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Daily Fantasy Basketball Plays for 3-29-14
(Note: Today's artical is actually written by a new member of the FantasyAlarm.com Fantasy Basketball group of writers, Michael Norrad. We are excited to have him as a part of our team and you will see just why when you read his DFS recommendations for this evening. Give him a follow on twitter @mnorrad).
Tonight we have six games to consider so let’s find some values so we can load up on a few high end gunners. Injuries can make any DFS night a nightmare as we saw last night with Anthony Davis. If in doubt we will stay away from guys playing with injuries or coming off recent injury stints to increase our odds for success.
I will list players that should outperform their salaries in the three tier system like you have been accustomed to via Mark Kaplan @datrueguru using DraftKing's pricing. The cheap plays are players who should exceed their value while not costing a lot, the mid-tier group are players that should produce big numbers while not breaking the bank, and the expensive players are high priced players who are worth every penny.
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(Note: Fantasy Points (FP) and prices are based on DraftKings scoring system).
Omer Asik ($4,000) - Dwight Howard has been ruled out against the Clippers tonight and Asik is destined to be the value play of the night. In his last meeting versus the Clippers, Asik played 17 minutes and scored 16.50 fantasy points. If he gets over 20 minutes he will easily cover his price tag.
Kyle Singler ($4,000) - Literally not the sexiest of value plays but when the minutes are there and the opponent is named the Philadelphia 76ers chances are a good fantasy night is in store. I have been burned by Singlet in the past and went back to the well and he rewarded me. I will hope for the latter and bank on 25 fantasy points.
Darren Collison ($4,500) - He flashed on my radar because of the matchup against Houston who ranks near the bottom defending the shooting guard. Collison should meet value in what should be a high scoring game, (Vegas over/under is 216), so Collision should be able to at least match his last outing against Houston when he produced 27.75 fantasy points.
Mid Tier Plays
Josh Smith ($7,400) - Coming off a 4-14 shooting night against Miami will scare some people off but the NBA is about matchups and Philadelphia doesn’t play defense (allowing the most points to opponents on the season at 110.2 ppg). Smith could easily top 40 fantasy points tonight which is exactly the average Philly has given up the past 15 days to small forwards.
Henry Sims ($4,600) - A must start at this price with a double-double expectation. Detroit hasn’t shut down opposing centers and I don’t expect it to start tonight. Sims has topped 27 FP in his last four games so use him with confidence.
Bradley Beal ($6500) - Beal is a GPP play because of his tendency to be inconsistent. His recent game log will have you puzzled with putrid shooting performances, but I see him pulling some magic out of his hat tonight. The pace against Atlanta doesn’t excite me but being guarded by an undersized Shelvin Mack should get Beal some easy looks. At his price, combined with his matchup and skill set he makes a nice fit and hey, maybe Nelly will be at the game and Beal can make it “hot in herre”.
Blake Griffin ($10,100) - A projected high scoring game against Houston makes for a high upside night for this dunking god. Houston doesn’t defend the power forward position very well ranking 27 this year. I must admit Griffin is my man crush and I will be all over him tonight. He hasn’t hit 40 fantasy points in his last 2 games but tonight should get him back to elite status.
Chris Paul ($9,900) got back on track against Dallas shooting 9-for-18 from the field and he should put that franchise low of 0-for-12 from the field even further in the rearview mirror tonight against another sub-par defender in Jeremy Lin (Patrick Beverley is out with a torn meniscus). As much as I heart Blake, Paul is my the top play of the night. As stated earlier this games looks to be the highest scoring of the night so some exposure is a must.
Injuries Equal Opportunities
Some other players on Norrad’s radar are Jeremy Lin due to the recent injury to Patrick Beverley. Milwaukee is another team that can’t stay healthy so they offer up some cheap value options in Jeff Adrien, Ramon Sessions, and Khris Middleton. If Wade and Chalmers are both out again tonight then Sessions value will increase and Lebron and Bosh will both be highly owned.
The Pelicans injury list may have gotten a little longer as Anthony Davis who is a gametime decision after injuring his ankle Friday night. If the Brow can’t go than Al-Farouq Aminu, Alexis Ajinca, and Greg Stiemsma all get a bump in value. Tyreke Evans is going to be in all my lineups with the continued usage he is getting. Last night he put up 20 shots and scored 58 DraftKings points.
Good luck and I hope all my picks lead you to being crowned champion in all your DraftKings games.