Make sure and get Fantasy Alarm's award winning 2013 Fantasy Baseball iPhone App!
You know, for a day with a short slate of games, Thursday turned out to be quite eventful for baseball fans and fantasy owners alike. There was crazy extra-inning drama, unsung heroes, devastating injuries, and breaking news filled with both hope and despair. We’ve got our usual highlights for you here, but once again, with fewer games on the docket, we can break from out usual format and discuss more than just the top (and bottom) performers from the evening. So let’s not waste any more time and get right to it.
It’s time to cut to the chase. Theory is good if not necessary. I take as much pride in helping to teach proper analysis as I do correctly evaluating a player. But let’s be honest. You want my opinion on some struggling players so that’s what we’ll do. Well, I’ll drop in just a little more theory to work in concert with our BABIP discussion from last week.
As we gear up for the second half, it wouldn’t be right if we didn’t get a chance to vent our frustrations and call out those players that fell way short of expectations and basically screwed us in the first half. We’re always so quick to praise those players who returned a significant value and helped us along (2012 First Half Best Value All Stars), but let’s also bring a little accountability to the forefront here and acknowledge those that cost us a bundle on draft day only to turn around and put up a stinker of a first half. I present to you the 2012 First Half Worst Value All Bust Team.
Tim Lincecum is the worst pitcher ever. Alex Gordon has been a massive disappointment. Mike Napoli is flipping killing my fantasy team. I hear comments like that on a daily basis from people. Maybe all of the above is true, but there might also be something else going on here. What is that something else? The most obvious situation that has to be addressed is expectations. Were your expectations for a player reasonable given his skill level, age, club situation etc. Second, it's sample size. A quick example. Adam Jones has been a superstar this year, a top-25 performer overall, hitting .289 with 20 homers, 44 RBI, 54 runs and 11 steals. However, were you aware that since the start of June that he's hit .252 with 10 RBIs an a .681 OPS? Yeah, he's been pretty bad of late. So that brings me to the heart of today's article --- sample size. What does it mean, when is it important, and how should you work with it?
Just a quickie recap of Saturday’s baseball games as I am needed elsewhere. Turns out, the Fantasy Sports Trade Association conference is this week so the Fantasy Alarm Radio Show will be done live from San Francisco and I’ll be heading into the studio to join Jeff Mans and Ted Schuster for what should be an exciting three hours beginning at 5pm (ET). I’m going to have to spend some time in hair and make-up in case one of them decides to bring a web cam in and stream this sucker. I’ve been told I’ve got a great face for radio, so I want to make sure I’m at my best.
When Jonathon Niese started to mow down the Cardinals lineup, I was crushed that I was going to have to hype another Mets pitcher and talk about how the defending World Champs were bested for three straight games and mustered not a single run. Well, considering he only went six innings, he’ll get an honorable mention because taking the place of Mets pitchers for today, will be Phil Hughes, Chris Sale and Trevor Cahill. Not one, not two, but three complete games on Sunday marking yet another Year of the Pitcher it seems. Each one put forth an incredible effort on Sunday, boosting fantasy teams with their pitching lines.
Happy Memorial Day to you all! With a full slate of games and an early start here for the holiday, you’ve got to get those lineups in quickly before you disappear to the land of no work and lots of BBQ’s. No reason to delay you with a real wordy intro as I’ve go tto get those steaks marinating as well, so let’s just get to the Sunday wrap…
Just a quickie today, folks! Maybe it’s been some sort of stomach flu. Maybe it was that order of Clams Casino the chef recommended as he listed the specials. Or maybe it was the fact that I opted to watch the Royals game. Wow, they look awful right now. Whatever the case may be, I’ve been sick as a dog for the last 12 hours and barely have anything left in me to bring you the highlights (and lowlights) from Wednesday’s games.
Talk to any hardcore numbers guy out there and ask about some of the hot and cold starts to the season and they’ll tell you the exact same thing – small sample size. We’ve got a long way to go before these numbers have any sort of a major effect. With only a small handful of games in the books, an 0-3 start is not the end of the world. There are still 159 games to go, so simmer down, Yankees and Red Sox fans. Austin Jackson is batting .571 while Matt Holliday is hitting just .167? Relax. We’re less than 20 at-bats into a season in which both will see atleast 500 more. It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement as we wrap up the first weekend of baseball, but if there’s one piece of sound fantasy advice you’re given every year, it is to be patient. The fantasy season, like real baseball is a marathon, not a sprint.
So here we were today with the fourth installment of Opening Day and while there was plenty of action to talk about with the afternoon games, the primary focus remained on Albert Pujols and his debut with the Angels. Thousands of flickering lights illuminated the stands at Angel Stadium on Friday night as everyone maneuvered in the stands to catch a shot of Prince Albert digging in for his first official American League at-bat. Unfortunately for those expecting a powerhouse debut, Pujols finished the night 0-for-3 with a walk and had a very unassuming evening. Angels fans will just have to wait another night for their 240 million dollar man to shine.