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Daily Fantasy Basketball Du-Rant
Top of the Monday morning to you all. Hope you had an awesome weekend. I wrapped up my spring training adventure and have returned home ready to help you make a big splash these last three weeks of the NBA regular season. There are only seven games on the docket, but at least four of them are lopsided matchups providing us with plenty of opportunity to exploit these mismatches when building our lineup(s) today. For those of you new to the Daily Durant the recommendations below are delivered to you in a four tiered format, with specific targets for GPP tournaments (Guaranteed Prize Payout tournaments) and players that may be more geared towards Double Up (DU) or cash game contests. Note, just because one player is marked for a GPP or DU it does not mean they are only worth playing in said format, it is just that I prefer them in that type of format a little more. (All prices and point projections are geared towards DraftStreet).
Before we tip it off here are some tournaments you should consider playing in:
$50,000 prize pool.
Top 300 paid.
1st place wins $10,000
$22 Entry Fee. 2,500 max entries.
First time depositors at DraftStreet receive a 100% bonus up to $200
$1 Million prize pool
Top 450 paid
1st place wins $100,000
$500 entry Fee
A-All Star priced players that should put up All Star stats today (target 35+ FP, $16,000-on up).
Jeff Teague (16%) is putting together arguably his best month of the season as he is averaging 17.7 points on 47% shooting from the field with 3.5 rebounds, and 7.1 assists. In addition, he has played better at home than on the road, especially of late where he has exceeded 32 FP in each of his last four home games and will face a Suns team that are allowing the sixth most points per game to opposing point guards on the season. [If Teague is a little too pricey for you then consider Nets Deron Williams (13.5%) against the Pelicans].
Blake Griffin (21.7%) or Chris Paul (20.7%) obviously if you can afford to roster either Kevin Durant or Anthony Davis you will want to do so as they are just killing opponents and it should continue tonight for them as they have favorable matchups. If you want to save some money and still roster two superstars that are not far behind in their consistent production, then consider CP3 or Blake. The Clippers have a tasty matchup against a Bucks team, that despite all of the games the Sixers have lost recently, still have the worst record in the NBA at 13-57. I would lean Blake over Paul if I had to chose as the Bucks are allowing the fifth most offensive rebounds to opponents on the season and the third most points in the paint over the last three games.
B-rated Ballers: Big name players with big games, but not as high of a price tag as the top five or so priced players at each position (around 30 FP, $13,000-$16,000).
Zach Randolph (14.2%) is a must start at this price and as he is fifth in the NBA in double-doubles, second among power forwards with 41 and is averaging 38.5 FP in two games versus the TWolves this season. Z-Bo’s usage rate has been back around or above 30% over the last three games and was at 29.2% the last time the two teams faced off (with Gasol in the lineup). So expect plenty of opportunities again tonight for the modern day round mound of rebound as the Grizzlies look for thier 10th straight home win and their 12th straight victory against the TWolves when Gasol has been in the lineup.
Eric Bledsoe (13.4%) finished with 23 points on Friday, which was the most he scored since returning from injury, and 21 on Sunday. He has played 35-plus minutes in each of his last two games, thus it appears we can expect him to be in that 30-plus minute range going forward. Bledsoe should have an opportunity for another great game Monday as he and the Suns face a Hawks team that allowed Gerald Green to go off for 33 points in Bledsoe’s absence on March 2nd. With Bledsoe back that should be him going off instead of Green this evening in Atlanta.
C-as in players that COULD be in line to provide you with good to great value in the mid-tier price range (target 25+ FP, $10,000-$13,000).
Trey Burke (10.3%) is averaging about three more fantasy points when at home then on the road. His confidence should be sky high after hitting the game winner for the Jazz on Sunday and he will have a little extra motivation as he goes against a Pistons team that passed on him in the NBA draft despite having played his college games at the University of Michigan. If that were not enough, the Pistons have been inside the top five on the season in allowing fantasy points to opposing point guards and have been even worse of late as they are allowing the second most over the last 15 days. Burke’s should see extra playing time again tonight with Alec Burks ruled out for Monday’s contest with an ankle injury. [Dwyane Wade has been ruled out for Monday's game, so that puts Mario Chalmers (10.3%) in play as well against Damian Lillard and a Trail Blazers team that are allowing the third most fantasy points to opposing point guards on the season].
Gerald Henderson (10.9%) is coming off one of his best performances of the season where he scored 23 points with eight boards, and five dimes for 41 FP. Henderson has attempted double-digit shots in each of his last three games and he should get plenty of looks tonight against one of the worst defensive shooting guards in the league in James Harden.
D-Discounted Dandies: Players on the cheap whose production may exceed what their discounted price tag suggests. (Double Digit Fantasy Production, $3,500-$10,000).
Dorell Wright (7.7%) should see around 25 or so minutes tonight against his former team the Miami Heat (revenge factor alert) whose one glaring weakness is their inability to defend the power forward position. Wright will get the start again tonight at power forward for the Blazers as LaMarcus Aldridge has already been ruled out. Wright has exceeded 20 FP in each of his last two games and is shooting slightly over 50% from the field in those two games which is important at sites like DraftStreet where they penalize players for missed shots. (If you really wanted to take a risk I would not blame you for rolling out Thomas Robinson in a GPP as he will owned by few as he has not broke the 20 minutes played plateau while Aldridge has been out, but I could see him doing so tonight and if that happens I’m calling a double-double).
Henry Sims (10%) had a career type game versus Joakim Noah and the Bulls as he scored 18 points and grabbed career-high 15 rebounds with two blocks Saturday. The double-double was Sims second in as many games. Sims success could continue tonight (back-to-back 30-plus FP games) as the Spurs are allowing the fifth most fantasy points to opposing centers over the last 15 days.
Best of Luck tonight and don’t be afraid to go rouge and post your questions in the comments section and/or send me a tweet @FantasyNomad. Also, be sure to check out this morning's Daily Dribble for more DFS insight.
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