An interesting thing occurred to me the other day. When it comes to rankings, many of us don’t understand how they should be interpreted. Let it be known that in no way am I even attempting to predict the final totals of fantasy points for these players. To do so is quite foolish and to try and sell you guys on the fact that I can see into the future and correctly determine what will happen exactly is narcissistic and a borderline robbery. I rank players in terms of how valuable they are now and will be later in fantasy football. As you have read throughout this Draft Guide, I take many things into account before measuring each player’s value.

I have prepared these rankings with the absolute knowledge that some could look foolish at the end of the season. Such is the risk you take when you put yourself out there. I also understand that every season players I may have had ranked in the 60’s turn out to be top 15 at their position. That doesn’t mean you should take them in the fourth round when nobody will even think about drafting him until the fifteenth.

What is important to comprehend about rankings is there has been just as much time, energy and thought going into determining each players downside as there is dreaming about their upside. Building a great fantasy team is about managing risk. Sure some players and situations call for a bigger risk but usually it is the best idea to limit the amount of risk you have on your team as a whole. While no set of rankings or advice is able to manage this for you, my rankings are delivered with the utmost knowledge and probability for each player’s ultimate success.

Managing risk is probably the single most important part of the draft. If you want to swing for the fences on every single pick you can rest assured that you have a 0 percent chance of winning your league. Even if you somehow managed to hit on 50 percent of your picks you would still be saddled with so much downside and inconsistency that it would leave you somewhere in the middle of the pack.

Antonio Brown may indeed not be the top overall scoring wide receiver in fantasy football in 2015. But does that mean he shouldn’t be the first WR off the board? Absolutely not. The every game consistency that Brown brings to the table and has for the past two seasons tells us that he has as much chance of falling out of the top 12 of WR’s as I do of winning America’s Got Talent. The objective in fantasy football is to build the best team and start the right players that most consistently outscore the rest of your league. The fun part of the game is that anything can happen in a given game or week. Hell Jonathan Stewart once scored 5 touchdowns in a game for the Panthers! Don’t get bummed if your first round pick becomes your fourth best player. If you manage your risks correctly, manage your team efficiently and take the advice we are trying to give you in this draft guide, you will find yourself in contention at the end of the season.