Whether they’re hot or cold, streaks play an all-important role both in the real baseball world and the fantasy one. You get a player who goes on a hot streak and he can carry your team for a pretty significant amount of time. If he’s on a cold one, you best be getting him out of your lineup fast or he’s liable to do some seriously damage to your team. Cold streaks are always feared, but when you’ve got someone on a hot streak, there’s nothing better. Not only do you reap the benefits in the standings, but the value of the player grows tremendously on the trade market. But like all good things, hot streaks always come to an end. It’s inevitable. And on Tuesday night, one of the better hot streaks we’ve seen recently finally came to a close.
The streak began on August 8, 2012 when this pitcher threw eight shutout innings to beat the Chicago White Sox. From there, he made 17 more starts without taking a single loss. That’s right…18 straight games without a losing decision. Over that span, he notched 10 wins and posted a 2.20 ERA with 74 strikeouts. Now the strikeouts, or lack thereof should I say, tell you that it’s not a Clayton Kershaw, David Price or Justin Verlander , but can you guess who it is?
How about Jeremy Guthrie?
It just goes to show you that even the most ordinary and overlooked players can catch fire at any time and put your team on his shoulders. Now obviously that streak was split between two seasons, so only a part of it helped you out this season, but even that was a huge boost to fantasy owners. Despite such a strong run during the latter half of 2012, Guthrie was ignored in most drafts this season and he was nothing more than a cheap waiver claim early on in April. So the fact that, even with Tuesday’s six-run beating, he has a 2.82 ERA and 1.29 WHIP with 30 strikeouts over 54.1 innings, means that fantasy owners who owned and started him saw a significant increase in value based on his cost. He pitched like a beast at virtually no cost to youy and that’s what wins fantasy leagues.
Now does he pick right back up where he left off or is this last start going to ruin him? Well, based on his peripherals, I’d say the time to sell-high is now. Actually it was a week and a half ago, but now is good too. His next start comes against a struggling Houston team, so he should pitch another solid game amidst your negotiations. But don’t linger for too long. The last thing you want to do is hold onto him for too long and suffer the potential cold streak that could develop. With an FIP of 5.54 and a SIERA of 4.78, the outlook for the future doesn’t look too good.
But before we write him off, let’s just take a moment to acknowledge and say thank you. We appreciate you, Jeremy, if only for a short while.
Now let’s hit the highlights…
Fantasy Beast of the Day
|Carlos Gonzalez, OF COL||5-5, 3 R, 2B, 2 HR, 3 RBI|
For as long as Carlos Gonzalez remains a member of the Rockies, he is going to remain a top flight player. The dude just rakes at home. Rakes. But what I find impressive is that this season, he’s hitting better on the road. Much better, in fact. He’s batting .284 with three home runs and 11 RBI at Coors Field, but on the road, he’s hitting .338 with six home runs and 11 RBI and he’s done it in three fewer games. It’s very likely that those trends reverse as the season progresses, but still, you’ve got to love the change here. Makes him look a bit more legitimate, particularly on the trade market.
|Carlos Beltran, OF STL||3-5, 2 R, HR, 4 RBI|
|Howie Kendrick, 2B LAA||3-4, 2 R, HR, RBI, SB|
|Mitch Moreland, 1B TEX||2-5, 2 R, 2 HR, 3 RBI|
|Clayton Kershaw, SP LAD||W, 0.00 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, 11 K|
|Homer Bailey, SP CIN||W, CG, 2.00 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 10 K|
Seeing Carlos Beltran, Clayton Kershaw and even Howie Kendrick here doesn’t really cause much surprise, does it? Each one is having more than just a solid season and thus far, earning their draft value. Heck, I’m sure Kendrick is even surpassing his. But Mitch Moreland had himself a day that we can probably put the ol’ sun shining on a dog label here, and as for Homer Bailey, there’s less for me to get excited about due to a lack of real consistency. Over his last seven starts, he’s actually been lit up pretty hard in three of the outings, so you’re at a point where streaming is likely your best option. Now who to stream against…..? That’s a whole other story.
|Brandon Crawford, SS SF||0-4, 4 K|
|Jonny Gomes, OF BOS||0-4, 3 K|
|Dan Uggla, 2B ATL||0-4, 3K|
|Carlos Villanueva, SP CHC||L, 12.60 ERA, 2.40 WHIP, 1 K|
|Jim Johnson, RP BAL||L, BS, 18.00 ERA, 4.00 WHIP|
Not much surprise here either although this is a rare appearance for Jim Johnson. He’s an extremely reliable closer and this is actually his first blown save of the year. What can you do…? Also take notice of Brandon Crawford who started off like a hitting machine, only to come back down to earth finally.
B.J. Upton, OF ATL – shoulder (day to day)
Wei-Yin Chen, SP BAL – oblique (15-day DL)
Chris Perez, RP CLE – shoulder (day to day)
Jose Altuve, 2B HOU – bereavement list (day to day)
Bud Norris, SP HOU – back (day to day)
Josh Beckett, SP LAD – groin (day to day)
Travis Hafner, DL NYY – shoulder (day to day)
Brandon Morrow, SP TOR – back (missing Wednesday start)
Bryce Harper, OF WAS – knee, shoulder (day to day)
Howard Bender has been covering fantasy sports for over a decade on a variety of web sites. You can find his personal musings on RotobuzzGuy.com and for questions, thoughts or comments, you can follow him on Twitter at @rotobuzzguy or email him at firstname.lastname@example.org.
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