-win game for South Carolina and I expect Smith to be a full go. Ryan Hilinski has target Edwards just as much as Smith when both are in the game, which should really tell you something. This is another great way to value.

Consider - CeeDee Lamb, Bryan Thompson, Corey Sutto

 

Example Lineups

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DraftKings GPP