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By the looks of the way things wrapped up on Saturday, there’s going to be plenty of waiver wire action this week. We saw a few players like Bryce Harper, Brandon McCarthy and Huston Street hit the disabled list while others such as Jacoby Ellsbury and Stephen Strasburg remain banged up. For some, this shouldn’t be much of an issue, but for those who got a little over-eager in the beginning and were making it rain at Club Waivers, you’re going to need to be a little more savvy in your ways as the FAAB budget just ain’t what it used to be.
One of the keys to a successful fantasy season is not just identifying which players are about to catch fire and embark on an impressive hot streak, but your ability as an owner to ride that streak and cut bait when it’s all said and done. All too often, we fall in love with our players, particularly the ones who are massively exceeding our expectations, and we tend to put false hope in numbers that, deep down, we know won’t last. We may hope they last, but we need to be realistic and understand that the law of averages is in play here and what goes up, usually comes back down. Sure, there are always exceptions to the rule, but for every one legitimate breakout, you’re looking at dozens of guys playing over their heads who will eventually see their lofty numbers normalize over time, some shorter than others. Understanding that fact and the ability to simply cut these hot players once they go cold is almost as much an art form as identifying the breakouts before they happen.
In 1983 Rickey Henderson ran his way to 130 steals for the Athletics, a modern day baseball record (Hugh Nicol actually stole 138 bases in 1887 for the Cincinnati Red Stockings). Others of the modern era have hit triple-digits – Lou Brock, Vince Coleman Maury Wills – but those just aren't numbers we see anymore. Nowadays we're lucky to find guys who steal half as many bags. So why is it that you hear so many people in the fantasy game say 'I don't worry about steals early, I can find them late.' Is that an accurate statement? How should you look at steals for the coming season, and which players should you consider targeting?
Some players never get their due, but when you look up at the end of the year the production is there. You know, those guys who produce solid numbers year after year but for some reason, be it their team, a lack of publicity, or a deficiency in their game, never quite get the respect that they are owed. We'll profile one of those guys at the top of this report. We'll then discuss surging pitchers (Cobb, Guthrie), struggling hurlers (Garza, Saito), injured batters (Grandal, Ortiz), a slumping hitter (Suzuki) and one that is en fuego (Jay).
Usually, you see it all in the show business world. A great comedian, a great singer, some fantastic band performs – it’s a phenomenal performance and the crowd goes absolutely nuts. A standing ovation followed up with, what could seem like an hour of straight cheers and applause. Moments like that aren’t necessarily rare, but when they happen, they stand out like a lone, bright star in a pitch black night. You never want to be the guy who follows that. Some comedian before you kills it, the pressure on you to perform up to those standards is ridiculous. One subpar joke and you’re finished. It’s the same with musical performances. If you follow one of those amazing moments, if you’re not perfect, you’re done.
Just a quick rundown today, folks. Lots of great ball played on Monday and who doesn’t love a full slate of games on what is normally considered a day of rest for the sport? But while the games were great and there was a bit of action to be had all over the place, no one really stood out as head and shoulders above the rest. Sure, there were some great pitching performances and obviously there were a handful of hitters that did their fantasy owners right, but for me, no one worthy of that coveted Beast tag today. What can you do? It happens. Doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty to see though…
We’re barely a month in and already the 2012 MLB season is proving to be one of the most action-packed seasons we’ve seen. From the highs of a perfect game to the lows of a legendary closer having his swan song cut short by a freak knee injury, this season has been loaded with drama and excitement. Consequently, the fantasy baseball season has been a ridiculous, rollercoaster ride and it feels like we haven’t even scratched the surface. You know that there is still so much more to come. And how could you think otherwise? Between the rash of injuries to top-tier talent, the number of relievers moved in and out of closers’ jobs and the fact that the highlight reels are filled with names like Jose Altuve, Jason Kipnis and Bryan LaHair, you just can’t afford to miss a single day. And Tuesday was certainly no exception.
When you’re looking through the stats page of your fantasy league, there are plenty of familiar names sitting at the top due to hot starts to the season. Matt Kemp has been a beast, once again, and leads the majors with eight home runs while players like Curtis Granderson, Ian Kinsler, Josh Hamilton, and Hanley Ramirez, continue to prove their fantasy value and worthiness of their draft spots this spring. But this season, there sits another name atop the value rankings and given the last few season’s worth of playing time and results, he stands out like….well I hate to use the expression, “like a turd in a punchbowl,” but really, he’s that noticeable. I’m talking about Orioles outfielder Nolan Reimold, who has begun this season raking like a champ and already way out-earning his draft position.
"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes…it rains." Apologies for yesterday’s absence, folks. Heavy storms hit the other day and my internet access was wiped out. Obviously there’s no reason to backtrack as you can’t go back in time and adjust your fantasy lineups, so we’ll just move “forward” so to speak and hit you with the latest action and news from Thursday. However, since I’m not feeling my usual snarky and clever self, we’ll just get right to the big stuff.
It is the final day of another week in fantasy baseball and it is getting to the point that it is just a move or two that could be the difference between first place and third of fourth, so your roster moves now are more crucial than ever. And chances are two-thirds of your league isn't paying attention anymore so there aren't as many people competing for the waiver wire moves any more. Tonight we talk about some disappointing producers, what to expect from them next season, and how they might finish the season. There are also three or four more guys in here tonight that can help you make that move from third place to first place by ascending you to the top of any category. There isn't much time left in the season, so you really can't miss Rounding The Bases.