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A couple weeks ago it was noted how sharp the pricing was on both FanDuel and DraftKings. Sharp pricing refers to how closely the DFS pricing coincides with how the market ranks the players. The reason this is important is so much of DFS is finding players you feel are below value and quite frankly, you aren’t usually the only one. Sharper pricing results in fewer obvious choices.
This is an interesting week as wide receiver pricing is extremely sharp while there are bargains to be had at the other spots. There are a couple of manners to approach this scenario.
- You can first study the receivers and identify the few you feel are the best plays and build your lineup around those since there are great plays across all price points at the other position.
- You can pick out the vest best plays at QB, RB and TE then fill in with WR since there isn’t a ton of difference with respect to bang-for-the-buck at the position.
Either way, you’re first looking at the big picture to best take advantage of the pricing quirks. But before that, be sure to further hone down the ensuing lists using the myriad of tools at the Fantasy Alarm DFS Playbook.
KEY:
| ARP | Average Ranking by Position |
| StDev | Standard Deviation from ARP |
| Rank | Rank from ARP |
| DFS Rank | Rank from DFS Salary |
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR FANDUEL CASH GAMES
| Quarterback | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Cam Newton | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1 | 2 | 9200 | Nothing left to say. |
| Ben Roethlisberger | 3.8 | 2.7 | 3 | 6 | 8300 | Shootout likely with Andy Dalton |
| Andy Dalton | 7.6 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 7 | 8200 | Shootout likely with Big Ben |
| Blake Bortles | 7.6 | 2.4 | 6.5 | 11 | 7700 | So many weapons |
| Tyrod Taylor | 8.6 | 2.4 | 9 | 14.5 | 7500 | Opposing teams get volume vs. Philly D |
| Alex Smith | 15.4 | 3.0 | 14 | 23 | 6800 | Finally figured out legal to throw to wide receivers |
| Running Back | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Doug Martin | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 2 | 8000 | Only if you're really confident at other spots |
| LeSean McCoy | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 3.5 | 7900 | Prefer Shady over Doug Martin at top |
| Thomas Rawls | 4.8 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 6 | 7400 | Active in passing game |
| DeAngelo Williams | 5.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 7 | 7300 | Points a-plenty will be scored |
| Lamar Miller | 9.6 | 4.0 | 9 | 13 | 6600 | Not so fast Jay Ajayi |
| T.J. Yeldon | 11.8 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 16 | 6400 | Three-down back, just needs goal line work |
| C.J. Spiller | 33.4 | 9.9 | 29.5 | 54.5 | 4800 | Better GPP play but cash punt if needed |
| Wide Receiver | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Antonio Brown | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 9300 | Good thing we don't dock points for goofy end zone celebrations |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2 | 1.5 | 9300 | Less competition for touches than Antonio Brown |
| Allen Robinson | 5.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5.5 | 8500 | The secret is out. He's really good. |
| Brandon Marshall | 5.2 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 7 | 8200 | One of best floors in the league |
| Alshon Jeffery | 9.4 | 3.6 | 9 | 11 | 7500 | Target monster and now no Martellus Bennett |
| Jarvis Landry | 15.0 | 2.5 | 14 | 16.5 | 7100 | Prefer Danny Amendola in this price range but solid |
| Danny Amendola | 16.4 | 4.6 | 15 | 19 | 7000 | Likely to play but if he doesn't, consider Jarvis Landry |
| Jeremy Maclin | 17.0 | 0.7 | 16 | 21.5 | 6900 | Getting more looks lately |
| Tight End | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Greg Olsen | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 6600 | Perhaps only tight end you know will produce |
| Delanie Walker | 2.8 | 0.4 | 2 | 4 | 6100 | Getting tons of targets lately |
| Travis Kelce | 3.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 5 | 6000 | Kelce's underusage and some not having toll road transponders both big mysteries |
| Jordan Reed | 4.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 6.5 | 5900 | Expect more action this week |
| Antonio Gates | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6 | 9 | 5700 | Philip Rivers' favorite target |
| Austin Seferian-Jenkins | 11.4 | 5.1 | 11 | 11.5 | 5500 | Great matchup, better GPP play |
| Benjamin Watson | 9.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 13 | 5300 | Low upside but solid floor |
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR DRAFTKINGS CASH GAMES
| Quarterback | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Cam Newton | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1 | 2 | 7500 | Nothing left to say. |
| Ben Roethlisberger | 3.8 | 2.7 | 3 | 4.5 | 6800 | Shootout likely with Andy Dalton |
| Russell Wilson | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2 | 8 | 6300 | Price surpsingly low |
| Blake Bortles | 7.6 | 2.4 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 6000 | So many weapons |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 8.4 | 3.2 | 8 | 17.5 | 5400 | My cash QB on DK again |
| Tyrod Taylor | 8.6 | 2.4 | 9 | 17.5 | 5400 | Opposing teams get volume vs. Philly D |
| Alex Smith | 15.4 | 3.0 | 14 | 26 | 5100 | Finally figured out legal to throw to wide receivers |
| Running Back | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Doug Martin | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2 | 4 | 6200 | Only if you're real confident at other spots |
| LeSean McCoy | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1 | 5 | 6100 | Prefer Shady over Doug Martin at top |
| DeAngelo Williams | 5.6 | 1.9 | 5 | 6 | 6000 | Points a-plenty will be scored |
| Thomas Rawls | 4.8 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 5800 | Active in passing game |
| T.J. Yeldon | 11.8 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 15 | 4900 | Three-down back, just needs goal-line work |
| Shaun Draughn | 11.8 | 4.7 | 11.5 | 17 | 4800 | In sync with Blaine Gabbert |
| C.J. Spiller | 33.4 | 9.9 | 29.5 | 51.5 | 3000 | Better GPP play but cash punt if needed |
| Wide Receiver | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Antonio Brown | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8900 | Good thing we don't dock points for goofy end zone celebrations |
| Allen Robinson | 5.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 5 | 8000 | The secret is out. He's really good. |
| A.J. Green | 5.2 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 6 | 7900 | Ball in air all day |
| Brandon Marshall | 5.2 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 7 | 7600 | One of best floors in the league |
| Alshon Jeffery | 9.4 | 3.6 | 9 | 10 | 6900 | Target monster and now no Martellus Bennett |
| Jeremy Maclin | 17.0 | 0.7 | 16 | 23 | 5500 | Getting more looks lately |
| Danny Amendola | 16.4 | 4.6 | 15 | 25 | 5200 | Likely to play but if he doesn't, consider Jarvis Landry |
| Doug Baldwin | 20.6 | 2.3 | 20 | 33 | 4500 | Ridiculous price hasn't increased |
| Tight End | ARP | StDev | Rank | DFS Rank | Salary | Comment |
| Greg Olsen | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 6900 | Perhaps only tight end you know will produce |
| Delanie Walker | 2.8 | 0.4 | 2 | 2.5 | 5600 | Getting tons of targets lately |
| Jordan Reed | 4.2 | 1.9 | 4 | 4 | 5100 | Expect more action this week |
| Travis Kelce | 3.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 7 | 4700 | Kelce's underusage and some not having toll road transponders both big mysteries |
| Benjamin Watson | 9.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 10 | 4400 | Low upside but solid floor |
| Austin Seferian-Jenkins | 11.4 | 5.1 | 11 | 23.5 | 2700 | Great matchup, better GPP play |